Yep. Cost me as well.

Played danilo in 0 lineups. First in equalizer but doubtful that holds.

Didn't have time to make Gpp lineups. My cash lineup is pretty much itm for sure and it is still live for Gpp too.

Casemiro and Aboubakar

Would have done very well so far in both if Danilo hadn't been injured. Still doing OK, but hurts having 0 points from that position. If only he'd been injured after an hour so could have at least gotten the CS bonus.

Today gonna be interesting. Really hope psg score vs chelsea. Preferably late.

You got Neuer in your lineups, no?

40.75 lead over my opponent, who still has six players to play.

I played everyone yesterday.

Going to be some sweat.

lol munich penalty in 3rd minute. not good for me.

Why did the red card come so late after the whistle had been called? Also crazy to throw him out with such little contact

****kkk youuuu robbennn

Anddd zlatan off what the ****

LOL @ ME

Have Danilo + Zlatan in a few lineups.

BURRRRRRNED!

i have pantillimon in most of my entries

0-4 to villa, who have doubled their away haul.

It's funny how things work out sometimes. I spent a lot of time on my LUs for this weekend and I don't think I've been happier with a lineup while playing DFS (about 3 weeks worth)

So far I have 14.25 pts for the first half with 5 players to go. LOL.

Pant was an awful play IMO, his salary was farrrr to close to ospina for you to ever pick him.

Seemed like the obvious picks were Ospina for a luxury keeper and schwazer for a budget keeper for cash.

Pretty meh day, but the underlying stats for most of my picks were there, just didn't materialize into goals + subs getting contributions for arsenal kinda sucked. Arsenal should have really scored 5+ given the chances they created.

you pick your team based on the expectations before the game is played. if arsenal should have won by 5, you must have really hammered the sportsbooks on all types of stuff involving a big win. talking about the run of play being more lopsided towards arsenal but them not scoring as much as they could have seems completely pointless. positive variance in that they dominated the game more than expected, negative variance that it didn't manifest itself with many more goals (which i don't even agree with). you can't just pick and choose what kind of variance you acknowledge. they won by 3 which is >>>expectation.

I only had money on CP today. Thought it was really the only true lock since QPR are pretty awful away from home.

As far as DFS goes, I had my worst ever day in terms of points gotten. Mid 50s is not a good look and I've never scored that low. Somehow I faded everything in the Villa game and at the same time had some too much exposure to City.

Agbonlaholr's price on mondogoal was just ridiculously low(4.7). I am sure his price will go up with the game he had today. At that price, he was virtually a must pick. I wish I had him on all my lineups. I forgot to use him on dk.
Aguero, Silva, Toure just had a bad game. Man city just slipped up big time. You can't hand this kind of advantage to Chelsea. I think they were thinking about the Barca game and forgot about the feisty, little team called Burnley.

What you are saying doesn't apply particularly.

Projections had specific players being the most likely to be involved with goal. Those players performed well meeting said expected numbers, however they did not contribute to goals for fantasy. That's essentially bad variance and relates to pre match expectations. Me saying arsenal should have scored more is just an observation based on the chances the created. I imagine their xG was probably somewhere around 3. This is in no way shape or form related to any pre-match predictions because it is analysis of what actually occurred, since you know that is exactly what xG does.

ospina was >>>>>> for cash, and schwazer was >>>>> for gpp. Pantillimon was stuck in the very bad spot of being priced too high w/ not having a high enough win percentage.

I mean, villas had an uptick in form, but saying any of their players are "must plays" on the road is a bit ridiculous. Sunderlands 5k mids were much more "must plays" than agbonlahor. Post match xG was .6 v 1.4 so villa ran super hot (28% conversation rate says as much anyways).

i actually had sunderland as favorites to win. that result was probably one of the biggest wtf outliers of the entire season. aston villa literally doubled their away goals total. they had 4 the entire season. on the season, gk playing villa at home has the highest cs % of basically anyone except for some top teams at home against relegation fodder.

what i failed to account for is that they got in one of the top managers itw and that he could completely turn the team around so quickly.

Also, Sunderland is and has been dross for a good while.

As far as this round goes, if Sturridge does well today, I win a lot. I'm in 3rd and (I think) 10th in a couple of gpps with Moreno and Sturridge left to play in both lineups (and Mignolet as wtf pick in another), but not many people behind me with lots of minutes.

I'm not feeling very confident, though.

One time dealer sub out sturridge coutinho and siggy plz.

If that happens I might have an aneurysm.

I imagine a lot if ppl will im in first in eq by .25 pts.