Going back to last week. It’s definitely something that 6 people came together at final 7 unanimously. I wonder when the last time that happened was

R-I-Z G-O-D

I know his idol flaunting has been tilting some people, but it’s impressive he made it all the way to final 5 with it.

Not sure who would win I just know wed all lose.

Both Rizo and Savannah are super impressive and very deserving of any good thing coming their way (prob a win next week).

Blue Sophie gets votes from: Rizzo, Sav, Alex
Sage gets votes from: Steven, Jawan

Thus Nate, MC, and Yellow Sophie determine the winner. Maybe Sage takes it down 5-3?

All the way back last year in Survivor 48: Mary was voted out 6-1. Before that, Survivor 45 when Julie lost the vote 6-1 (though she saved herself with an idol). So...not that uncommon.

WTF

If blue Sophi now decides its time to flip on Riz/Sav she's probably not getting their votes. She's also bad at Survivor and there to make friends.

Sage or Kristina going home next

I think blue Sophi wins 7-1 there to be honest (Sage getting Jawan)

If Sage hadn't voted for Steven at F6 I'd lean more toward blue Sophie...but that + blue Sophie miffing her KIP makes me think Sage has decent equity with the Hinas...plus the edits from S41+ have shown us that less-in-your-edit-face players (like Sage) can win (Kyle, McKennzie, & Erica).

Wouldn't be surprised at either outcome TBH...I don't feel super strongly about any of my leans (except Jawan for Sage)...so if it turned out either had some sob story that the edit didn't show us, could go either way.

The thing is for that final three to happen though Savannah has to go at five and Rizzo at fire.

Blue Sophi would theoretically be part of that flip on Savannah and without Rizzo there would get all the 'you took out the biggest threat' credit from the jury.

My takeaway from this season.

If you tried to play "new school" (flip alliances, voting blocs, make big moves), you got eliminated.

If you played "old school" (strong F3 alliance that never wavers, win immunities, hope to catch an idol), you made it to the end and had a good chance to win. Even Soph, the goat of the Riz/Sav/Soph alliance still got more votes than Sage.

In a lot of seasons, you see Rizzo and Savannah start targeting each other around F8 ("we're playing the same game, I have to get them out so it's clear I was the mastermind", like Shan/Richard). Sometimes, the old style of play just works fine.

I wonder how the s50 returners are going to treat Rizo. I could see them finding his fake arrogance extremely annoying and just voting him out early.

I think Savannah is live to go back to back. Feels like since the returners never saw her season they could definitely underestimate her.

lol-ed at Coach getting the first voiceover for introducing S50.

0% chance it was an actual Magellan quote, and I’m here for it.

I thin it would be hard to win a jury vote when there are so many pre existing relationships/friendships flying about and nobody has seen your previous game but never say never.


Pretty meh season for me overall.

Who the two returnees for 50 are was all over the internet community in the summer, along with tribe breakdowns showing Kyle, Dee & Savannah all on different tribes plus it was reported that Savannah replaced Maryanne all making it feel very likely Savannah would end up winning this season.

It also felt like a two horse race in the actual edit after episode one between Savannah and Sophi who of course both ended up making the final three.

Very poorly edited season and big blunder by production all in all

Savannah was trading at 75%+ since the first episode on prediction markets. Kalshi had 2M$+ in volume with half of that coming in the last day. They put the market on their home page. She got as low as 70% with Rizo as high as 20%. The moment she won fire it went to 95. Kalshi also had weekly markets on who will get voted off. In the past 5-6 episodes the person going home was trading at 90+ the day before the episode.

Same thing happened with The Amazing Race even though the market was tiny with the winners trading at 93+ for weeks. TAR gets heavily spoiled though cause they film in public and fans keep track.

Going forward every season will be heavily spoiled. You'll have to really try and avoid spoilers. Once the season 50 market opens up there's definitely going to be a front runner.

I stopped watching after 38 but I've now watched 40 (obv), 44 & 49. I see on 50 there's people from 42 & 45-48. If you could only watch a couple of them to get ready for 50 which ones would it be?

As long as no one brings it to this thread, I wont see it. So just beat it

46 is highly entertaining, and there are three people in 50 from that season. There is one annoying person in the 46 cast, but they're not one of the returnees.

I wouldn't bother watching S42 just to see Jonathons game. It will become very clear after 1 episode of 50 what his deal is.

However agree with Jeremy517 that season 46 is absolutely worth watching to watch Q

Or, sometimes (most times?) you're playing with idiots.

Can't say I rooted for anyone in 49, nobody seemed that likeable.

Real shocker Savannah's news team ostracized her.

I'm not sure if Savannah was good at challenges, or everyone else on the season was just terrible.

No one in 49 was very athletic. I'd like to see her make a run in 50 to see how she fares against others that are more adept at challenges.

This is the issue. I don't want to go to a prediction market site and get spoiled because they put it on the homepage.

There's always been markets for Survivor. At least there was years ago on various books. Low limits but if you were inclined you go look at the odds and have a reasonable idea who will win/make it far.

I much prefer to watch the show unspoiled so these sites really need to make an effort to hide it from accidental viewing.