My posts, from the offseason thread in July:
Quote:
If I had to pick six right now, I'd probably go:
New England
Arizona
Indianapolis
Las Vegas
Green Bay
Tampa Bay
I'd like to pick Carolina, Atlanta, Tennesse and Houston as well, but I think overloading the pick-six-to-miss prop with interdivision teams is not great. I think the AFCS and NFCS are the two widest-open divisions.
Quote:
Okay, have to check the oddsmakers to see how bad I am. Odds to miss playoffs from b365:
NE -320
ARZ -2500
IND -500
LV -500
GB -230
TB -550
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CAR -225
ATL -150
TEN -330
HOU -850
Other ones I overlooked are LAR (-330), WAS (-370) and DEN (-240).
So I'm live to get anywhere from four to six of my picks correct, depending on how today shakes out.
Was bang on that both South divisions were most gettable, but also thought 6 of those 8 teams were terrible. I guess it just speaks to how much parity exists this year.
Houston at -850 and LAR -330 already locked in is pretty wild. IND -500 (until last night), GB -230, TB -550 and god forbid ATL -150 all live to make.
Pick 6 is always tough, but it's also always hilarious when you look back at it in hindsight. Was so confident early season in CIN and LAC.