Quote:
Originally Posted by MadScientist
Peru, your line is pretty awful. I would def bet call the flop. On the turn, we have the second nuts. Let's get some value with it. Call turn.
As for what worse hands can call if we raise? Sets, possibly two pair, and if he could have it QJh.
I would always 4 bet pf. Then it becomes EZ game. Bet/call flop.
Up to 200 bbs, AK is the eff nuts pf.
Preflop - you saw that the reraiser is 15/4 right? I think AK is at best a 40% dog vs his range despite my blockers and its likely worse. I think at minimum he has AK or JJ+ (I'm 40%). More likely he has QQ or KK+ and possibly AKs (if this is his range I'm in really bad shape). I'm not saying you're wrong, but I have position and I'm not doing well vs his range.
Flop - I liked the idea of bet/3betting the flop better if I had Ah instead of Kh. I didn't like the idea of getting it in on the flop with a 2nd nut draw. Again, I'm not 100% sure this was right, but that was what I was thinking.
Turn - I did call because he is unlikely to call a raise with a hand worse than mine, and we would get it by the river in if I was behind.
River - he bets 44 with ~100 left behind. Any sense in raising here?