Bears this week remind me of Falcons last week.

I'm in a smallish pool with 5 left ($200 b/i 18 started). I've used Colts, Ravens, Seahawks, Saints, Rams.

A lot of the other people are running out of good picks.

Was thinking I might as well use Denver now but now I'm starting to think Chicago/San Fran.

Thoughts?

Do the others have DEN, SF, SEA available? If not, I'd use DEN cuz who knows about other picks and u might be sitting pretty after a couple small upsets.

Thanks. Only one other person has Denver and he will be picking them this week.

So 2/5 including urself would be on DEN, and other 3 would have to be on something else...yea I'd take it this week, SF and CHI I'd say have chances of being upset.

Any reason to not use DEN this week in a pool where u can re use teams? 600 ish remain from initial 1800 ish, even tho I expect a large majority of the pool to be on DEN.

If you have Denver left I would be using them because there is a good chance most people do not. I would definitely use them if I had them available with a lot of 8+ favs this week that I think are vulnerable. Consider yourself lucky, and move on to week 7.

Convinced. Thank you.

If you still have Denver left, it is definitely OK to pick them this week.

I'm taking KC in two leagues and staying away from CHI tonite, taking Denver is the 2nd chance pool that started week 5

If KC wins on Sunday I have a good feeling through week 13

Why do you want to take Denver in this 2nd chance Pool? I assume you guys started with a clean slate?

Many folks will be on them (vs. Original Pool where many people have already taken Denver) and Denver still has a ton of future value.

For 2nd chance Pool, I think teams like Houston or KC are a better proposition.

Just my $0.02

Good point, cause I wasn't sure what to do in week 14. I think I'll save Denver for then vs TEN and probably use KC for this pool too.

Chiefs in the last 2 entries I have left. One has 3k left. Other has 30ish

Im on the chefs too in 2 more pools. I took Chicago for one also

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Taking the J-E-T-S today and gonna tease the Steelers, Chiefs, Seahawks and Texans and hope I lose. 13 pt tease.

The Jets are -123 at Pinnacle right now, they beat Pittsburgh today only 55% of the time. There's no reason to be taking them unless you're in a pool with non-standard rules.

If I cap a game and I think they have the best chance to win why can't I take them? I already used Seattle, I'm never taking the Texans and I'm not a fan of divisional games. I have the Jets winning handily today.

Tampa was my strongest play, but with the distraction going on I needed a new team. Contemplated the Ravens, but I'll take the Jets.

I'm guessing it will start out at -9.5 and then get bet to -10/.5 .

Because there are expert handicapers who are more knowledgeable than you and I and have tens of millions of dollars more than we do riding on the lines in these games being right?!

Denver -5500
Seattle -575
San Francisco -480
Kansas City -350
Houston -340
Dallas -248
Cincinnati -209
Philadelphia -134
Minnesota -129
Detroit -126
Green Bay -125
NY Jets -123
New England -120
Indianapolis -111

Considering win probability alone, there are 11 better picks this week, 12 if you include Chicago.

There's no reason to avoid divisional games. Every piece of information like that is reflected in the moneyline. Yeah, if Oakland and Kansas City weren't in the same division, Chiefs moneyline would probably be -380. Everything is already factored in.

Most importantly, what makes you think the Jets win this game handily today?

My guess is the picks this week weight out as

KC
Seattle
SF
Den

Assuming most people used Den already.

Not a fan of divisional games

But fan of being against teams off a bye

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He's got the Jets winning handily today as his best survivor pick, and yet he doesn't even tout Jets +1 as a top-4 pick against the spread:

Diversification.

lol jets