Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee? - Page 397 - Politics and Economics

O/U isn't odds, it's over/under where you ask whether the result is above or below the set figure.

So...I guess the o/u for this is 0.1, but it's really just not the right measure to use.

11-09-2011 , 08:15 PM

#9902

caseycjc

banned

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 4,728

Quote:

Originally Posted by LKJ

But no I'm not saying any meaningful number of R's will vote Obama. Disaffected voters abstain. High turnout vs. low turnout is always meaningful, and in this coming election low turnout would be poison for the R's IMO.

Yea, I wasn't disagreeing with you, I was just interested in what you were saying.

Is Powell still a registered R ?

Edit
Yea, I don't know why I typed O/U when I was clearly thinking odds.

11-09-2011 , 09:08 PM

#9903

adios

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 22,531

One more thing about this settlement and then I'm pretty much done with this Cain topic. I was involved as the plaintiff last year and the year before in a lawsuit. The case was settled for as it turns out a five figure amount which I received. FWIW I am certain that the defendant, my adversary, did not believe that he did anything wrong and/or that I deserved any money yet he agreed to settle the case for a five figure amount and pay me. A settlement is not an admission of any wrong doing.

11-09-2011 , 09:16 PM

#9904

dinopoker

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 9,437

Quote:

Originally Posted by adios

So why lie about it when questioned?

11-09-2011 , 09:25 PM

#9905

Sholar

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 6,357

Quote:

Originally Posted by punter11235

My man is making a leap. I haven't seen him above 1% before.

He's probably still within the margin or error of 0%.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scary_Tiger

Taking chance at presidency divided by chance at nomination on Intrade, you can see how various candidates would do in the general election according to Intrade.

74% Paul
55% Huntsman
49% Romney
48% Cain
48% Gingrich
34% Perry

Surprised Cain and Gingrich do so well relative to Romney.

Those markets are almost certainly too shallow to put much stock into those numbers. The market structure isn't well-suited to making these types of bets; there's probably a lot of volatility for that statistic...

11-09-2011 , 10:48 PM

#9906

MrWookie

Don't Call Me Meredith

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 94,159

Quote:

Originally Posted by adios

If Cain's statement at the time the story broke was, "Yes, there were three settlements. I deny any wrongdoing as a part of them. Because of the terms, I am not going to comment any further on them," we wouldn't be having this conversation.

11-09-2011 , 10:57 PM

#9907

m_reed05

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 8,611

For anyone who didn't watch the debate tonight, Perry put a shotgun in the last chances of his own campaign and pulled the trigger.

11-09-2011 , 11:16 PM

#9908

[Phill]

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 52,717

Is princess Nancy an insult? What is it trying to play off? She isnt even the Speaker anymore.

11-09-2011 , 11:17 PM

#9909

Joss

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 1,301

Quote:

Originally Posted by m_reed05

For anyone who didn't watch the debate tonight, Perry put a shotgun in the last chances of his own campaign and pulled the trigger.

Cliffs?

11-09-2011 , 11:17 PM

#9910

peetar69

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 1,553

Leave Vice President Cain alone, It's time to party on the Newt train.

11-09-2011 , 11:19 PM

#9911

ErikTheDread

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 9,124

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joss

Cliffs?

Watch:

http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/20...d-sentence.php

11-09-2011 , 11:22 PM

#9912

The 13th 4postle

banned

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 11,244

11-09-2011 , 11:24 PM

#9913

caseycjc

banned

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 4,728

Yea, get the news just the way the lefties want you to read it TPM baby!!!!

11-09-2011 , 11:24 PM

#9914

[Phill]

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 52,717

Quote:

Originally Posted by peetar69

Leave Vice President Cain alone, It's time to party on the Newt train.

How long did Cain last? 6 weeks?

Ill take the under for Newt.

11-09-2011 , 11:27 PM

#9915

ErikTheDread

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 9,124

Quote:

Originally Posted by caseycjc

Yea, get the news just the way the lefties want you to read it TPM baby!!!!

it's the video of Perry dying. Find it elsewhere and it will look just as bad.

11-09-2011 , 11:29 PM

#9916

The 13th 4postle

banned

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 11,244

Ron Paul's nomination contract has more than doubled because of CNBC debate and now stands at 7.5%.

11-09-2011 , 11:37 PM

#9917

caseycjc

banned

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 4,728

Quote:

Originally Posted by ErikTheDread

it's the video of Perry dying. Find it elsewhere and it will look just as bad.

Ooooooooh excuse me, when he asked for cliffs I thought he may of meant of the debate.

11-09-2011 , 11:44 PM

#9918

[Phill]

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 52,717

Quote:

Originally Posted by The 13th 4postle

Ron Paul's nomination contract has more than doubled because of CNBC debate and now stands at 7.5%.

Short now and buy when the next poll cycle happens and his fanbois realise his chances havent moved.

Perry self destructing wont help Paul. Cain self destructing won help Paul. Having a good debate performance (ive not seen it fwiw) wont help Paul.

11-09-2011 , 11:53 PM

#9919

Fermion5

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 8,381

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fermion5

Perry is just having his expected boost from announcing his run. This is his peak.

Quote:

Originally Posted by ikestoys

This isn't a boost. The election is his to lose. If this ends up being his peak it is because of a mistake or unforeseen event that changes the race.

good call.

You can stick a fork in Perry, he's done.

11-10-2011 , 12:50 AM

#9920

LKJ

Smugly Contemptuous

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 95,999

Even as someone who had no desire to vote for Perry...holy **** that was cringe-inducing and painful. I, for one, can't help but feel somewhat sorry for the guy. But I'm relieved that whatever chance that was left of him winning is dead.

11-10-2011 , 01:23 AM

#9921

lagdonk

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 4,861

Dear mainstream republican voters,

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

But seriously, 2012 is win-win for you, and if you're too miserable to understand it, see the previous sentence.

11-10-2011 , 02:28 AM

#9922

Fermion5

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 8,381

Top Fundraiser for Perry Tells Washington Post His Campaign is Over

11-10-2011 , 03:00 AM

#9923

Brons

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 6,565

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrWookie

This. And that's also why I'm surprised this story picked up after Allred called for a press conference. The damage was done before Allred got involved.

11-10-2011 , 03:09 AM

#9924

MrWookie

Don't Call Me Meredith

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 94,159

Yeah, even a bold assertion along the lines of "I settled because, given the state of our legal system, it was far cheaper to settle than it would have been to prove my innocence in a court of law," would have ended things. I mean, I still care about this because of Cain's lies, not because of some feminist lawyer.

11-10-2011 , 07:43 AM

#9925

istewart

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 15,911

Is there any legit reason why the MSM keeps discussing Florida as a crucial swing state or a must-win for Big Barry and teh blacks? I hear it or see it so often that I wonder if it's just normal idiocy or I'm actually missing something. My rough recollection is that there's literally no path to victory for the GOP if they lose Florida but Obama can take it or leave it.

Page 397 of 865

First

197 297 347 377 387 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 407 417 447 497 597

Last

...

Page 397 of 865

First

197 297 347 377 387 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 407 417 447 497 597

Last