Gee, I wonder how any other president could have handled the pandemic better than "slow the testing down please".

Apparently, it was tongue-in-cheek, because 120K dead = time for light-hearted jokes.

You realize that probably was actually fake though right? He said both his friend and the friend's son were hospitalized. What percentage of people under 30 end up hospitalized? The guy looked like he was in his 40s. Perhaps the friend was older but let's assume the son was aged anywhere from 5-30. Take the chances he had a negative reaction x the chances the father had a negative reaction, then figure out the chances that the friend goes to a rally and happens to be interviewed.

Trump Rally attendees playing 4D chess, obviously.

Also, I think your probability calc is off. You could only do it that way if the interviewer was looking for someone with trait x and randomly selected person happened to have trait x. Randomly selected person has unlikely but random trait y is not the same thing.

You're doing the equivalent of riggies when they see some random runout and ask "what were the chances of that?" Chances of that specific runout, low, aggregate chances of all random but individually unlikely runouts, much higher. Does that make sense?

Why assume he was randomly selected?
I fully understand what you're saying of course...sometimes million to one shots do hit. And if the son had a negative reaction probably the whole family had a genetic predisposition-- like that family in New Jersey where everyone died.
Just don't believe everything you see on tv is all I'm saying.

I'm not saying it's a million to one shot. I'm saying you're calculating the probability as a million to 1 shot after the fact.

Example: let's say the chances of whatever (friend, friend's son having a negative reaction to COVID) are 1000:1. Let's say he's selected out of 1000 people. You're calculating that as a million to 1.

I'm saying that's wrong. Chances of him being selected are 1000:1, yes, assuming selection is random. However, once selected, he could come up with one of any number of stories which are individually 1000:1. You can't then just take the two probabilities and multiply them after the fact. If there are 1000 possible such stories, then the chances of a randomly selected person in an audience of 1000 having one is about 1-1/e or 63% (that's the formula for the limit of hitting a 1 in n shot in n trials). Given the "eccentric" bunch that Trumpers are, there is a pretty good shot that a random one will say something amazingly stupid or that stretches the bounds of credulity (i.e. a "low probability story").

I'm not explaining this very well, but hopefully you get my gist.

The guy who got interviewed was an ANTIFA plant from the fake news media and the chinese virus hoax conspiracy.

The "low turnout" of the event was also done on purpose by the Trump campaign to make him seem weak and unpopular which will just make his inevitable reelection in november even more of a shock to the world! DRAIN THE SWAMP MAGA GEOTUS nothing stops this train

Trump and the GOP are thinking so many levels ahead of you guys. You are like ants trying to understand calculus.

Yeah..I get what you're saying. I went to listen for additional clues to support my hypothesis but didn't find anything other than him dropping the "ok" symbol.
All things being equal I still call bs. Seems a little too made-for-tv for me to believe. Of course people will question why they would fake something so silly as a 30 second interview, but it works to support various narratives like corona being serious and deadly and Trumpers being stupid.

The vast antifa anonQ conpsiracy is threatening to take over not only this world but also Rigel VII in the beetlegeuse galaxy. Thank you Trump for stopping the impending Marklar invasion!

So now the CCP(TikTok) aren't even hiding the fact they are rigging the next election, is it time to suspend the vote to protect democracy?

Four more years. MIGA

My parents voted Trump, didn't like Hillary and they are very religious so probably fell for the right to life bait-and-switch.

They both now think Trump is a clown, and plan to vote Biden this time. I am hoping they are representative of many others. They live in a swing state that has a good chance to flip to Biden this year (PA).

Also, Biden is a far stronger candidate with white working class voters than Hillary was. Dems are naturally a little paranoid after what happened last time, but I'm guessing this election isn't going to be close.

Wow, he must be really pissed. No tweets at all today.

dear lord. can you really be that stupid?

I assume his 10 minute rant about the stupid ramp he walked down was also some 4th level thinking?

His request to slow down testing? Im not going to comment on how dense a statement that was. Only bring up because it must be some 6th level campaign strategy stuff us ants cant understand. No way even trump is so stupid to believe what he said.

You should probably grunch less so that you know who is being sarcastic...

I guess I gotta be a bit more careful of Poe's law.

woops. sry snyth.

I'll crawl back to NVG

You're alright. Lou's an, erm, NVG reg (is it PC to call them that these days?)

I mean this is all speculation we don't really know. Wasn't really getting harleydude vibes though My guess is that dude is a little older--maybe early 50s/50ish--he looks pretty similar to my neighbor that had the rona(he's like ~53/wasn't hospitalized/lived etc). I don't know sometimes I can nail people's ages and other times you end up surprised. Hard to guess on the friend's age really imo who knows?--one of my good longtime friends/mentors passed away a few years back and he was 75 and has 3 children/2 older than me.

RCP Average 6/20 53.6 39.8 Biden +13.8

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/el...020_president/

Betting Odds - 2020 U.S. President
what a turnaround.

plus 8.5% fav to 14 point dog in a month...

That basic competence thing coming back to bite Trump in the ass again.

Yeah. Not touching that action. lol