obviously

This is getting uncomfortably scary:
http://time.com/4552904/donald-trump...ton-post-poll/

The Republican nominee leads by just 1 percentage point, his first lead in ABC News/Washington Post poll since May

Donald Trump is slightly ahead of Hillary Clinton for the first time in months, according to the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll.

Trump is leading with 46% of likely voters, while Clinton has 45%. The two candidates are divided by a slim .7 percentage point margin, which is well within the poll’s margin of error.

I guess that would depend on whether your boss(es) eagerly did not want you to do that essential function, wouldnt it?

Right, the economy is in good shape but we can't predict the future and something bad will almost certainly happen eventually. Something that's always true.

Well I'm convinced, that MAIL website comes out DAILY.

Can one of the pro's or wannabe pro's (or anyone who knows stuff) here chime in on NC.

As I understand it,

2012, Dems led by 6.2% after early vote, which was close to 60% of the total. Mitt won by about 2% in the end.

2016, Dems lead by 13.5%, Dems still "not at 2012 numbers" which means I guess raw vote total, but this is understandable, as selected counties did not expand polling locations until last Thursday. So, it seems that Dems will likely increase that 13.5% in the coming days, as those counties are more black than average. And those 2012 totals will likely be met as well, and the vote total will be around 60% in with an insurmountable lead for Hill.

Correct or am I missing something?

heres your friend talking about stuff

OK Hildawg, around about now would be a good time to release the N-bomb vid.

That's not what I said. Read the first two paragraphs for the challenges/problems discused. The last paragraph was just summarizing what I had previously said in my post. Non-mortage household debt is up 50% or so since the recession. Do you think this is sustainable or good? The economy is being propped up by consumption which has been propped up by low interest rates mostly. That isn't something that can continue forever especially in the face of income levels which are less today in a real sense than they were 15-20 years ago. Add in the fact hat interest rates can't really go any lower and you are in a tenous situation. Obviously something had to be done in 2008 and ther has been a strengthening of the economy since then, which as I said is commendible. Just don't be fooled that the current situation is sustainable.

http://www.slate.com/articles/busine...ve_charts.html

Also economic shocks are by definition unpredictable so it is a pretty weak gotcha attempt. The current bubble is obviously the stock market. There is no where else for people to make a return on money (well maybe real estate but that is drastically more complicated to invest in than the stock market) because of the artificially low interest rates and therefore everyone is parking their money in the stock market which has caused it to soar. It is up nearly 50% over pre-2008 levels and up like 300% from the 2008 lows with no remotely equivalent growth in the actual economy (yes there has been growth, just not anywhere near the levels we have seen in the markets).

Danny losing it, as the chances of a Lady President get closer and closer he can't even muster up kneejerk contradiction of liberals.

Now he's just like, describing people's posts. Cool story, bro.

I posted it earlier, but the data analysts working in both the Clinton and Trump campaigns are pretty confident NC is going blue

Anatta,

That's basically my amateur understanding as well. Dems need the total number of early votes to go up, particularly among blacks and it would basically clinch NC and almost clinch the election.

That said, this last week is one of the things that is so infuriating about Clinton.

So all along, the sales pitch for her over Bernie was that she was this battle-scarred Washington ace politician, right? OK. Cool.

Then she never once brings up that Obama released the birth certificate in 2008. She never once confronts Trump about his ties being made in Bangladesh. She doesn't bring up climate change, or the Central Park 5, or his general idiocy. "When they go low, we go high!" Obviously she wins all the debates anyway because Trump is Trump, but she wins by TKO, she doesn't send him to the hospital.

But the last week of the campaign, the very last week, her people are pushing these really sketchy "Trump is a Russian spy" stories? What the ****!

Nothing is ever sustainable. Things change and we have to react. GDP and workforce size are at all time highs, sometime in the future they won't be and we'll deal with it then like we always have.

It loosely translates as deplorable/irredeemable

Yeah I know one side can insist 'us' are right and them' are wrong but it amounts to diddly-squat because the other side think the same.

It's the polorization problem.

never before has there been so much time wasted on winning like the .4% of republicans who give a **** about natsec endorsements and random stupid russian conspiracies while also be willing to vote democrat

Someday this war's gonna end.

So how will we react the next time we face a 2008 level economic (or even 2000 level) calamity assuming the status quo? You can't really lower interest rates, and you will have a hard time government spending your way out of it with the large national debt and current large annual budget deficit. Print money?

What I am trying to say is that most of the usual techniques for impacting the economy are nearly maxed out and the economy while better has mostly been improved through a combination of maxing those techniques out and consumers being willing to borrow to consume. They can't take their foot even an inch off that gas pedal for fear the economy will collapse which is what the previous poster mentioned wrt interest rates.

Don't know if you've seen the NYTimes page on NC early vote:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...e-tracker.html

Partially based on poll that has HRC up +6, but early vote results are in line with that poll.

The reporter's facial expressions make this gold.

Black guy went from shock to spending 1 minute making all sorts of facial expressions to stop himself from laughing and then says to himself, "**** it" and cracks a wide open smile when she starts talking about Jesus.

Woman stays composed early but head goes down when she says something stupid and practically buries her face in her hands when she goes on about Clinton like, "I can't believe these people are choosing who runs the world." She then seems to almost be praying that this woman gets her head out of her ass at the end.

i get a feeling that ryan is trying to shift the course of the party away from the obstuctionism and radical right towards being a bit more pragmatical. at least he seems to talk like that in his fox interview and at his new page

http://abetterway.speaker.gov/


probably getting worried that the country may get lost to a person like trump one day.

People cannot still be falling for "Paul Ryan, pragmatic superwonk" pivots in 20-****ing-16

Paul Ryan and his ilk looking reasonable after this election is another negative unintended consequence; now they can "pivot" back to "moderate" Republicans who want to gut Medicare and slash other public programs in order to give the rich their well-deserved tax cuts.

Imagine living in enough of an echo chamber to think associating Hillary with a sitting President with 60% approval ratings will hurt her

i think we've learned by now that interest rates can in fact be negative. it's happened all over the world.

but the rates will come up at some point when it starts looking like there's full employment and a hint of inflation. then they'll be cut again in the next recession.