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Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee? Who Will Be the 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee?

10-19-2011 , 10:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
Fair enough. And this is where I admittedly have a problem. I'm unsure where to draw the line on BOTH ends.

I might need some help here. Fly?
You're not alone. I've yet to hear a compelling case (from any part of the political spectrum) for why, given the existence of government, it should be a specific size. As I explain in this thread, most political debate is along the lines of "taxes kill jobs!" or "the rich need to pay their fair share", without considering that both positions could logically support tax rates from ~0% to ~100%.
10-19-2011 , 10:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by caseycjc
Approx 47% of Americans currently pay taxes.
sales taxes, excise taxes, property taxes, payroll taxes....

I don't understand why the "I am the 53%" keeps getting repeated when its so easy to show how blatantly false it is.
10-19-2011 , 10:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by caseycjc
Regarding 9-9-9

Approx 47% of Americans currently pay taxes.
If I'm not mistaken 100% of Americans will pay at least something in taxes.
If the other 53% of Americans now contribute at least some $$, which they haven't in the past, then the only way this can be net neutral is if some people contribute less than they did before.

So who gets to contribute less?
Hint: it's not the poor
10-19-2011 , 10:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by swinginglory
I find this a strange argument from a normally smart guy.

Yes... if a national sales tax is instituted as a replacement tax it COULD be raised to 30% in the future, most certainly. It could be raised in the future to eleventy billion percent in the future, for that matter.
I wasn't making any argument at all. I was merely pointing out that Cain intends to transition to a 30% sales tax. That is his actual plan, not a prediction about what future legislators might do.

edit to add this link from National Review.

http://www.nationalreview.com/author/120237/latest

Quote:
Cain’s ultimate objective is a 30 percent national sales tax, but his interim plan is to replace the current payroll, and corporate tax codes with three new taxes.
Quote:
The two-stage scheme is self-defeating in another respect as well. The 30 percent national sales tax, whatever its other merits, would be significantly softer on the poor than the 9-9-9 transitional step, since the larger sales tax includes a “prebate” check to all Americans to exempt the basic necessities of life from being taxed, while 9-9-9 includes no similar provision. Leaving aside whether a major tax increase on people at the bottom of the income scale is a good idea, what is the point of first raising their taxes and then cutting them?
Cain envisions his presidency as featuring a quick move to the 9-9-9 plan followed by an educational campaign about the virtues of the national sales tax. He will have to move fast, since he is counting on the massive economic boom he expects his plan to create to enable him to balance the budget in his first year. None of this sounds very achievable, but let’s indulge the candidate. Even if one believes, as we do, that the mortgage-interest deduction should be set on a path to extinction, does its immediate abolition in the midst of a weak housing market seem wise?
10-19-2011 , 10:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NMcNasty
sales taxes, excise taxes, property taxes, payroll taxes....

I don't understand why the "I am the 53%" keeps getting repeated when its so easy to show how blatantly false it is.
Because some people who pay a piddling amount of federal income tax like to imagine that they are being dragged down by "freeloaders" who pay 25% or more of their income to taxes
10-19-2011 , 10:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NMcNasty
sales taxes, excise taxes, property taxes, payroll taxes....

I don't understand why the "I am the 53%" keeps getting repeated when its so easy to show how blatantly false it is.
10-19-2011 , 10:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
GOP primary voters don't give a flying **** about this.
Ur joking right? Everyone on the debate stage pounded on Cain because of this.
10-19-2011 , 11:10 AM
Many, many GOP voters know they pay a lot more than 9% in income taxes, and they think there are a whole lot of people out there paying less (stupid hippies). That is why I think the 999 plan resonates so well with many of them. It's simple and it addresses some very real concerns for them.
10-19-2011 , 11:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nichlemn
In no way is it "regressive". It's "less progressive". There's a big difference between "stealing" from the poor to give to the rich and "stealing" less from the rich to give to the poor. But this sort of rhetoric deceptively makes it look like the former.
So you obviously didn't follow up and check my source. I'll help you out:

http://taxpolicycenter.org/numbers/d...21&DocTypeID=1

Click on that then look over to "Average Federal Tax Rate Under the Proposal"

By income, watch it start at around 21.5% for <$40k, jump to 24% for $40k-$100k, then fall. 20.6% for 200-500k, 19.1% 500-1000k, and 17.9% for 1M+. It's flatter than what we have now (less progressive), and it's also simply regressive.
10-19-2011 , 11:18 AM
Before Nichlemn says anything, the definition of a regressive tax system is one that taxes at a lower rate as the taxable amount increases. A regressive tax isn't necessarily bad or unfair.
10-19-2011 , 11:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nichlemn
In no way is it "regressive". It's "less progressive". There's a big difference between "stealing" from the poor to give to the rich and "stealing" less from the rich to give to the poor. But this sort of rhetoric deceptively makes it look like the former.
I get what you're saying (at least I think I do) in that the concept of calling a tax system more progressive or regressive requires a baseline for comparison. But it's not just that the 9/9/9 tax is more regressive/less progressive than what we have now, its actually regressive when measured in the absolute sense.

