Quote:
Originally Posted by lnternet
Against 55% opening range 3b pre is strictly better than calling. Against a more tight-solid open, 3betting gets worse, and your EV of call and 3b starts being similar.
If you think about dominated hands like that you are bit behind current theory. If BU has J4s, and we call with KJs, our EV is lower, than if we 3bet, and he folds J4s. Folding out his equity is better than seeing flop against him.
Flop raise with a good top pair with bdfd is played at least 20% here. Depending on preflop assumptions could go over 50% (and is then standard).
J94r is actually in the default flop subsets I have here.. this is some Snowie based preflop ranges for 3bb BU open. You see KJb raising over half the time (vs 1/3)
I agree that 3b > calling is much better if he's opening 55%. OP didn't give us what his opening range is OTB though. With 27/21 stats, I don't think it's likely he is. I'm 25/21 12% 3-bet & only open something like 40% OTB.
I much prefer a more polarized raise on the flop. Also, we have very few value hands on this flop, so we need to choose our other hands that raise pretty wisely. We really only have J9o (if we even defend that pre) & 44 for value (if we don't 3-bet that pre). If we start adding hands like these along with our bluffs, our raising range is going to be super weak.
Also, if you get called here, there are a lot of turns that you're not going to be comfortable on. You also fold out his low equity bluffs that are probably going to continue bluffing on a lot of different runouts.
Generally, when you have a range disadvantage, you shouldn't have much of a raising range. Esp on this turn. You should basically never raise this turn with any hand. If you raise two pair+ here, that means you can get barreled off any river runout after x'cing the turn.