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***The Official 2012 Merge Regulars Thread*** ***The Official 2012 Merge Regulars Thread***

02-16-2012 , 09:28 PM
One thing leads to another. BOOM goes your bankroll.
02-16-2012 , 09:33 PM
happy thoughts only itt pls

Last edited by gadolparah; 02-16-2012 at 09:34 PM. Reason: ftp regs thread for complaints
02-16-2012 , 09:42 PM
Agreed I don't know why anyone would play now either prob is best to just w/d entire bankroll and wait it out playing live poker or something
02-16-2012 , 09:52 PM
yes used all my points too, baam new laptop in the mail lol
02-16-2012 , 09:56 PM
fucccccccccccck....Obv they do not have all of our depos. same **** as always ****ing online poker. same song and dance bull ****. Selling my roll if any1 is interested.
02-16-2012 , 10:04 PM
the funds are segregated so its ok for usa prolly, rotw prolly better though
02-16-2012 , 10:15 PM
sigh. i was gonna get rid of some a few days ago but waited. guess i have to pay vig now. Have 2k bcp..want 1800 paypal. anyone?

Last edited by hard2tel; 02-16-2012 at 10:27 PM.
02-16-2012 , 10:26 PM
GL getting 1900 now
02-16-2012 , 10:26 PM
how do we transfer to players on merge? says "not available"

Last edited by K_2; 02-16-2012 at 10:27 PM. Reason: i got $182 ready to ignite
02-16-2012 , 10:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MATEUSZEK
GL getting 1900 now
didn't know what vig it normally is. took another 100 off.
02-16-2012 , 10:59 PM
Bout 4-5 yrs ago i ran across this site, 419eater.com . It was basically a site/forum where ppl got together to 're-scam' Nigerian scammers.

What they would do is create all sorts of fake profiles on sites nigerian scammers fish for email addys, then play along with the scam, except that they would have a really elaborate plan to get the Nigerian to do something dumb ranging from making ridiculous videos expecting they would get paid, or even leading them on from country to country promising to meet them in person in ghana or other neighbouring countries while having made up a story about their persona being rich, or a fugitive with lots of jewelry on them, etc.

Lots of times the scammers would fall for it and there would be huge, epic threads detailing everything, posting the emails, the IP checks, pictures the 419-ers would tell the Nigerians to take of themselves each time they got to a different country on their wild goose chase.


As far as I know as of a couple of years the epic threads have been deleted or sth, i can't be bothered to re-check as u have to reg on their forums, however there are still great pics and vids floating around. A few examples:











And finally, the infamous Dead parrot sketch, Nigerian scammer style. Those of you who've seen the monty python original will prob enjoy it more.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YM5QMKLjjm8

Last edited by Jah Onion; 02-16-2012 at 11:12 PM.
02-16-2012 , 11:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zachvac
...Now for winrate the accepted standard deviation is 80bb/100 hands...
Is the standard deviation from HEM accurate? My HEM standard deviation is 66, but I don't know how HEM calculates it. Does 66 make a big difference versus 80?
02-16-2012 , 11:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NCSU07
cool ill delve into that
02-16-2012 , 11:25 PM
Cliffs on what happened to m3rg3???
02-17-2012 , 01:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BeyondTheGrave
Is the standard deviation from HEM accurate? My HEM standard deviation is 66, but I don't know how HEM calculates it. Does 66 make a big difference versus 80?
I think the 80 is actually for 6m. Essentially standard deviation just means that there's a 68% chance your winnings +/- 1 standard deviation contain your expected winnings, 95% chance your winnings +/- 2 standard deviations contain it, and like 99.8% I think that your winnings +/- 3 standard deviations contain it. To find standard deviation for a larger sample you square it, multiply by however many extra, then take the square root. So for example say standard deviation in bb/100 = 66. You want standard deviation for 10k hands. That's 100*100 so sqrt(66^2*100) = 660. So in 10k hands you'll know with 68% certainty your expected winnings +/- 660 big blinds and if you want 95% confidence it's +/-1320bb. That's a pretty big spread and the reason why 10k hand samples are essentially meaningless since pure luck can reasonably make someone win an extra buy-in/1k hands or lose an extra buy-in/1k hands than they theoretically will long-term.
02-17-2012 , 01:31 AM
sick call my 6m stdev is 79bb
02-17-2012 , 02:27 AM
What's everybody freaking out about? Just cuz they don't allow wires anymore they are gonna get shut down? I guess I can't do xfers right now...that is more concerning...is that for everybody? I emailed them but haven't heard back yet
02-17-2012 , 03:15 AM
im still compiling cliff notes but it seems all the january checks bounced or something, so nao thers ghana be a run on their invisible player funds and so on
02-17-2012 , 03:37 AM
where did u get details that jan checks bounced??

and people cant transfer now either?
02-17-2012 , 03:52 AM
i don't have a clue about transfers, but someone mentioned something itt abt checks bouncing and confirmed it with the merge transfer thread (in internet poker forum) and the carbon withdrawal thread was starting to meltdown too. seems the consensus was an 8 week period between the checks bouncing too. sorry mangs.

unrelated: if uve been on 2p2 for a while this will brighten your day: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/54...drane-1168430/

Last edited by Tumaterminator; 02-17-2012 at 03:54 AM. Reason: merge CASHOUT thred
02-17-2012 , 04:54 AM
make sure to watch the slow-mo at the end

02-17-2012 , 05:03 AM
Transfers are still fine. Bwillie just isn't using his head. Fwiw, I will be cashing out 4 figures from RPM, Lock, BCP, and Carbon in the next couple days. (I'm canadian) Will confirm when they are successful.
02-17-2012 , 10:18 AM
Is this just an initial panic setting in or is this a legit concern? I've been trying to sell my funds since news broke but to absolutely no avail. Have BCP if anybody wants.
02-17-2012 , 10:42 AM
Sources tell me it's doomed. But prolly enough time to cash everything out before. That's what everyone in the know is doing.
02-17-2012 , 10:57 AM
I feel the chance of us losing our money is very low. The chance of them pulling out of the US market should also be low since they would have hardly anything left.

      
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