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2018 NBA Offseason 2018 NBA Offseason

07-02-2018 , 12:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by capone0
East dealt with a ton of injuries too.

Boston had kyrie and GH go down.

Philly had fultz and embiid with mask.

Knicks had zingus.

Cavs had love get hurt and had to deal with ITs injury post trade.

There were other critical injuries as well.

East third seed had a better record than west 3rd, same thing with east 4th.

The West was very flat this year. West won the east vs west but the difference wasn’t ridiculous by any means,
The East 3rd seed is now the East 2nd seed, and the West 8th seed is now the west 9th seed. The reason the West only won 49 with their 3rd seed. OF COURSE the East had injuries, it just wasn't nearly as much as the West. FFS you are arguing that Fultz was a big injury loss.

Are you really arguing that the West isn't monumentally tougher than the East?
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 12:20 AM
West is definitely tougher but last year due to injuries the Cavs were able to get through the playoffs. At the same time, the east isn’t that weak anymore when teams are healthy. Maybe since lebron is gone the raptors will matchup better in the playoffs going forward. Indy has some young players who are getting better. Bucks upgraded their coach and Giannis is sick. Like I think the Celtics and sixers are much better positioned than most the east going forward but I don’t think lebron is a long term monumental shift in power unless kawhi comes over due to lebrons age. While the east loses its best player, the Celtics and sixers are not even close to the top of their maturity curve for most of its young assets.

West has a lot of good teams but some are fake good like Portland or potentially Minnesota. But going forward the warriors, lakers, rockets, Jazz, pelicans all have nice teams and Denver might join the fray soon but the spurs are on the downslide same thug with the clippers. Will have to see how good Phoenix and the mavs are long term. Okc is also in a weird spot where they’re stuck.
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 12:21 AM
Edit* stupid pick not embedding.

LOL@being coached by someone picked 31 spots after you in the same draft. I assume Lebron going to get Walton out of LA.
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 12:24 AM
On phone & thread is locked, but this is a pretty fun post from aejones from 6/28/16:

Quote:
Listened to the Dunc'd On offseason, a few things to take away:

i knew the amount of money these teams had was absurd, but it's WAY MORE ABSURD THAN ANY OF YOU THINK. in the scenario they did there were a ton of guys like marvin williams, luol deng, mo harkless, etc. that were getting 15-25 PER YEAR and at the end of the offseason everyone was signed and they had over a hundred million in space, still. don't be surprised when randoms like brandon jennings are getting 8 figure contracts. also be ready for a bunch of guys to get OVER 20 million a year right out of the gate.

i know a lot of you don't follow the cap as much, but i'll give a quick primer on whats about to happen. cap going from low 70s to low 90s (~94 this upcoming season) to low 100s (i think 107 or 108). what that means is taht contracts like klay and draymond getting ~16 or 17 per or whatever are going to look like chump change. absolutely no starter quality player will get less than 15m per year this offseason. someone is going to sign someone like meyers leonard to 3/50 and everyone is going to go LOLOLOL but the truth is that you have to do something with that space.

the jazz, for instance, are basically two deep at every position with quality nba players (except maybe SF w/ ingles but they have hood and burks to play some there). they also have like 25m in space. what the **** are they going to do with it? something smart would be to renegotiate and extend guys like favors/george hill in order to smooth out the serious bump in pay they'll be getting in a few years. but if they don't do that, then they just have MAX cap room for this season and nothing to do with it... so don't be surprised when they give like 10 million to trevor booker because he's got good energy and is a good locker room guy, even if he basically is a 4.5th big.

the nba is gonna get weird this summer, but with the boon of room they'll come consequences for teams that keep guys on the books for 3+ years. at the front end of those contracts we'll see guys getting 20m becuase there's money to spend, but what happens when luol deng is making 20% of your cap as a 33 (allegedly) year old in 2018? bad things to your franchise, probably.

