Pretty sure the game would have gone much differently...but listening to the post-match interview I think this was a completely fake result and I'm waiting for the real one
sanchez dominated palace, aguero dominated chelsea, rooney dominated the all you can eat chinese buffet on lincoln street and none of them are 100% yet.
Let's say all bets have the same EV on Pokerstars. In that case you should go for as high odds as you could get for the free bet, cos you want to maximize the possibility of getting the bet refunded. Or when you get righteously lucky, you get like crazy money. I wanted no crazy variance so I bet on something that I got 16:1 odds for. But in theory you want as high multiplier as possible.
Maybe most of you already know this, but maybe someone doesn't know. I just did some math and I'm pretty sure of this. I can show you how I calculated it if someone questions this theory.
Let's say all bets have the same EV on Pokerstars. In that case you should go for as high odds as you could get for the free bet, cos you want to maximize the possibility of getting the bet refunded. Or when you get righteously lucky, you get like crazy money. I wanted no crazy variance so I bet on something that I got 16:1 odds for. But in theory you want as high multiplier as possible.
Maybe most of you already know this, but maybe someone doesn't know. I just did some math and I'm pretty sure of this. I can show you how I calculated it if someone questions this theory.
I for one would enjoy seeing the math behind this. I've had a busy day and I could use a good laugh!