Quote:
Originally Posted by DoGGz
The idea that regs 'make most of their ROI late game' has been a long held popular opinion in the community. Here's the problem: I've never seen any data supporting that. It's just opinion that seems fair enough.
While we play lower effective 'stakes' in the early/middle stages of a tournament, having more play means that we don't bust as early as often. Not busting as often means we make it to the late game more often.
The question is how much more often do we have to reach the late game to make up for lower stacksizes when we get there? How much value does a strong early game give us?
For the record I'm not saying a shorter duration will keep our ROI the same. I think most will agree that the more hands that are played in a tournament, the higher the edge for the best player. Just curious how much value the improved early game gives us.
I wish we had some data or facts on the topic.
Doggz, apparently your a smart guy. So I don't know why you constantly write stupid stuff. I mean, are you applying at a job at Amaya? To be honest, wouldn't be surprised if you get one.
You're saying that there's no evidence that regs made money on deep stages.
a) Unexperience players are more likely to build big stacks at early stages, because they're willing to gamble more.
b) We all know that building stack early is not nearly as important that having a stack above average deep. For ex.: Chip leaders on day 1, 2, 3, 4 and not sure if also 5 at wsop me have never won the title.
c) Of course fast pace structures reduce edges. For ex.: A hyper sng crusher gets about 4%-5% roi
d) Structure on turbos are ridiculous. 4 mins/level is 1 min to become an old day hyper. And is more ridic to get 10% rake on those.
e) And just rephrasing you; there's no evidence than experience players get they're edge on early stages.