the first max isn't that punishing, 22-25m w/ 4.5% raises over 4 years. smart teams will give big deals with team control. i'd give moe harkless, yes the same guy who got literally given away by one of the worst franchises in the league, a 4 year 4.5% raises max w/ team control if i needed a wing. give him 4 years with a team option on the fourth year, you (assuming you're one of the 1/2 the league with massive cap space) will have infinite to spend for this summer and next (which'll only be crazier, probably), then you bite the bullet for a year (assuming it's not a big FA year) and then you have an option where he might actually be worth more than that.

anyway, im ranting but i was thinking of all the crazy **** that is about to happen, and i just wanted to let you know you have absolutely know idea whats about to go down.
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07-02-2018 , 12:29 AM
Doug McD is a good deal at $7 per year, he is also white which figures into things for Indiana because free agents arent knocking down their door.

He can play and they get his peak years; could be worse
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07-02-2018 , 12:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by All-inMcLovin
I loved the [Hezonja] signing.
+1
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07-02-2018 , 12:34 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DarkCheck
If Lakers are smart they don't trade anything away. They still have room for one more big free agent right? They will come now that Lebron is there. Even if they have to wait until next year but don't trade anyone away.

This is very confusing as I root for Lakers, especially Lonzo. But now I have to root for Lebron?
this
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 12:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by capone0
West is definitely tougher but last year due to injuries the Cavs were able to get through the playoffs. At the same time, the east isn’t that weak anymore when teams are healthy. Maybe since lebron is gone the raptors will matchup better in the playoffs going forward. Indy has some young players who are getting better. Bucks upgraded their coach and Giannis is sick. Like I think the Celtics and sixers are much better positioned than most the east going forward but I don’t think lebron is a long term monumental shift in power unless kawhi comes over due to lebrons age. While the east loses its best player, the Celtics and sixers are not even close to the top of their maturity curve for most of its young assets.

West has a lot of good teams but some are fake good like Portland or potentially Minnesota. But going forward the warriors, lakers, rockets, Jazz, pelicans all have nice teams and Denver might join the fray soon but the spurs are on the downslide same thug with the clippers. Will have to see how good Phoenix and the mavs are long term. Okc is also in a weird spot where they’re stuck.
How are Portland and Minnesota fake-good but Indiana and the Bucks are on the rise? Indy signed Dougie Mc***ets and MIL just emptied the clip on Ilyasova. Portland's team is still quite young even if their average age is misleading, and Minny's best player is 23 plus they were killing it before JB went down. Also, do you really think SAS is going to be on the "downslide" considering they'll be the same team a year older but with whatever they can get for Kawhi or Kawhi himself?

I think you're framing the conferences in a light that supports your argument, but the numbers don't agree. Do you really think Indy/MIL/WAS/MIA hold a candle to POR/UTAH/MIN/DEN/NOP/SAS/LAL?
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 12:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by All-inMcLovin
Quote:
Originally Posted by Exothermic
The only thing about it is that the Knicks don't have a p.g to setup plays for Hezonja & he can't really get his own shot..
The French Prince of Manhattan will be setting the table 2018 NBA Offseasonand dishing out assists.
nodding.jpg
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07-02-2018 , 12:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Seadood228
I think you're framing the conferences in a light that supports your argument, but the numbers don't agree. Do you really think Indy/MIL/WAS/MIA hold a candle to POR/UTAH/MIN/DEN/NOP/SAS/LAL?
icwudt
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 12:47 AM
Turns out that everyone lol'd Mozgov (& Noah) signings heartily. Except THAKID. He was under the impression that Mozgov was a "beast".

Apparently he was 75th of 76 centers in RAPM the year before signing that deal.

Also, the west is much better than the east. All other opinions are wrong.
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 12:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Onlydo2days
I think Love gets dealt sooner than later. Cavs only keep their pick if it is top 10 next 2 years and they have so many bad contracts on the books they should just tank the next two years as even if they try they aren't close to a playoff team. Even in the loleast
I have a plan to turn the Cavs way around in 2 summers. Because of the above they have so much more incentive than any other team in the league to take on toxic 2 year contracts. And there are lots of them and no one wanting to trade for them.

So obviously you start with testing the market for Love trying to trade him ASAP, but potentially trying to leave it for the deadline after hopefully rehabbing his value some. You trade Nance and Korver now. They are cheap enough and help enough teams it should be easy.