According to the link provided, the federal tax burden decreases with increasing income, from 22.1% for those making less than $10,000 to 17.9% for those making more than $1,000,000. That is the very definition of a regressive tax. I think its perfectly alright for people to say that we do not need a tax system in this country that is regressive in absolute terms without necessarily specifying just how progressive it should be.

Last edited by ChromePony; 10-19-2011 at 11:28 AM. Reason: too slow...
10-19-2011 , 11:35 AM
I'll concede that the 9/9/9 plan is regressive (at least in a strict sense - I don't believe that sales taxes are really regressive over a lifetime).
10-19-2011 , 11:56 AM
That is one nice thing about a sales tax - you don't have the weird effects of annual returns. Poker players in particular would probably really appreciate that.
10-19-2011 , 12:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
I've never thought this. I think the rich got richer by the system. It's set up so that the people who started with the most get to astronomical amounts of money. I've stated this many times with many examples. You lower the tax rate on someone making 10k a year from investments, they do well. You do that to someone who has 10 million, he makes out like a bandit. It's simple math. After a certain amount of time the guys who started with the most have such ridiculous amounts of money it skews EVERYTHING. Proof? The top 400 people in this country have the equal amount of wealth than the bottom 100 million. Think about that for a second, in all seriousness. You could fit 400 people in a city block. What kind of space do you need to fit 100 MILLION ****ing people?



Current levels of taxation are ******ed in my opinion. I'm not blaming people from benefitting from it. I'm saying the game is screwed up. Like Bodie said "this game is rigged".



A widening income disparity implies that the tax rate should be, in your terms, "more progressive". This is where things get a bit hairy. Do I believe that people should be punished for their success? Absolutely not. Do I think that the richest people in America, over time, will get to such a gargantuan amount of wealth that it would be detrimental to the good of the country?

Yeah.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nichlemn
What you're argued is in favour of a progressive tax system. But nothing about what you've said provides any evidence of where to draw the line. You believe that higher taxes have benefits such as reducing the chances of large fortunes emerging, but you presumably also believe they have costs (otherwise you would support a 100% top tax rate). Where do marginal costs = marginal benefits? You could make arguments for 0.1% or 99.9%.

For more on why this and other arguments miss the point, see my thread.
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
I've having a lot of trouble here because with most positions I can come up with an answer very quickly. With what you posted, I'm actually struggling. But I'll try.



Actually, I think it does. By the very nature of your statement you are saying if the gap is getting larger, it doesn't prove that taxes should increase. I would say the opposite is true. If the gap is getting larger, the top end should increase to slow down the growth rate. Yes, I'm saying the more you make the more you should be taxed. The alternative, because of the concept of compounding returns, would be self-destructive. Warren Buffett's wealth increase faster than others. Eventually, something has to give. Agree? Or am I nuts?


This would depend on what the tax rate is on the lower amount of income. I might not be conveying my thoughts well here. What I mean is that the lesser amount of money you have, the easier it should be to benefit by having a lower tax burden. The higher amount, the harder it should be. The alternative, over time, is a collapse somewhere. Not sure how many years, but it'll happen.

I'm having a lot of trouble with this post, I hope someone can expand on my theory more eloquently than I can.
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
Fair enough. And this is where I admittedly have a problem. I'm unsure where to draw the line on BOTH ends.

