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Originally Posted by Fedorfan
What can I say, free markets are prevailing in Iraq. Is this bad?
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If Iran responds after being attacked, this could draw us into a invasion/ground war.
I think you have a misunderstanding of Iran's capabilities and their doctrine.
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Not really, it's highly theoretical. Tell me when the last time the nation of Iran launched a large scale attack on another nation?
So, now you caveat attack with "large-scale"?
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You can't prove that they will use them anymore then you can prove they wont.
This is correct. Someone repeatedly threatens you by suggesting they are going to get a gun and end you. This person has friends who try to convince this person not to get a gun....and he placates his friends with words, yet he seen often looking at pawn shops. You call the police and they talk with him, yet his actions continue to indicate he might still be looking for a weapon. You have a legitimate fear of harm from this person. What do you do? How would you alleviate your fears of harm?
I do not like the logic of "we do not know so, let just wait to find out" as in some cases it's too late.
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Israel can easily nuke Iran off the map in response to any nuclear attack on Israel.
and how is this better?
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There is little evidence the establishment in Iran i.e. the decision makers/the privileged themselves are suicidal.
Some would argue that just by the lack of concessions in the current diplomatic efforts.
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Now if president Ahmadinejad pulls a suicide attack during a UN security council meeting blowing himself up or something, then I think it might be credible to assume the rulers of Iran are suicidal and I would totally change my opinion, as such they haven't done anything like that, it's more reasonable to assume they are not suicidal.
So you need an act of war to respond in kind. Fair enough, I can understand this logic. I agree in most cases. However, when the act can cause irreversible and immeasurable harm to your countries interest, I'm not sure I can wait for that to happen before I respond.
I also disagree with the premise they think the same as we do, when clearly they have very different values that govern their actions. I do not think for a minute that Iran does not feel threatened and are guarded, but I also think they lack the understanding that their actions has significant impact on the rest of the world or if they do, do not fully grasp the image they have in the west. I'm not saying they are dumb, idiots or otherwise, just they have a different perspective based on different values and objectives.
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As history has shown us, even fairly recently - It is human nature for countries like the US for example, to perceive a dire threat that just isn't real - like Vietnam with the perceived present danger of the domino communist theory that lead to our launching the war. Which in retrospect was basically totally not a real threat.
I do not disagree with this but their are cases when the threat is real.
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Also, Iran obtaining nukes would shift the geopolitical power in the middle east more in favor of Iran (along with it's eastern allies China/Russia, ect.) and at the expensive of US/nato/israel.
No withstanding my previous post, but how long do you think it will take Saudi Arabia to develop the bomb? Proliferation breeds proliferation, the worlds seeks balance. The balance in the middle east would be thrown out of whack. Now, I'm fully aware who the power brokers are and also fully aware of the interest they have in the region.
You are asserting that the US should not protect it's interest/influence in the region despite its national interest are, at least somewhat, tied to it and you say we should willingly concede this influence, willingly, to a country with no real bona fides on the Internationale stage. One, I might add, who has aided and abetted our enemy's.
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In fact i wouldn't be surprised that if Iran gets nukes the result may light a fire under Israel's ass to work out a two state solution with the Palestinians, whatever it takes.
What is annoying about this is, the repeated assertions of that the US meddling has hampered the middle east and somehow, a nefarious and subversive country like Iran can do better.
If US has no business in the Israel/Palestine conflict, I'm not sure what Persians are going to do, other than escalate the tension with another nuclear country in the mix.
Last edited by FleeingFish; 03-09-2012 at 01:17 AM.