Now you have to start getting more creative. You hit up the Magic and offer Clarkson and filler for Biyombo and assets. They need some off the dribble guard play and Biyombo is now 3rd on the depth chart. This also opens up playing time and time with the ball in his hands for Sexton for the Cavs.

Then you hit up Washington and trade Tristan for Mahinmi, Smith and assets. This both improves the Wizards and gives them badly needed space under the tax this summer.

Then you hit up the Thunder. From the Kyrie trade the Cavs have a trade exception that the Patrick Patterson contract fits into real nice. He’s gonna cost them like 20 million in real money next year and 5.5 in cap space the year after. You’d be able to stockpile some seconds for that.

Then you’re left with JR and Hill. Both make a ton this year, with small guarantees next year. With Hill you can keep till the deadline too and rehab his value. Maybe with the ball in his hands more and more time since injury he’ll look a lot better at the deadline. Anyways you survey the land. You see Parsons, as an obvious target to take back, if the Rockets think those 2 can contribute better to a playoff run you can save them some tax money this year and tons of money next year by figuring out a Randerson deal you consider that, and you can look at the Suns. The Suns seem delusional. They seem to want to go from crawling and drooling on themselves, to running this year. They also have a PG slot wide open and want cap space next summer. What kind of assets could you get back from them in a Knight for Hill trade? He also fits perfectly next to Booker and with a 1-4 switch heavy scheme. The Bucks have Delly and Henson on bad 2 year deals you hit them up. Maybe the Lakers don’t trade Deng for Kawhi and don’t stretch him either. Maybe the deadline comes around and you can get back something nice to take on Dengs money? If you don’t trade either Hill or Smith you’ll have the cap space from their small guarantees next summer to take on more **** salary anyways.

Now in 2 summers you have Sexton, at least 2 top 10 picks and all the assets from these moves and the cleanest cap space in the league. You can go a lot of different ways at that point.

Last edited by Moneyball16; 07-02-2018 at 12:54 AM.
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 12:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FlyWf
It's 2 great players and Randle isn't bad, KCP is a pretty typical role player of the sort Lebron has always had around him, but Ball legitimately sucked last year.

They can presumably fill out with some vets on minimum deals, but like, Jameer Nelson and Maurice Speights and **** are't exactly moving the needle. Lance Stephenson is a bad player.

The Cavs at least had shooters. Lebron hasn't had to play without significant floor spacing for a decade, the game has changed since then, I'm not sure we can say for sure he'll continue to be LEBRON JAMES without typical supporting cast of 4-6 high 30s low 40s% 3pt guys.
Cavs could score but how good was their defense?

Edit: Besides Korver the Cavs shooting wasn’t that good in the playoffs when they weren’t playing Toronto.
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 12:58 AM
Fivethirtyeight has Lakers winning 52 games as is currently.

So Lebron, javale, lance worth 16.9 games. (51.9 actual total)
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 01:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slighted
Fivethirtyeight has Lakers winning 52 games as is currently.

So Lebron, javale, lance worth 16.9 games. (51.9 actual total)
Lebron probably worth 22, Lance -3
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 01:13 AM
has there been a case in any major pro sport where an elite player is as radio-silent as Kawhi is right now? seriously, we haven't heard anything actually from his mouth about this whole thing - not one single quote from his mouth - and it is just so bizarre.

plz i hope the eff that he strongarms the spurs into some poopoo platter of randle/hart/1st rounders, if for no other reason than stopping the warriors from this balcony dynasty
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 01:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Moneyball16
I have a plan to turn the Cavs way around in 2 summers. Because of the above they have so much more incentive than any other team in the league to take on toxic 2 year contracts. And there are lots of them and no one wanting to trade for them.

So obviously you start with testing the market for Love trying to trade him ASAP, but potentially trying to leave it for the deadline after hopefully rehabbing his value some. You trade Nance and Korver now. They are cheap enough and help enough teams it should be easy.

