Halep falling apart. Hedged a little right before the end of the 2nd set.

Gotta be ****ing kidding me with that halep.

I cannot stress enough how much WTA is tilting me in general tis year...

KUZNETSOVA -130 3.9u

Lol I have come around on this on. Am pushing to 5.2 units if I can get it on my book. **** the wta. This isn't how it ends.

Kuz -135 5.4u

Man, sweating Kuznetsova Vs Makarva is tilting me so much.

kyrgios -320 6.4u | W 2u

halep -275 5.5u | L -5.5u


Kuznetsova -135 5.4u | W 4u


W/L: +0.5u | 3/1
Risked / Won: 17.3 / 0.5
Miami Open W/L: ~(4.5u)



Thoughts on the day:

this +6

Ah btw @OMGmartingale I wantet to point out how much i liked your post about the Halep game! This was a fine piece of analasys on your part. Id love to read some more.

Cheers and keep your chin down - says the boxer.

except i missed the most important part in my analysis: styles make fights.
Would feel better about it if I didn't feel responsible for the Halep loss on the board, especially cause i doubled down. still can't decide if i was on the right or wrong side of radwanska and halep losses. feels like they both broke mentally, but considering they both collapsed in the same way (win the first set convincingly, bewilderingly get crushed in the 2nd and 3rd).... maybe i am not giving bacs enough credit.

gut still says halep gave up. (i didn't watch second set, turned back in to watch complete collapse in the 3rd). even more frustrating was haleps insistence to not attack bacs forehand. bacs is dangerous if you let her keep switching the pace with moonball forehands and crisp backhands. hard to get a rhythm if you let her dictate points.

Just quickly want to mention, that i dont blame you for any loss - as a grown up and critical mind it is the punters own responsability what info he follows and what bet he places.

AZARENKA -380 might be the lock of the year. Risking 7.6u

Vika -390 7.8u (i agree with RU here)

will likely bet tomorrow:
Keys +105 2.1u (might push this to ~4u bc i hate myself and love WTA drama)
djoker -800 (22-2 v birdy)

RU, you have a read on Goffin / Simon?

Aza/Novak -270 for me probably - still reeling from Halep

Going to pass on Simon/goffin match. They are virtual clones of themselves

If I had to pick I'd probably go with goffin

leaning towards keys +110

Only fired
Vika -390 3.9u
Got gun shy with way konta is playing.

win

win
doubled up

loss
doubled up

win

win


YTD: 50-27 +8.42u

decided to add goffin -120 2.4u

He has been much more consistent than simon this year, and i think simon may have a bit of a hangover going from destroying much lower competition yesterday

considering dropping 9u to pick up a solid unit on novak. The only person on earth id lay 9u on

At least you can get Djoker at -900. I'm looking at -1000.

I tailed westswindon and went with Aza/Novak -270.

Raonic-165 over Kyrgios Thursday? This line seems favorable.

Keys -100 2u
Djoker now -1050 right around ev but I may lay it.... Liked -800 a lot better