Western Conference Finals 2016: Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder - Page 201 - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

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Western Conference Finals 2016: Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder

View Poll Results: Who ya got?

GSW in 4

4 3.13%

GSW in 5

29 22.66%

GSW in 6

26 20.31%

GSW in 7

14 10.94%

OKC in 4

2 1.56%

OKC in 5

3 2.34%

OKC in 6

17 13.28%

OKC in 7

15 11.72%

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18 14.06%

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05-31-2016 , 09:37 PM

#5001

Rococo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 20,901

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenBears

AFAIK shooting 42% from three is actually way better than 63% from 2 because you not only have more misses to rebound, but also rebound a substantially higher percentage of them.

Although I think rebounds > inbounds in terms of EV for opponents next offensive possession

Should be data on these points.

Quote

05-31-2016 , 09:45 PM

#5002

mcb33f

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 6,667

yeah nba wide ppp is ~5% better after a defensive rebound than a made shot. some teams are obviously much better off missed shots than made shots, up to say 10-15% better depending on the matchups, if not higher in weird cases

on the other hand the closer the shot to the rim the more often it'll be rebounded by the offense generally (~40% for at rim shots to ~30% for 3s generally). the oreb/dreb proportion changes with matchups too tho obv

Quote

05-31-2016 , 09:45 PM

#5003

mjw0586

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 37,376

Seth wrote a really good piece on that earlier this year: http://nyloncalculus.com/2016/01/06/...hree-pointers/

didn't go into OReb rate on shot type, but efficiency off rebounds is substantially higher than off inbound plays

Quote

05-31-2016 , 10:31 PM

#5004

AcTiOnJaCsOn

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 24,773

I don't even mean this in a sarcastic way at all those are some cool stats I didn't know about

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Quote

05-31-2016 , 11:52 PM

#5005

THAY3R

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 36,550

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rococo

Should be data on these points.

Missed 3's are offensive rebounded a notable amount less but yes possession off a defensive rebound >> possession after made basket

Also sort of dependent on the team, and a bestbrook defensive rebound leads to a ridiculously productive possession(and guards/creators in general)

Quote

06-01-2016 , 02:15 PM

#5006

Namath12

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Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 55,849

Quote:

Originally Posted by Roger Clemens

Not sure what bets I feel better about. OKC series +350 or OKC +4000/+2000 for the ring.

Quote

06-01-2016 , 04:17 PM

#5007

DisGunBGud

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 23,708

Quote:

Originally Posted by DarkCheck

Durant and Westbrook played a ton of minutes but was their best chance to win. As most of the games OKC was able to build leads late in 3rd quarter into 4th quarter by keeping in one, and may times both, Durant and Westbrook while Curry, Klay, and Draymond sat. Durant and Wesbrook against the backups is a scary gamble on Kerr's part. This was a mistake imo by kerr. He should never have both Klay and Steph out at the same time especially for any extended time. Kerr sits Steph way too long on top of that. He leaves late or end of 3rd and doesn't come back in until sometimes with only 7 minutes left. That's like almost half the 4th quarter when the game can be in the balance.

Kerr seems to be bumping that Steph 4th quarter sub in closer to 9 mins left instead of the typical regular season 7 minute mark but I do see what you're saying. Kerr has shown the confidence to roll with his reserves longer than the common man but he's also in the finals again and the 3-1 comeback may not have been possible if Kerr didn't get those minutes of rest for his stars. OKC clearly gassed out some and yes it's frustrating to watch Kerr throw some WTF lineups out there but can't buck it too much overall until it ultimately ends up failing him.

Quote

06-01-2016 , 04:20 PM

#5008

tzwien

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 5,267

Play bad run good Kerr

Quote

06-05-2016 , 10:16 PM

#5009

Baltimore Jones

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 5,835

Quote:

Originally Posted by GeoffRas22

Baltimore Jones just broke his tv

Nah I was probably waiting on line for Peter Pan's Flight in the Magic Kingdom during whatever it is you're referencing.

I have no interest in watching the Warriors win, am not watching now, and won't watch any more games. I have better things to do. I have to hear these pathetic bandwagon'ers out my window from a chain pizza place with their whiny "Waaaaarrrrriooooorrrrs" chant, I don't need any more of it from the TV.

Quote

06-05-2016 , 10:24 PM

#5010

jmill

Freak you Bobo Fett

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 19,855

Quote:

Originally Posted by Baltimore Jones

Did you just do a search for your name and decided to respond now? It seems odd to say you have better things to do and then respond to a post ITT from 05/30.

Quote

06-05-2016 , 10:29 PM

#5011

DodgerIrish

Fraudulent Zodiac

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 28,274

sometimes the comeback has to be ruminated on

Quote

06-05-2016 , 10:31 PM

#5012

GusJohnsonGOAT

SESwamiGOAT

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 16,503

Quote:

Originally Posted by jmill

Did you just do a search for your name and decided to respond now? It seems odd to say you have better things to do and then respond to a post ITT from 05/30.

Clearly he's still butthurt almost a week after the fact.

Quote

06-05-2016 , 10:32 PM

#5013

DisGunBGud

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Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 23,708

Quote:

Originally Posted by Baltimore Jones

That's on you if you don't want to watch one of the all time great teams. You don't have to like it but kind of pussy to not appreciate just how good this team is. Your loss. Looking forward to your grandkids clowning on you when they ask about Curry and you can't tell them about it because you refused to watch. Grandpappy a loser.