Quote:
Originally Posted by vhawk01
You are overstating it a bit. It has predictive value, it just doesnt help you (very much) to predict the answer to the completely different question that you are asking here. That being said, your question is almost always the really important one, and I would have a hard time imagining a scenario in which it would be SUPER IMPORTANT for me to get domer's question right, so maybe thats all you meant. If so I agree. The fact that the answer to his question is "fistpump Muslim" is NOT a justification for treating any particular Muslim badly.
what you said is exactly what I meant. I didn't have time to phrase things carefully. I agree that the answer to domer's question is Muslim but the point is that the question is useless as phrased. Because the question we want to answer is whether we're justified pre-emptively targeting Muslims who haven't yet done anything, not whether we can make a reasonable post-hoc assessment.
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
by working the problem backwards, you're being extremely deceptive. you seem to want to come to the conclusion that Islam and terrorism are not related, and are stretching the truth to attempt to get there by logic.
Actually that's wrong. The conclusion is not that they are entirely unrelated, but that targeting all Muslims with invasive policies is not a rational way to fight terrorism. I said this explicitly in my point (1).
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
obviously when looking at the world population in comparison to the number of terrorists, you are comparing a ridiculously huge number against a ridiculously small number.
Misrepresentation. We're not looking at the world population, just the population of Muslims. This is relevant given that the context of my argument is about why it's a bad idea to form anti-terrorism policies that treat all Muslims identically.
Quote:
Originally Posted by domer2
meanwhile, looking at the problem the correct way, an average of about 50-100 people are killed by Muslim extremists every single day in acts of terrorism.
I assume you mean worldwide. If so, I would point out that something like 40 people every day are murdered just in the U.S. And yet no one would argue that we should pass sweeping policies targeting billion-member subsets of humanity in order to address that problem.
This is essentially a bayesian stats problem. It's correct that acts of terrorism are more likely to be committed by Muslims than members of other religious groups and yet, because people who commit terrorist acts are such an infinitesimal percentage of Muslims, it's nonetheless extremely prejudicial to legally treat every Muslim as a probable terrorist. That's the entire argument. It's an argument against statements like
Cruz's about policing Muslim neighborhoods.
The argument does not mean, as I stated explicitly, that it is invalid to make any criticism of Islam or even to construct some anti-terrorism policy that might take into account the Islamic ideology of the people in question in some way. It just needs to be far more targeted to not be pure xenophobia.