Here's a great example of a marginal situation where it would be really useful to know my odds of folding into the money at this point:
Poker Stars No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t75.00/t150.00 Blinds - 7 players
The Official
2+2 Hand Converter
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Hero (SB): t990.00 M = 4.40
BB: t1743.00 M = 7.75
UTG: t1780.00 M = 7.91
UTG+1: t4930.00 M = 21.91
MP: t1092.00 M = 4.85
CO: t875.00 M = 3.89
BTN: t3590.00 M = 15.96
Pre Flop: (t225) Hero is SB with A
A
1 fold,
UTG+1 raises to t4915,
3 folds
I'm about 85% against his range, pretty much no matter what it is (it's at least wider than 10% because he is the big stack and has shoved the last 3 hands). So basically, calling this shove puts me at a 15% chance of busting out.
The tough question, then, is what are my odds of folding into the money if I fold this hand? I honestly don't know how to calculate that. There are 2 stacks that will be blinded out before me if they don't risk their stacks to pick up some chips in the mean time. I'm assuming I'm at a greater than 15% chance of blinding out if I fold this hand and wait for the two smaller stacks to risk it first, but how do I calculate that?