I might need some help here. Fly?
Wil, Nichelmn,

The fact that the rich are getting richer is not an argument for more progressive taxation. I don't have an issue with a rich person making more money, and that's not really what people are up in arms about protesting. The problem is that the poor, these lucky duckies who don't pay any income taxes, are not getting any less poor, despite not paying income taxes. The lower-middle class aren't getting any richer either. Neither are the middle class. That's what people have an issue with. It's **** like this:



https://www.nytimes.com/2006/08/28/b...pagewanted=all

Workers are increasingly productive, and our GDP has been growing (with the exception of the last few years). However, the proportional compensation to the workers has been going down since 1970, and esp. since 1980, with a brief period of reprieve in the late 90s. That's indicative of something wrong with the system. The average American should not expect to work increasingly hard but get decreasing amounts of compensation for that work, esp. while watching the people at the very top rake it in. That's not being jealous of success. It's that it takes more than just capital to make new wealth. It takes labor, too, but only the people with large amounts of capital are the ones gaining that new wealth.

So yeah, if you got better ideas about how to fix this than a more progressive tax code, Americans will be all ears. However, what we are hearing about is that the federal government can't pay its bills, and the solutions being offered by the GOP are tax cuts on the richest people despite their taxes being quite low and that a vehicle that lots of rich people use to get fantastically wealthy, and a vehicle that's only really useable by the rich -- capital gains -- is being taxed at a much lower rate than what the average American pays. Plus, the GOP is then wanting to cut things that benefit poor people, like Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security. Wait just a damn minute here. Workers have been getting poorer despite increased productivity, the richest people have gotten richer, and now those rich people want to take away government benefits AND make themselves even richer on top of that? Or else, our country will collapse under its debt?

How about another idea. How about taxing people on the top more? How about a return to Clinton-era levels of taxation, which, despite what rich people might tell you, were levels of taxation under which the economy grew and both rich and poor got richer. What we're looking for is a level of taxation that can sustain the country, sustain our social safety nets (not that they can't be improved, but they should be there), and that allows both rich and poor to benefit as the economy grows. The lowest and least progressive tax system that allows for that is the target. What we have now isn't right. We have a system that is clearly too regressive. I'm not sure what "the line" is, no one does. But the line where taxes on the rich are so high that they're not getting rich enough is really far from where we are now.
10-19-2011 , 02:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
Wil, Nichelmn,

The fact that the rich are getting richer is not an argument for more progressive taxation. I don't have an issue with a rich person making more money, and that's not really what people are up in arms about protesting. The problem is that the poor, these lucky duckies who don't pay any income taxes, are not getting any less poor, despite not paying income taxes. The lower-middle class aren't getting any richer either. Neither are the middle class. That's what people have an issue with. It's **** like this:



https://www.nytimes.com/2006/08/28/b...pagewanted=all

Workers are increasingly productive, and our GDP has been growing (with the exception of the last few years). However, the proportional compensation to the workers has been going down since 1970, and esp. since 1980, with a brief period of reprieve in the late 90s. That's indicative of something wrong with the system. The average American should not expect to work increasingly hard but get decreasing amounts of compensation for that work, esp. while watching the people at the very top rake it in. That's not being jealous of success. It's that it takes more than just capital to make new wealth. It takes labor, too, but only the people with large amounts of capital are the ones gaining that new wealth.

So yeah, if you got better ideas about how to fix this than a more progressive tax code, Americans will be all ears. However, what we are hearing about is that the federal government can't pay its bills, and the solutions being offered by the GOP are tax cuts on the richest people despite their taxes being quite low and that a vehicle that lots of rich people use to get fantastically wealthy, and a vehicle that's only really useable by the rich -- capital gains -- is being taxed at a much lower rate than what the average American pays. Plus, the GOP is then wanting to cut things that benefit poor people, like Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security. Wait just a damn minute here. Workers have been getting poorer despite increased productivity, the richest people have gotten richer, and now those rich people want to take away government benefits AND make themselves even richer on top of that? Or else, our country will collapse under its debt?

How about another idea. How about taxing people on the top more? How about a return to Clinton-era levels of taxation, which, despite what rich people might tell you, were levels of taxation under which the economy grew and both rich and poor got richer. What we're looking for is a level of taxation that can sustain the country, sustain our social safety nets (not that they can't be improved, but they should be there), and that allows both rich and poor to benefit as the economy grows. The lowest and least progressive tax system that allows for that is the target. What we have now isn't right. We have a system that is clearly too regressive. I'm not sure what "the line" is, no one does. But the line where taxes on the rich are so high that they're not getting rich enough is really far from where we are now.
I think you make a lot of good points here Wookie but a few I would like to challenge. Is there any reason to believe that tax policy under the Clinton administration had anything to do with the economic growth in that time frame? It there any reason to believe that workers wages will rise if tax on the wealthy rise?
The TEA party seems to think that the debt is our single biggest problem facing the country. The left seem to think tax fairness is. I reject both claims, we need growth.
10-19-2011 , 02:54 PM
I'll even grant that growth is the best thing for everyone. However, no one has any real ideas about how to make "growth." Most solutions proposed to create growth involve tax stuff, many of which generate even more horrendous tax inequality and are of dubious quality when it comes to actually creating growth. But, we can help fix the debt problem by addressing tax fairness. That's at least something.

