Jersey Shore - 8:30pm draft game - Page 38 - Puzzles and Other Games Forum

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02-01-2010 , 07:46 PM

#926

xxaceshigh77xx

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Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 10,307

Quote:

Originally Posted by Birdman10687

lets see that "evidence" and also explain why you had a n4 peek?

because im dumb and wrote numbers in order starting at 1 instead of 0.... obv its the exact same thing.....

Quote

02-01-2010 , 07:46 PM

#927

ewalsh420

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aces, so you know birdman is a wolf. why does he come out so early in the day when he is under little to no pressure

Quote

02-01-2010 , 07:48 PM

#928

Birdman10687

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Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 39,990

Quote:

Originally Posted by ewalsh420

birdman whyd you peek keanu?

also why do you think bsball would make you seer (assuming he picked the villagers)?

he thinks seer is (relatively) my best spot. I peeked KR because I didn't think there was a good chance I'd be able to read him.

Quote

02-01-2010 , 07:49 PM

#929

xxaceshigh77xx

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Quote:

Originally Posted by ewalsh420

aces, so you know birdman is a wolf. why does he come out so early in the day when he is under little to no pressure

im not birdman so i dunno

maybe he thought a seer claim was likely coming today and he was trying to get an extra mislynch

btw if u think about it from a draft perspective.... i am a decent seer candidate since i dont get night killed too often(not in the past few months anyways) and i very rarely get lynched the first three days..... im often under suspicion but dont get lynched

Quote

02-01-2010 , 07:50 PM

#930

Birdman10687

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Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 39,990

Quote:

Originally Posted by xxaceshigh77xx

I don't think anyone fits this description better than myself.

Quote

02-01-2010 , 07:52 PM

#931

Birdman10687

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Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 39,990

guys--please just re-read the game and see if it makes sense for me to be a wolf. I am the person MOST likely in all of POG to be drafted by bsball.

Quote

02-01-2010 , 07:53 PM

#932

Birdman10687

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if I was a wolf, would I spend every day defending WERx (an EASY mislynch) and instead go after atak? That makes NO sense strategically.

Quote

02-01-2010 , 07:54 PM

#933

ewalsh420

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Quote:

Originally Posted by xxaceshigh77xx

yea, but look at it from my perspective and try to think of a situation where its +ev for birdman to claim there as a wolf. i cant come up with one

Quote

02-01-2010 , 07:54 PM

#934

xxaceshigh77xx

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Birdman10687

guys--please just re-read the game and see if it makes sense for me to be a wolf. I am the person MOST likely in all of POG to be drafted by bsball.

lol wer

u do realize this doesnt have to be bsballs village right????? Youve been saying this all game ... kind of an easy way to try and get yourself cleared if u can convince everyone this is bsballs village when ur a wolf

Quote

02-01-2010 , 07:55 PM

#935

xxaceshigh77xx

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Birdman10687

if I was a wolf, would I spend every day defending WERx (an EASY mislynch) and instead go after atak? That makes NO sense strategically.

so when he got mislynched you would be defending a villager?

Quote

02-01-2010 , 07:56 PM

#936

ewalsh420

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Quote:

Originally Posted by xxaceshigh77xx

meant to put this in my last post

if this is true then he has no idea if they peeked him wolf, seeing as you and (i believe) atak left no peeks of him wolf. also considering many people thought he was a villager, it would be more likely for the other wolf to come out considering they are likely more of a lynch target.
the only upside to claiming before you is that people may believe him more, which means nothing because they cant lynch you or him today anyway

dunno. seems possible but very unlikely

Quote

02-01-2010 , 07:58 PM

#937

xxaceshigh77xx

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Quote:

Originally Posted by ewalsh420

yea, but look at it from my perspective and try to think of a situation where its +ev for birdman to claim there as a wolf. i cant come up with one

other then he thought a seer claim was coming today and he figured the first claim was the most believable i cannot

Quote

02-01-2010 , 08:00 PM

#938

Birdman10687

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Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 39,990

Quote:

Originally Posted by xxaceshigh77xx

other then he thought a seer claim was coming today and he figured the first claim was the most believable i cannot

I think whats interesting is that you automatically assumed I was wolf and didn't consider the possibility that I was faking as a villager. Why?

Quote

02-01-2010 , 08:00 PM

#939

atakdog

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Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 50,136

Quote:

Originally Posted by xxaceshigh77xx

because im dumb and wrote numbers in order starting at 1 instead of 0.... obv its the exact same thing.....

I think everyone, including birdman, realizes that.

Quote

02-01-2010 , 08:01 PM

#940

Birdman10687

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Quote:

Originally Posted by atakdog

I think everyone, including birdman, realizes that.

do you still think I should be the lynch today?

Quote

02-01-2010 , 08:01 PM

#941

ewalsh420

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Quote:

Originally Posted by xxaceshigh77xx

other then he thought a seer claim was coming today and he figured the first claim was the most believable i cannot

so based on my last post do you agree that this is pretty unlikely?

Quote

02-01-2010 , 08:01 PM

#942

xxaceshigh77xx

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Quote:

Originally Posted by ewalsh420

with no seer claims today i would guess today would be him vs atak.... keanu said he thought yesterday was V/V.... sun didnt think atak was a wolf.... i knew atak wasnt a wolf... there was some talk about birdman being a more likely wolf compared to wer near eod..... he coulda thought he was getting lynched regardless

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02-01-2010 , 08:03 PM

#943

Birdman10687

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the amount that people just don't listen to me, read my posts, or let me contribute to a game--role independent--is just insane.

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02-01-2010 , 08:03 PM

#944

xxaceshigh77xx

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Quote:

Originally Posted by ewalsh420

so based on my last post do you agree that this is pretty unlikely?

i wouldnt do it in his spot ... doesnt mean birdman or z(assuming he is his partner) didnt think it was a good idea and came up with that plan

Quote

02-01-2010 , 08:04 PM

#945

atakdog

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Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 50,136

Quote:

Originally Posted by Birdman10687

if I was a wolf, would I spend every day defending WERx (an EASY mislynch) and instead go after atak? That makes NO sense strategically.

wat?

You almost nailed me — it looked to be going to a flip day 2, against a wolf. Given that you'd done that d2, of course you needed to stay consistent d3, and in any case I was much more important to take out than he was.

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02-01-2010 , 08:04 PM

#946

xxaceshigh77xx

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back in an hour ...... will answer any questions then

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02-01-2010 , 08:05 PM

#947

ewalsh420

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ok cool

dont really see how birdman is a wolf here other than if he made a -ev play which outted himself

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02-01-2010 , 08:06 PM

#948

Birdman10687

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Quote:

Originally Posted by atakdog

atak, if you are a villager (which I still highly doubt), you aren't gaining anything here by continuing to operate under the assumption that I am a moron.

Quote

02-01-2010 , 08:06 PM

#949

zhaorx

banned

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 6,966

we need to lynch one of aces/birdman today. end of discussion. if we mislynch a villager today, the wolves won't kill the seer anyway, so you have to resolve it anyway.