Now you have to start getting more creative. You hit up the Magic and offer Clarkson and filler for Biyombo and assets. They need some off the dribble guard play and Biyombo is now 3rd on the depth chart. This also opens up playing time and time with the ball in his hands for Sexton for the Cavs.

Then you hit up Washington and trade Tristan for Mahinmi, Smith and assets. This both improves the Wizards and gives them badly needed space under the tax this summer.

Then you hit up the Thunder. From the Kyrie trade the Cavs have a trade exception that the Patrick Patterson contract fits into real nice. He’s gonna cost them like 20 million in real money next year and 5.5 in cap space the year after. You’d be able to stockpile some seconds for that.

Then you’re left with JR and Hill. Both make a ton this year, with small guarantees next year. With Hill you can keep till the deadline too and rehab his value. Maybe with the ball in his hands more and more time since injury he’ll look a lot better at the deadline. Anyways you survey the land. You see Parsons, as an obvious target to take back, if the Rockets think those 2 can contribute better to a playoff run you can save them some tax money this year and tons of money next year by figuring out a Randerson deal you consider that, and you can look at the Suns. The Suns seem delusional. They seem to want to go from crawling and drooling on themselves, to running this year. They also have a PG slot wide open and want cap space next summer. What kind of assets could you get back from them in a Knight for Hill trade? He also fits perfectly next to Booker and with a 1-4 switch heavy scheme. The Bucks have Delly and Henson on bad 2 year deals you hit them up. Maybe the Lakers don’t trade Deng for Kawhi and don’t stretch him either. Maybe the deadline comes around and you can get back something nice to take on Dengs money? If you don’t trade either Hill or Smith you’ll have the cap space from their small guarantees next summer to take on more **** salary anyways.

Now in 2 summers you have Sexton, at least 2 top 10 picks and all the assets from these moves and the cleanest cap space in the league. You can go a lot of different ways at that point.

that's a money ball post
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 01:28 AM
The posting couldnt be any worse right now
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 01:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slighted
Fivethirtyeight has Lakers winning 52 games as is currently.

So Lebron, javale, lance worth 16.9 games. (51.9 actual total)
This actually seems right if Lebron plays 38MPG, probably closer to 50 if he takes it easier this year. Sad part is that's probably a 6 seed.
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 01:34 AM
Deng had by far the worse season of his career entering his 30's when they gave him that deal.
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 01:34 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Moneyball16
I have a plan to turn the Cavs way around in 2 summers. Because of the above they have so much more incentive than any other team in the league to take on toxic 2 year contracts. And there are lots of them and no one wanting to trade for them.

So obviously you start with testing the market for Love trying to trade him ASAP, but potentially trying to leave it for the deadline after hopefully rehabbing his value some. You trade Nance and Korver now. They are cheap enough and help enough teams it should be easy.

Now you have to start getting more creative. You hit up the Magic and offer Clarkson and filler for Biyombo and assets. They need some off the dribble guard play and Biyombo is now 3rd on the depth chart. This also opens up playing time and time with the ball in his hands for Sexton for the Cavs.

Then you hit up Washington and trade Tristan for Mahinmi, Smith and assets. This both improves the Wizards and gives them badly needed space under the tax this summer.

Then you hit up the Thunder. From the Kyrie trade the Cavs have a trade exception that the Patrick Patterson contract fits into real nice. He’s gonna cost them like 20 million in real money next year and 5.5 in cap space the year after. You’d be able to stockpile some seconds for that.

Then you’re left with JR and Hill. Both make a ton this year, with small guarantees next year. With Hill you can keep till the deadline too and rehab his value. Maybe with the ball in his hands more and more time since injury he’ll look a lot better at the deadline. Anyways you survey the land. You see Parsons, as an obvious target to take back, if the Rockets think those 2 can contribute better to a playoff run you can save them some tax money this year and tons of money next year by figuring out a Randerson deal you consider that, and you can look at the Suns. The Suns seem delusional. They seem to want to go from crawling and drooling on themselves, to running this year. They also have a PG slot wide open and want cap space next summer. What kind of assets could you get back from them in a Knight for Hill trade? He also fits perfectly next to Booker and with a 1-4 switch heavy scheme. The Bucks have Delly and Henson on bad 2 year deals you hit them up. Maybe the Lakers don’t trade Deng for Kawhi and don’t stretch him either. Maybe the deadline comes around and you can get back something nice to take on Dengs money? If you don’t trade either Hill or Smith you’ll have the cap space from their small guarantees next summer to take on more **** salary anyways.

