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Originally Posted by microbet
I may be stupidly optimistic, but I think this is less than 50%. I'd go with air strikes only by the UK/UK/FR or Israel as more likely, but even that is not a lock.
The enemy is necessary just for the sake of military spending and arms sales.
Does SA really benefit from Iran falling completely apart? Some air strikes and continued proxy war in Syria and Iraq is more like it. This could turn into 50k troops back in Iraq pretty easily.
I have a hard time seeing anyone “helping” us, even France and England. I think pulling out of the Iran deal puts the United States at odds with pretty much the entire world. It strengthens and emboldens enemies and pushes away allies.
The Iraq war was a huge cluster. This is going to be much worse for the United States and the world. Iran backed by Russia and North Korea backed by China will definitely tell us to go **** ourselves and nobody else is going to want to get into that mess. We have already created the framework for our allies to depend much less on us for all sorts of things.
I was fascinated by World War II as a kid. Especially the German side. Never did I ever imagine I would know what it really is like for something like the Third Reich to happen from the inside. The brakes have been cut. There is not even an Italy or Japan. Just stupid ass America going to insist on destroying everything.
Trump loves the military and loves Generals. He will have regular war rallies and give the military unmitigated control. In fact it will be one of the first times the military will likely be trying to slow down the president. As noted both sides of the aisle will ultimately support any sort of war because 80% of most of their jobs are based around military spending.
This is different then the xenophobia and isolationism we went through in the early 20th century. We still had some relationships. That Syria bombing raid is going to be the last thing anyone assists us with for a long time. Europe has certainly been realizing they have to be making their own plans for the last 16 months.
We can’t threaten the whole world with economic sanctions, social sanctions and military sanctions. It is pure insanity and can not work on any level.
We have put ourselves in the worst possible negotiating position for pretty much everything. We have given everyone the upper hand in every single area.