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Page 136 of 274

First

36 86 116 126 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 146 156 186 236

Last

09-28-2015 , 03:59 PM

#3376

Porkchop Express

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 199

Quote:

Originally Posted by h_ven

Shrewd

adjective

having or showing sharp powers of judgment; astute.

Yes, it was a shrewd pick.

Quote

09-29-2015 , 01:46 PM

#3377

h_ven

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,565

Quote:

Originally Posted by Porkchop Express

Yes, it was a shrewd pick.

On 9/23 Carolina was only -3.5
Then on 9/25 the spread wen to 10

So it ended up being a safer than I had expected

Quote

09-29-2015 , 02:23 PM

#3378

wamplerr

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2002 Posts: 1,233

Quote:

Originally Posted by housenuts

Just noticed User 189 cleaned up the Shark Pool. 1 btc entry - 52 btc prize pool. He still has 6 entries remaining, but pool considered done, since he's only one remaining. He had 30 of the 52 entries in that pool lol.

He still has 6 of the remaining 8 entries in the .5 btc pool. 30 of 61 entries in that one.

He's going to have a nice edge doing that right? On one hand, he's forced to take some -EV picks early to diversify. I doubt all those entries got through week 2 on PIT?

But once he's got 4 out of 6 remaining entries or so, he's got a big advantage since he knows what 2/3rds of the pool will be picking?

Extreme example, if A and B are equally skilled at NFL survivor, and A gets 95 entries and B gets 5 for a winner take all Survivor, doesn't A have more than 95% equity from the start?

Quote

09-29-2015 , 03:15 PM

#3379

Porkchop Express

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 199

Quote:

Originally Posted by h_ven

On 9/23 Carolina was only -3.5
Then on 9/25 the spread wen to 10

So it ended up being a safer than I had expected

Im glad Vegas agreed with my shrewdness.

Quote

09-29-2015 , 03:18 PM

#3380

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Got through with HOU when 70% of the field was on SEA or NE. Should come in handy later in the season, if not immediately in these next few weeks.

Also through in other pools with HOU, CAR, GB, SEA, NE.

Quote

09-30-2015 , 07:49 AM

#3381

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,894

Quote:

Originally Posted by wamplerr

Not sure I agree. Player A is going to be making lots of -ev picks, whereas player B is going to be making +ev picks.

However, on the flip side, Player A basically knows what every 'other' player is picking so can make +ev picks, whereas Player B does not know what others are picking and can only guess.

Ha I just argued both sides. I really don't know how the math works out.

Quote

09-30-2015 , 06:01 PM

#3382

canabiz

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 228

Anyone looking at SD this week? Leaky D but Browns maybe missing a few DBs.

I suppose Indy, Arizona, Green Bay and Seattle will all be popular choices.

Quote

09-30-2015 , 06:03 PM

#3383

DrDanimal

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 1,502

Seattle this week

Quote

10-01-2015 , 12:11 AM

#3384

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Quote:

Originally Posted by canabiz

Anyone looking at SD this week? Leaky D but Browns maybe missing a few DBs.

I suppose Indy, Arizona, Green Bay and Seattle will all be popular choices.

I think SD will actually be more popular then GB/SEA but less popular then IND and it's confirmed on survivorgrid...as most people used GB week 1, SEA last week.

Quote

10-01-2015 , 05:03 PM

#3385

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Lots and lots of directions to go this week. Went with San Diego in Wednesday lock-in pool.

Already have full season projection spreadsheets for a few pools. Going to be on 5 different teams this week (not including my rebuy pools). Housenuts, show off and see if you can guess the other 4.

Quote

10-02-2015 , 12:01 AM

#3386

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,894

Quote:

Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk

.
Already have full season projection spreadsheets for a few pools. Going to be on 5 different teams this week (not including my rebuy pools). Housenuts, show off and see if you can guess the other 4.

Ha I'm in one of your pools so can't help you out. Guess not SD in that one.

Also would help to know the field remaining in the others.

Quote

10-02-2015 , 12:01 AM

#3387

ProfBets

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,976

Literally can't wait for this guy in my pool to bust, week 2 has all 3 remaining picks on MIN, week 3 all 3 picks on SEA, and this week all 3 picks on BAL lol ur luck is bout to run out in a super deep pool, keep on gamblin'.

Quote

10-02-2015 , 12:18 AM

#3388

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Quote:

Originally Posted by housenuts

Ha I'm in one of your pools so can't help you out. Guess not SD in that one.

Also would help to know the field remaining in the others.

I'm in one that is down to 12 from 150 starting. Other than that, every other pool has between 100 & 300 people remaining. Putting more value in diversification of picks between those pool right now while avoiding picking 2-4 teams in each to save for later

Quote

10-02-2015 , 08:05 AM

#3389

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,894

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfBets

and this week all 3 picks on BAL lol ur luck is bout to run out in a super deep pool, keep on gamblin'.

Is this guy Mike Tomlin cuz he gave BAL the win last night

Quote

10-02-2015 , 11:00 AM

#3390

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,767

I went all in this week on a game I feel like the line is about 7 points off.

Quote

10-02-2015 , 11:15 AM

#3391

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 49,894

^ how many pools are you in? i look forward to your reveal prior to kickoff. also you should go all-in on the spread at a book.

Quote

10-02-2015 , 01:00 PM

#3392

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,767

Well I won 3 of them after week 2. I have 4 remaining.

Quote

10-02-2015 , 01:39 PM

#3393

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

I'd guess Eddy Sharp is on Arizona this week

Quote

10-02-2015 , 02:12 PM

#3394

h_ven

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,565

My friend has a boner for AZ this week too. We split action in some pools, I thankfully talked him out of it and we went with Indy. 3 of us left, and I'm sure that at least 1, if not both of the of the other entries have used Sea and or Indy.

I tried to explain how he and my other friend should be crushing books if they can handicap so well.

Quote

10-02-2015 , 02:56 PM

#3395

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,767

Quote:

Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk

I'd guess Eddy Sharp is on Arizona this week

No but I'm guessing you will be on the same as me.

Quote

10-02-2015 , 06:52 PM

#3396

Porkchop Express

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 199

Quote:

Originally Posted by EddyB66

I went all in this week on a game I feel like the line is about 7 points off.

Oakland?

Quote

10-02-2015 , 07:18 PM

#3397

h_ven

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,565

3 of us left
I have took Indy

Indy -450
GB -345
SD -320

Can't wait to see what happens when they sit luck or he tries to play....
Would be in the perfect spot if Luck was 100%

Quote

10-02-2015 , 09:26 PM

#3398

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Quote:

Originally Posted by h_ven

There's no reason to not know the answer this question before making your picks

Quote

10-03-2015 , 01:03 PM

#3399

h_ven

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2004 Posts: 5,565

Quote:

Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk

There's no reason to not know the answer this question before making your picks

There's no website for this one. All done via text and recorded by hand, so there's nothing I can check. My entry is gone so he's doing all the communication. We have been getting the pick distributions when we got down to 5, just not sure what they picked week 1 and 2, and not sure which entry is picking what.