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Originally Posted by patron
You don't think that AD + Bron + however they fill out their roster can be a WCF team or better?
I think they definitely CAN be a WCF team, TheMVP said they'd be
title favoritesin a KDless Warriors' NBA. That says more about the state of the Western Conference having one defacto elite team and then a bunch of teams that would struggle to have a home-court series in the East. AD is awesome, but his team with another really good player and two decent ones is 3 games under .500 with a PD of of a 46ish win one. Prior to the injury the Lakers were a 1.7ish PD team with an average schedule, which is about at a 46 win level. If you add AD and subtract most of Ball/Hart/Kuz/BI for minimum deals, where does that put them? My guess is somewhere in the 52-55 range, and that's before we age Lebron another year. I don't think that puts them above the current teams in the 2-3 spots by much if any, and Denver should theoretically get a lot better next year with health and age-related growth.
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You honestly think that if AD turns down the supermax with them, that they're willing to lose him for nothing? That they won't trade him before the deadline?
I said "this off-season above", which is what I believe. They will almost definitely trade him before the deadline, but I just don't see it happening quickly unless AD's camp forces it.
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If you really think the above things, then we just drastically disagree. I respect your TZ posting though, so I'm still curious what your and other posters' thoughts are on the following scenarios (just pretend they occur, even if you think they're unlikely):
1) What do you think Boston will put in their offer package if AD is noncommittal either way?
2) What do you think Boston will put in their offer package if Klutch tells them AD will not re-sign in Boston?
3) Same Q's for any other teams in the mix.
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1 and 3) My guess would be Jaylen Brown + a good portion of their picks from this year (Memphis, Sacto, Clippers, their own). I could see a bunch of other scenarios that are also valuable..
There are teams that think they can contend with AD and nothing else" What about
:
AD for Simmons
AD for Nurk/CJ/1st
And what about teams from top markets that can sign a free agent AND then trade for AD to form a superteam?
AD for Jarrett Allen/Caris Levert/Kurocs and a first after signing KD/Kawhi/Kyrie/Jimmy Butler
AD for Shai/Jerome Robinson and 3 first after signing KD/Kawhi/Kyrie/Jimmy Butler
AD for the #1 pick/THJr and filler after signing KD/Kawhi/Kyrie/Jimmy Butler
Then there are teams that can do both:
AD for Jamal Murray/Gary Harris/1st either all by itself
or after making a big splash with a free agent.
That's just off the top of my head, I'm sure every team has some form of asset-pool they'd be willing to trade for a non-committal AD. Most if not all of these offers are better than what the Lakers can offer while still having enough powder to get capable players, but that's not even my point. IMO, they won't even have to beat the Lakers offer because the playing field won't be the same. Yes, I firmly believe that Demps and the Pelicans would take 80cents of another team vs. the Lakers $1.
2) This is where it gets sticky. Tbqh I just don't see this happening even with influence from Klutch. If the Lakers were a sure-fire top destination then
maybe yes, but they just simply are not. Getting to be Lebron's sidekick on a non-championship level team and then being in a similar-if-not-worse position than you were with the Pelicans does not seem like an ideal way to spend your prime.
If this were to happen though, my guess is NOP would use other teams as leverage to squeeze as much as they can by having other teams bluff their trade packages ala Prokorov and the Nets did in the Melo deal... It would go down to the wire with the Lakers eventually acquiescing to something like Ball/Ingram/Hart. One other situation that could come to fruition if AD refused to sign with any other team would be Houston offering up the farm plus their crap contracts for AD, which could be more enticing because undrafted players > ones who's weaknesses have been on full display.
The big issue here is that the Lakers don't really have that much leverage because they have a very finite amount of time to do a deal for AD. Let's say they don't get him next year, are they going to sign a bunch of 1 years like they did this last offseason and wait out Lebron's age 35 season in order to pair AD with a 36 year-old Bron? Of course not, and every other team knows this.