Aside from PF which is pretty bad (meta lol?), rest of the hand is good imo? You're 50/50 with him and he probably figures implied odds are good and he has some fold equity. He probably discounts TT+ because you didn't cap PF.

Or I'm giving him way too much credit.

This, if he played any part of the hand well it was completely by accident.

Well, it all depends on my roll and my confidence. I need to move up as quickly as possible from 1/2 and 2/4 is my next stop..

3/6 is nonstop bull**** for me. Every fricken day I play 2/4 and 3/6, every fricken day I win money at 2/4 and lose money at 3/6. I had a 700BB downswing at 3/6 for ****'s sake. 3/6 is not that much tougher than 2/4, but everybody else is apparently guaranteed to hit their hand in a pot against me. 45% W$ASD so far today, on break for lunch, so let's see if it improves in the second half.

I hadn't caught that. That's a big change, and much more meaningful than the additional $200 at the 100k mark.

The extra $1400 at 200k and the extra $600 at 300k is pretty nice.

For a SN getting 300k next year (which might be a goal for some of us), it looks like $23.400 in total RB. Since I was playing around with a spreadsheet, here are the numbers I got. Didn't research the whole SNE package, so it could be off.

For a SN at the start of the year:
100k - $6,800
200k - $15,000
300k - $23,400
400k - $32,000
500k - $40,800
600k - $50,000
700k - $59,400
800k - $69,200
1000k - $110,400 (depending on how you value the donkaments)

So, each milestone level is worth about $8k-$9k.

Your 45% would be about a 5% improvement for me today.

Sure enough (note his ******ed PF raise):


Poker Stars $20+$2 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t250/t500 Blinds + t60 - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG+1: t8580 M = 6.65
UTG+2: t3110 M = 2.41
MP1: t8941 M = 6.93
MP2: t8971 M = 6.95
CO: t9120 M = 7.07
BTN: t16851 M = 13.06
SB: t11901 M = 9.23
Hero (BB): t10233 M = 7.93
UTG: t50444 M = 39.10

Pre Flop: (t1290) Hero is BB with J Q
7 folds, SB raises to t1111, Hero calls t611

Flop: (t2762) 5 2 J (2 players)
SB bets t2000, Hero raises to t9062 all in, SB calls t7062

Turn: (t20886) A (2 players - 1 is all in)

River: (t20886) K (2 players - 1 is all in)

Final Pot: t20886
SB shows 2 J (two pair, Jacks and Deuces)
Hero shows J Q (a pair of Jacks)
SB wins t20886

Can you clarify where you're getting the rb aside from the milestone bonuses? How else are you counting it? Are you assuming that people always cash in the $4000 bonus?

so now for the more advanced calculations. what does it takes in terms of hours and hands to reach the 200k and 300k playing 5/T.
i think i might hit the 200k,if i move up 300 seems possible as well...

and @ dave - yeah i think the calculations are for the 4k bonuses.

Yes, I'm exchanging at $0.016/FPP--that's the $4k rate. If you use the concierge, you'd do a tiny bit better. At some point, you wouldn't have enough receipts to cover the concierge, so you'd end up with the $4k's.
I'm using 3.5FPP/VPP for a current SN.

I'm guessing you're going to get about 1.25VPP/hand at 5/T 6m. I have trouble doing more than 4 tabling, but YMMV. Given 80 hands/hour, let's say 400 VPP/hour. So, 250 hours for each 100k VPP. That works out to 80k hands, VPP bonus level. Given 1BB/100, you'd make $8000 per 100k VPP. So, as a 300k VPP who wins 1BB/100 at 5/T, you'd make another $24k in poker winnings. Total earn for the year would be $47,400.

Of course, you'd also have built a nice 30/60 bankroll and ZOMG and DrElo would make fun of you for only playing 5/T. Again, YMMV. Based on all of this, you'd make 1BB/100 in poker and about the same in bonus. RoR-wise, you'd be a 2BB/100 winner, and your BR requirements would actually be pretty reasonable. Even with a 20SD, your BR for a 1% RoR is only 460BB. For a 5% RoR, you'd only need a 300 BB BR.

Short answer: You can hit 200k VPP playing 2 hours a day 5 days a week. That's 1/4 time. As a 1BB/100 winner, you'd expect to make about $31k playing poker with winnings + RB.

fold or 3bet preflop...he didn't do anything wrong here, you did

Doug or anyone else, how much difference is it for someone just starting out? I've just started at Stars in November, I'm a Platinum Star.

You'll earn 100k fewer FPP on the way to 100k VPP, so subtract $1600 from the quoted numbers.

TY Sir

Yeah I normally would, but sometimes I get suckered into calling in those spots where i would normally fold because of the rediculously good odds he's giving me. I just hate minraisers basically.

Obviously the flop is standard, it's more the unluckyness, as I was referancing my previous post where I was getting very lucky early on, but would rather have that late.

thanks for the info...much appreciated

Update to dudu's prop bet.

He is just shy of 58k hands left to play with 5 days left.

He did ~10.5k hands today, ~8.3k hands on the 25th, ~7.6k on the 24th and ~7.8k hands on th 23rd.

well the 2nd half did improve it, up to 53% W$ASD. Still only 0.75BB/100, but I turned -365 into +440 so I can deal with that.

And MariaKra has officially moved into biggest donator status in my current db.

2/4 last night was a solid 39/60 for 10BB/100 and 3/6 was 40/40 for -10BB/100. Luckily I put more hands in for 2/4 and only finished like -$25 for the night. Ugh fml.

I finished -$900 for the day. So I can in no way sympathize.

But think of all the VPP's!

it's gonna be tough. how do u feel dudu?

The guy is sick.. and the fact that he is winning is pretty awesome too.

Since I'm not in the bet.. I hope he succeeds

Prop bet for $100 between the two of us on who finishes higher?

I wrote to Stars asking them who gets the button in a new 6 max game:

Hello Dustin,

Thank you for your email.

Please notice that when a new table starts, whoever sits first at the table
will get the button.

Let us know if you have further questions or concerns.

Regards,

Julio
PokerStars Support Team

After I wrote them back at loling them for this being wrong and them not even knowing their own policy (which they haven't responded to). If I have it figured right it is seat 1 or the closest to seat one moving clockwise. Can anyone confirm, repute or tell me who gets the button?