Why Crossnerd is not the wolf:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crossnerd
hardcoreufo
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crossnerd
Aston
Rapid
Gatito
TQA
Monte
Globe
Boo
Annie
LKJ
Hardcore
Felix
TBob
I don't think she puts REM as 2nd villa when he's possibly peeked & in all liklihood going down early regardless.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crossnerd
Notes on TQA: votes globe in second post, no explanation, asks gatito for an explanation for his vote after tqa just voted with no explanation too, votes gatito after he explains his vote, says gatito is 'trying to seem villagery', says hardcore's post seem villagery, calls out nonposters, says either aston is a wolf or 1-2 people interrogating her are wolves #159, votes aston, TQA says monte least liekylt o be a wolf, says aston/globe/gatito are wolves with maybe rapideye instead of aston, votes aston,
Based on my last note on you, you seem to be less sure of aston being a wolf than globe/gatito bc you said you might switch out REM for aston, which implies you are least sure about your aston read of the three.
Now you vote aston over globe or gatito.
You are going for mislynches.
TheQuietAnarchist
Book it.
I trust she believed this case when she made it (ie. wasn't lying about misunderstanding TQAs post). So if you think she bussing, then you have to recognize she was planning on pushing TQA for this. Also don't think she would decide to bus when REM is likely going down early (already had wagon on him) & possibly peeked. Also the read looks natural because she had TQA up near the top of her list earlier.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crossnerd
TQA isn't voting his strongest wolf reads, he's voting the most viable wagons.
TQA is likely a wolf.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crossnerd
You're right, sorry, I misread it.
unvote
You're back to good again
But prob not wrt the aston vote.
(It should be noted that you were pushing aston too, and for all the people who said all the aston pushers were on my wolf list, I had you near the top of my reads list, lolhardcoreimo)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crossnerd
in what way have I been insincere/dishonest? bc I quickly typed in aston instead of annie in one of my notes? I've said multiple times now my read on you has nothing to do with aston.
The next series of posts come in like a span of 30-40 minutes. Its obvious she is just reading through the thread and having all these thoughts, yes even some contridictary, come to her. It's very difficult for wolves to fake this stuff.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crossnerd
I'm clearing
mrgatito- consistent, supported a rapideye wagon all of d1, had his vote on rem at eod
monte- made a multiquote on rem (post #291) when the wolves could hardly afford it, had his vote on rem at eod
lkj- if he's a wolf, he has chosen a line that makes it impossible for him to win, he is tunneling like a clown and will have to take the blame should i ever be lynched bc he has been tunneling on me the entire game, literally every single day, he's suiciding if he's the last wolf
that leaves:
hardcore and boo
hardcore wolf: his wolf read on globe was super thin, I have this in my notes about it: says globe should be more hesitant to have a villagery read on him bc globe knows he is a capable wolf. lolwat? that was your reason?
boo wolf: very clearly switched off the wolf wagon at an extremely critical time with no real explanation other than trying to start up a cfd on aston, another villager, and certainly a viable candidate for mislynch that day
REM -> Boo -> hardcoreUFO IMO
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crossnerd
Bc you've never been aggressive and mean when someone tunnels you for 3 days straight and refuses to take off their horrible blinders
if LKJ is a wolf, good job buddy. you've successfully tilted the **** out of me
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crossnerd
Based on both d1 and d2 wagons, there is no possible way I can conceive of gatito ever being a wolf unless all 5 people on bumhunt before REM majed it were also villagers. I find that hard to swallow.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crossnerd
and I actually would be surprised if hardcore and REM just blatantly planned the maj with their votes back to back, so I'm back to taking hardcore off the table.
That leaves Boo as my top candidate. LKJ my second candidate, although if he is wolfing, he is taking the most bizarre line ever, and Montecore third as a dark horse wolf who bussed REM.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crossnerd
This is Monte's wagon analysis from D1.
Rereading this now, I think this looks super sketch.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crossnerd
This is how the votes fell yesterday
(lol, wow monte ^^^, that was your fault)
K, I've reevaluated things on this reread. I think Monte is indeed the last wolf. Final answer.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crossnerd
It looks like the wolves were giving up REM and getting their votes on him early yesterday for credit.
Monte's change from REM to bumhunt at the time he did it makes absolutely no sense whatsoever aside from the perceived momentum that wagon was getting and teh possibility to get one more mislynch before giving up REM.
Book this imo
Quote:
Originally Posted by Crossnerd
There's also no way LKJ tried to start up on aston again and TQA just jumped on it immediately if they are both wolves.
So LKJ is out, hardcore is out, gatito is out
that leaves Boo and Monte
Monte's day yesterday looks horrendous now in my eyes.
It all has a natural flow you can see how she works from point A to point B. I skipped a number of posts when quoting so its best just to click through and read.