Wong Teasers Basic Strategy Discussion Thread - Page 20 - Sports Betting

not sure it's right, but this is the EV*10 of freeplays at BM for those that still have them. It assumes 74% coverage on all teasers.

7 team +800 9.72
6 team +600 9.85
5 team +450 9.99
4 team +300 9.0
3 team +180 7.29

before inserting growth into the equation, 5 team is the best deal. most -110 parlays tend to fall in the ~7 region.

Quote

10-24-2010 , 06:19 AM

#477

trixtrix

adept

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 863

Quote:

Originally Posted by Poogs

What killed you, sd and atl? Atl hurt me. I actually had phi -7.5 +215 in confirmation stage just to hedge a little bit because I put atl in so many teasers at +9. Then I thought nahhh hedging is for girls

phi -7.5 +215 is not a good bet regardless, -7.5 +215/ +9 -240 is not a +ev middle (-240 is assuming you're getting a really good price on your teaser)

Quote

10-24-2010 , 10:42 AM

#478

Poogs

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 4,501

Yea I know thats why I didnt end up betting it. I only thought about it because I wanted some insurance against a Philly blowout having ATL in almost all of my teasers. Im convinced I made the right plays, just didnt work out.

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10-24-2010 , 04:38 PM

#479

stoffmakers

adept

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 1,154

damn you eagles

Quote

10-24-2010 , 04:39 PM

#480

z32fanatic

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 4,671

Quote:

Originally Posted by stoffmakers

damn you eagles

Such a horrible loss.

Quote

10-24-2010 , 04:44 PM

#481

trixtrix

adept

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 863

i think philly def just bankrupted me

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10-24-2010 , 04:49 PM

#482

Colms

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 693

damn it wong

Quote

10-24-2010 , 04:53 PM

#483

bjornb

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 4,937

swongs

Quote

10-24-2010 , 05:04 PM

#484

Peeig

adept

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 894

Don't concentrate all of your anger towards Eagles, save a little for the Broncos

Quote

10-24-2010 , 11:29 PM

#485

kdog

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,866

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peeig

Don't concentrate all of your anger towards Eagles, save a little for the Broncos

At least in that one we just got smoked from the get go. The Philly beat was horrible. Still gonna get out of this day +1 unit unless Favre throws another pick 6 on this 4th down though.

Quote

10-26-2010 , 06:18 PM

#486

kordoISback

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 1,787

its been a tough season

Quote

10-26-2010 , 06:22 PM

#487

gfxhjk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 10,757

i guess if you ignore the pre season and the first 5 weeks of the season where it rarely lost then i guess its been a tough season

Quote

10-26-2010 , 06:28 PM

#488

Parlay Slow

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2003 Posts: 8,122

Quote:

Originally Posted by rsigley

i guess if you ignore the pre season and the first 5 weeks of the season where it rarely lost then i guess its been a tough season

Quote

10-26-2010 , 06:43 PM

#489

MyTurn2Raise

Drug Free MVP

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 40,622

the week before last was the only real beyatch iirc

5 of my 7 legs that were good approx 1 hour before Sunday kickoff went through this last weekend. While not good, that isn't dreadful.

Quote

10-26-2010 , 07:04 PM

#490

Colms

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 693

I was lazy and didn't get the Broncos. Oh well.

Quote

10-30-2010 , 03:31 AM

#491

stressed

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 1,409

Anyone have a link or know all the combinations to a 6 team tease? So far I only have all the combos for 4 teams. Will take forever keying them in I know.

Quote

10-30-2010 , 03:38 AM

#492

bjornb

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 4,937

You can use a combination calculator.

http://www.mathsisfun.com/combinator...alculator.html

Quote

10-30-2010 , 10:25 AM

#493

Thremp

banned

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 36,452

Quote:

Originally Posted by rsigley

i guess if you ignore the pre season and the first 5 weeks of the season where it rarely lost then i guess its been a tough season

Quote:

Originally Posted by Parlay Slow

What have you done for me lately...

Water under the bridge...

You're always exactly even...

etc etc etc

Quote

10-31-2010 , 02:45 PM

#494

bjornb

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 4,937

Lol a book let me tease Pats +1.5

Quote

10-31-2010 , 04:03 PM

#495

z32fanatic

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 4,671

I think I'm banning CAR from all teaser bets for the rest of the season.

Quote

10-31-2010 , 05:00 PM

#496

trixtrix

adept

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 863

wash was last week's philly, sickening

Quote

10-31-2010 , 08:23 PM

#497

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

got crushed this wk. CAR, WAS, SEA. wish i would have woken up late.

Quote

10-31-2010 , 08:59 PM

#498

TheWalk

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,599

If Steelers dont cover +7.5, then I would have gone 0-5 in teaser plays. massive hit to bankroll...

Quote

10-31-2010 , 09:18 PM

#499

trixtrix

adept

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 863

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheWalk

If Steelers dont cover +7.5, then I would have gone 0-5 in teaser plays. massive hit to bankroll...

there is no difference between going 1-5 and 0-5 in teasers

Quote

10-31-2010 , 09:57 PM

#500

gfxhjk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 10,757

i think he just made 5 2 two team teasers bets? not sure how that works with the match tho since 4 choose 2 = 6

denver covered so i guess he'd win denver/steelers?

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