Quote:
Originally Posted by verneer
QQ-AA. These are great hands for TSM because when you hit your set it will often be the top set. Be sure to check and trap the villain into betting.
I just wanted to add an update to this thread now that it is 2009 and the game has changed somewhat.
TSM with these hand has now become far,far to risky IMO. The games are more aggressive and 3betting is common practice. The 3 main risks with TSM in the modern game with hands like AA-QQ are as follows;
1. Unless you open limp, and call a small raise with these hands preflop then I don’t know if it is profitable any more. So many people 3bet now and you just dont have the odds to set mine. So often you will have to fold preflop or run the risk of calling another 8bbs and folding often on the flop when 3 under cards that have given people sets have hit.
2. There is always the dreaded all in preflop from a short stack and an over shove from a maniac. Now you are 3 way to the flop and have to invest your entire stack with only something like 40% equity against a random sample. Please forgive if that % is not quite accurate I haven't stoved it because I would never call off a stack with equity even close to 40%. This doesn't happen often but you still have to take these things into account when making preflop decisions.
3.People call with such a wide variety of hands these days preflop, that even when you do hit your TS people are always drawing to flushes and straights. When you consider that a gut shot has 20% equity against your TS you just can’t afford to bet big in case the villain calls and 1/5 times he will hit and you will have lost a load of BB's.
Could people please put up some 2009 examples of this happening just to help emphasise the point that even TSM has become a very risky practice these days.