Tennis Betting Thread
06-17-2016
, 01:40 AM
Quote:
Kohlschreiber to beat Thiem - 1 Unit@2,04 (Pinnacle)
Now that's the kind of odds I like to see. Thiem was a pretty strong favourite last week and won it in a very tight match after bottling it when he served for it. I guess I surprise no one when I state how proficient Kohli is when he plays in Germany, he's 29-10 at this tournament for +32% and +3% roi when he plays in Germany over a really big sample size. I'm a big fan of Thiem and I think he's definitely making the top 5 sooner rather than later and could easily feature in London end of the year. But: he's playing A LOT of tennis, he came through a bunch of very tight matches last week and at some point he's bound to lose a few matches and have some things go against him. I'm very happy to take Kohli at odds against in this situation.
Now that's the kind of odds I like to see. Thiem was a pretty strong favourite last week and won it in a very tight match after bottling it when he served for it. I guess I surprise no one when I state how proficient Kohli is when he plays in Germany, he's 29-10 at this tournament for +32% and +3% roi when he plays in Germany over a really big sample size. I'm a big fan of Thiem and I think he's definitely making the top 5 sooner rather than later and could easily feature in London end of the year. But: he's playing A LOT of tennis, he came through a bunch of very tight matches last week and at some point he's bound to lose a few matches and have some things go against him. I'm very happy to take Kohli at odds against in this situation.
his last match lasted 1:09 which he won in straight sets vs Kohl who was on the court for 2:14.
Thiem has played 1 less game than KOHL over the last 10 days than KOHL.
Thiem is 22
KOHL is 32
If you like Kohl straight up: WHY NOT TAKE KOHL +1.5 sets @ -140!!!!!!!!!
vs Kohl -110
Also why is this an amazing betting spot when you said Thiem was a strong favorite last week meaning KOHL bet paid better then? Makes no sense to me and you don't explain.
It literally boggles the mind.
In short I think you are full of **** and the way you blast the football and tennis thread with your writeups that sound like you know what you are talking about but only give vague sort of ****ty reasons really rubs me the wrong way. Write real reasons, back up your statements with facts or GTFO. You scream of cheap tout bc you obviously spend a lot of time writing these up but they are just meant to scam rather than enlighten. Funny how you don't post a record either.
Post something meaningful or leave.
Last edited by OMGmartingale; 06-17-2016 at 01:52 AM.
06-17-2016
, 06:14 AM
Wowow so much hate, I guess someone had to sleep alone with his right hand in bed tonight. Let me still address that.
- You talk about meaningful statistics, then drop a random number that on its own says nothing. Sense? Thiem won 5 more return points last week, that's not exactly a ton. Although Kohl did have a better ace/df ratio so Thiem returned somewhat better, that is true. Still, Kohli had I think 3bp to extend the match when Thiem served for it so it was as tight as you can get.
- Kohl played 2:14 against Karlovic, which means he was standing and waiting to pick a side for half of the time. Another meaningless stat. Yes, Kohl is also playing his 11th straight day but it's his 39th match of the season and Thiem's 59th. I was referring more to mental fatigue than physical, clearly Thiem is super fit and happy to put in a lot of matches at this point of his career and picking a spot where a player is fatigued is a mug's game. Last week he saved bp vs Youzhny late and won, saved mp vs Fed and won and saved bp late vs Kohl and won. Before that he barely edged the second set vs Goffin where he got outplayed pretty badly. He's played a lot of tight matches recently that are bound to take their toll and I think his concentration in the following weeks might not be as super sharp. Plus I still consider grass his weakest surface.
- Not sure if you're serious with this or just trolling in a poor way. First you quote some ****ty Bet365 line for the win, then I guess you got the line from your local dealer for the set hc? Pinnacle gives 1,38 for +1,5 sets on Kohl. Real numbers please if this is supposed to be a discussion.
- Fair enough, I think odds were wrong last time around as well although this is clearly aftertiming now. I think they are still a bit too high on Kohli and I think he's worthy playing till 1,9. I gave a ton of reasons why I think that's the case.
- I'm happy if I rub you the wrong way cause this means you engage, when I checked you just threw in a bunch of unmotivated lines without any explanation that are completely useless for the average user. Let me check your tips according to your own standards: Real reason? No. Backed up by facts? No. Enlightening? No. In three posts I added more than you did. I'll be happy to post a link to my Bloga if someone is interested in records, however my posts are meant to get users thinking and doing their own research, if someone just blindly follows something without having put in his own thinking then he's not gonna get far either way.
Happy you found a funny gif, now please go back to having a real discussion or let the other do the talking
- You talk about meaningful statistics, then drop a random number that on its own says nothing. Sense? Thiem won 5 more return points last week, that's not exactly a ton. Although Kohl did have a better ace/df ratio so Thiem returned somewhat better, that is true. Still, Kohli had I think 3bp to extend the match when Thiem served for it so it was as tight as you can get.
- Kohl played 2:14 against Karlovic, which means he was standing and waiting to pick a side for half of the time. Another meaningless stat. Yes, Kohl is also playing his 11th straight day but it's his 39th match of the season and Thiem's 59th. I was referring more to mental fatigue than physical, clearly Thiem is super fit and happy to put in a lot of matches at this point of his career and picking a spot where a player is fatigued is a mug's game. Last week he saved bp vs Youzhny late and won, saved mp vs Fed and won and saved bp late vs Kohl and won. Before that he barely edged the second set vs Goffin where he got outplayed pretty badly. He's played a lot of tight matches recently that are bound to take their toll and I think his concentration in the following weeks might not be as super sharp. Plus I still consider grass his weakest surface.
- Not sure if you're serious with this or just trolling in a poor way. First you quote some ****ty Bet365 line for the win, then I guess you got the line from your local dealer for the set hc? Pinnacle gives 1,38 for +1,5 sets on Kohl. Real numbers please if this is supposed to be a discussion.
- Fair enough, I think odds were wrong last time around as well although this is clearly aftertiming now. I think they are still a bit too high on Kohli and I think he's worthy playing till 1,9. I gave a ton of reasons why I think that's the case.
- I'm happy if I rub you the wrong way cause this means you engage, when I checked you just threw in a bunch of unmotivated lines without any explanation that are completely useless for the average user. Let me check your tips according to your own standards: Real reason? No. Backed up by facts? No. Enlightening? No. In three posts I added more than you did. I'll be happy to post a link to my Bloga if someone is interested in records, however my posts are meant to get users thinking and doing their own research, if someone just blindly follows something without having put in his own thinking then he's not gonna get far either way.
Happy you found a funny gif, now please go back to having a real discussion or let the other do the talking
06-22-2016
, 09:04 PM
