Quote:
Originally Posted by the village idiot1
So i couldn't sleep and my mind wouldn't turn off. So
i actually just did my homework on this particular hand. I am not entirely sure that the ranges are 100% correct but it is actually a +EV shove. altho i don't know if she push/folds or push/calls correctly.
According to sheets spreadsheets (Awsome program) And first time using this particular part of the program. it says in order for my shove to be +EV i need to be atleast 33% against her calling range. If i poker stove it and Give her 13.1% range of hands she is calling with (no fold equity) i have 42% equity in the hand in this scenario. So shoving here is +EV against a competent internet player. She was pretty competent as a live player and i am not sure if she has a tighter range,which we can agree live players usually do.
So in retrospect i am very happy with my shove here.
The only thing I have against always making the +EV move in live tournaments is the fact you usually are only playing 1 a day. Most of the programs/spreadsheets are recommended for Internet play where you can play 10+ tournaments per day and where opening raises are from a bigger range of hands. You can always make a +EV play and expect to do well in a couple of those a day.
In live play, marginal +EV plays take too long to come back over the long haul when you're playing 1/10th or 1/20th the amount of games compared to online.
One thing for sure, I have NEVER met a woman that would raise pre-flop and fold to a shove for less than her stack in a charity room tournament. You can usually get one to fold that limps in but there aren't many women that have a big opening range especially late in a tournament.
That being said, I have no problem with anyone that makes a +EV shove because, well it is +EV. But I'd rather wait for a better spot. You won't get many limpers at the later stages of the tournament and can shove from LP if first in with napkins and pick up the blinds pretty easy.
Looking forward to meeting up with you guys someday. I may even run out to Snookers late (after football practice which is way too late to play poker) when you and/or Jose are up there.