Also, I'm not saying that tax policy under Clinton caused growth.
10-19-2011 , 02:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
I'll even grant that growth is the best thing for everyone. However, no one has any real ideas about how to make "growth." Most solutions proposed to create growth involve tax stuff, many of which generate even more horrendous tax inequality and are of dubious quality when it comes to actually creating growth. But, we can help fix the debt problem by addressing tax fairness. That's at least something.

Also, I'm not saying that tax policy under Clinton caused growth.
as its going, growth may lead to some more jobs for the unemployed... at lower salaries then they've had and, of course, more wealth for those at the top.
10-19-2011 , 03:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by seattlelou
The fact that there are deep. liquid, secondary markets for ownership in companies shares is the reason capital can be formed cheaply. You arguments have no basis.
As I poinjt out in my book DUCY, extreme liquidity creates a lot of professinal traders who are talented enough to do something more productive while adding very little to the ability of a company to go public.
10-19-2011 , 03:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kurto
as its going, growth may lead to some more jobs for the unemployed... at lower salaries then they've had and, of course, more wealth for those at the top.
I think if I was unemployed that is a trade I would make right now particularly if you believe the opposite is true. That less wealth at the top leads to less jobs. Clinton doesn't think this is a good time to raise taxes not sure why Obama does.
10-19-2011 , 03:04 PM
shameless plugs ITT
10-19-2011 , 03:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by seattlelou
I think if I was unemployed that is a trade I would make right now particularly if you believe the opposite is true.
that's because you have no power. Maybe you get a job working more hours and being more productive then you ever were for 1/2 the pay. You gotta eat so you take it. Doesn't mean its right. Doesn't explain the number of people who are defending this.

Quote:
That less wealth at the top leads to less jobs. Clinton doesn't think this is a good time to raise taxes not sure why Obama does.
Less wealth at the top does not lead to less jobs. Its kind of annoying the number of people who keep repeating this falsity despite evidence being posted again and again showing how job growth was better in periods when there was less income disparity.
10-19-2011 , 03:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kurto
that's because you have no power. Maybe you get a job working more hours and being more productive then you ever were for 1/2 the pay. You gotta eat so you take it. Doesn't mean its right. Doesn't explain the number of people who are defending this.



Less wealth at the top does not lead to less jobs. Its kind of annoying the number of people who keep repeating this falsity despite evidence being posted again and again showing how job growth was better in periods when there was less income disparity.
Similar to the fallacy of tax breaks for the wealthy means more jobs. Bull****. All it means is more take home for the wealthy.
10-19-2011 , 03:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
Fair enough. And this is where I admittedly have a problem. I'm unsure where to draw the line on BOTH ends.

I might need some help here. Fly?
I don't think there is a "correct" answer here. There is necessarily going to be disagreement here, it's not like "38 is not enough, 40 is too much, so 39 must be the answer!".
10-19-2011 , 03:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kurto
that's because you have no power. Maybe you get a job working more hours and being more productive then you ever were for 1/2 the pay. You gotta eat so you take it. Doesn't mean its right. Doesn't explain the number of people who are defending this.



Less wealth at the top does not lead to less jobs. Its kind of annoying the number of people who keep repeating this falsity despite evidence being posted again and again showing how job growth was better in periods when there was less income disparity.
Less wealth at the top does not equal less jobs, tax increases do. You can point to things like economic growth under the Clinton administration where taxes where higher but nobody actually thinks that it is casual. Find me one economist that says higher taxes, in isolation, leads to more jobs. Find me one economist that says tax policy under the Clinton administration led to the growth. Good economic times are when tax hikes can be justified.
The Obama administration extended the Bush tax cuts because they thought it was stimulative. President Clinton stated that tax cuts are not what this country needs at this time. It is bad policy to significantly raise taxes in a weak economy.
10-19-2011 , 03:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NMcNasty
sales taxes, excise taxes, property taxes, payroll taxes....

I don't understand why the "I am the 53%" keeps getting repeated when its so easy to show how blatantly false it is.
Pretty obvious I'm talking about income tax when it's referring to 999

      
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