Now in 2 summers you have Sexton, at least 2 top 10 picks and all the assets from these moves and the cleanest cap space in the league. You can go a lot of different ways at that point.

You won't get any assets at all for Clarkson/Byumbo swap.

Not sure about TT/Mahimni either.

Agree with your general premise to tank the next 2 years and try to get whatever assets you can for anyone on the roster while taking back bad contracts though.
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 01:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Moneyball16
Now in 2 summers you have Sexton, at least 2 top 10 picks and all the assets from these moves and the cleanest cap space in the league. You can go a lot of different ways at that point.
Cap space doesn't matter. No superstars are going to go play in Cleveland now.
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 01:53 AM
Cavs need atleast a 5 year rebuild, they should hire hinkie & try to get a good coach for the long term future of the Cavs.

K.Love is the only guy that gets you anything of use on the roster, just trade him to the Suns for Tyson Chandler, Bender + filler & a protected pick as tis the best you can probably do, maybe Pacers can give you something similar as well.
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 01:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Moneyball16
I have a plan to turn the Cavs way around in 2 summers. Because of the above they have so much more incentive than any other team in the league to take on toxic 2 year contracts. And there are lots of them and no one wanting to trade for them.

So obviously you start with testing the market for Love trying to trade him ASAP, but potentially trying to leave it for the deadline after hopefully rehabbing his value some. You trade Nance and Korver now. They are cheap enough and help enough teams it should be easy.

Now you have to start getting more creative. You hit up the Magic and offer Clarkson and filler for Biyombo and assets. They need some off the dribble guard play and Biyombo is now 3rd on the depth chart. This also opens up playing time and time with the ball in his hands for Sexton for the Cavs.

Then you hit up Washington and trade Tristan for Mahinmi, Smith and assets. This both improves the Wizards and gives them badly needed space under the tax this summer.

Then you hit up the Thunder. From the Kyrie trade the Cavs have a trade exception that the Patrick Patterson contract fits into real nice. He’s gonna cost them like 20 million in real money next year and 5.5 in cap space the year after. You’d be able to stockpile some seconds for that.

Then you’re left with JR and Hill. Both make a ton this year, with small guarantees next year. With Hill you can keep till the deadline too and rehab his value. Maybe with the ball in his hands more and more time since injury he’ll look a lot better at the deadline. Anyways you survey the land. You see Parsons, as an obvious target to take back, if the Rockets think those 2 can contribute better to a playoff run you can save them some tax money this year and tons of money next year by figuring out a Randerson deal you consider that, and you can look at the Suns. The Suns seem delusional. They seem to want to go from crawling and drooling on themselves, to running this year. They also have a PG slot wide open and want cap space next summer. What kind of assets could you get back from them in a Knight for Hill trade? He also fits perfectly next to Booker and with a 1-4 switch heavy scheme. The Bucks have Delly and Henson on bad 2 year deals you hit them up. Maybe the Lakers don’t trade Deng for Kawhi and don’t stretch him either. Maybe the deadline comes around and you can get back something nice to take on Dengs money? If you don’t trade either Hill or Smith you’ll have the cap space from their small guarantees next summer to take on more **** salary anyways.

Now in 2 summers you have Sexton, at least 2 top 10 picks and all the assets from these moves and the cleanest cap space in the league. You can go a lot of different ways at that point.
This is a good post, but every year about 8% of the trades that "make obvious sense" happen because of 1. delusion (most common, by far) and 2. personal relationships (some obvious, some behind the scenes)
2018 NBA Offseason Quote
07-02-2018 , 01:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JMurder3
On phone & thread is locked, but this is a pretty fun post from aejones from 6/28/16:
That is a hilarious post, great find
2018 NBA Offseason Quote

      
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