NFL Survivor Picks - Page 36 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Line is 3.5, QB change, divisional game. Unpickable unless you've already burned Dallas, New Orleans, Green Bay, Baltimore... and probably Pittsburgh too.

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10-21-2011 , 04:06 PM

#878

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,788

Reports say Palmer isn't starting. Raiders have dominated in the division, but new Orleans seems to be the play.

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10-21-2011 , 04:30 PM

#879

2AcesSuited

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 241

Definitly on NO, No one in my league has used Dallas so im assuming everyone will have them for one of their picks. I know STL is a long shot to take them out esp if Bradford is out, but I wanna try and take another team + NO on that outside chance. Will have to think about another option.

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10-21-2011 , 05:19 PM

#880

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,788

Are you in a pool that you need to take 2 teams every week? Or do you have 2 entries? Dallas, green bay, new Orleans, or raiders seem to be pretty good. Not a fan of taking road teams but green bay is an exception. Maybe even throw Detroit in there coming off a loss.

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10-23-2011 , 04:31 PM

#881

vexo

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 575

Out of 8 left in league:

4 on Saints (me being one)
3 on Ravens
1 on Cowboys

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10-25-2011 , 12:18 AM

#882

vexo

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 575

**** yeah jags, down to 5 in my pool now.

That awful Ravens game scared me off my week 8 pick tho

leaning towards 49ers now

Last edited by vexo; 10-25-2011 at 12:39 AM.

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10-25-2011 , 12:50 AM

#883

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,788

Best time to take a good team is off a loss. Down to 49 in my pool. Have a feeling everyone will be on the giants next week, including myself.

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10-25-2011 , 09:53 AM

#884

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,315

Quote:

Originally Posted by EdBratz66

Best time to take a good team is off a loss. Down to 49 in my pool. Have a feeling everyone will be on the giants next week, including myself.

Here are the early week 8 lines:

Code:

NYG -10  vs. MIA
TEN -9.5 vs. IND
SF  -9.5 vs. CLE
BUF -5.5 vs. WAS
CAR -3.5 vs. MIN
PHI -3.5 vs. DAL
SD  -3.5  @  KC
CIN -2.5  @  SEA
NE  -2.5  @  PIT
DET  off  @  DEN
BAL  off vs. ARZ
NO   off  @  STL
HOU  off vs. JAX

I'd be surprised if picks are concentrated on one team this week, as at a quick glance, there look to be five games that have roughly the same spreads: NO, TEN, SF, NO and BAL.

I'm going to play the waiting game. If win probability for each of these five teams is roughly the same, I'd need to look at future value and what % of other people are on these teams. BAL and NO have the most future value, NYG appears to have the least.

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10-25-2011 , 10:23 AM

#885

vexo

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 575

Quote:

Originally Posted by EdBratz66

Best time to take a good team is off a loss. Down to 49 in my pool. Have a feeling everyone will be on the giants next week, including myself.

I know its great to take them off a loss, but that was an atrocious loss. Flacco had 1 passing yard in the first half, also looked like Ed Reed may have dislocated his shoulder.

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10-25-2011 , 02:25 PM

#886

2AcesSuited

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 241

A lot of guys bumped due to Balt, and DET. Also saw a few on OAK. 20 guys left, I imagine everyone left being on SF, or Balt this week. I'm gonna lean to Balt for sure.

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10-25-2011 , 07:12 PM

#887

2J4U

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,555

Baltimore looks good this week

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10-25-2011 , 10:21 PM

#888

toon84

centurion

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 158

As I posted in the week 8 thread. SF is a blow out win this week. Ii can't see Cleveland within 2 touchdowns.

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10-25-2011 , 10:58 PM

#889

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,788

May want to save San Fran for a tougher week down the road. When else would you take the giants or Tennessee?

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10-26-2011 , 03:08 AM

#890

TheGreenMile

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,109

There is zero chance ravens lose this week. At least occasionally sf gets clipped. I think Houston is safer then sf this week.

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10-26-2011 , 03:27 PM

#891

BraveJayhawk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 8,575

Mostly Houston this week. Tennessee with the rest.

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10-26-2011 , 04:13 PM

#892

mike ski

adept

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 822

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheGreenMile

There is zero chance ravens lose this week. .

common now, if we've learned anything from NFL it's that nobody has a zero chance.

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10-26-2011 , 07:02 PM

#893

vexo

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 575

leaning back towards baltimore, beanie wells out with a bone bruise on right knee

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10-26-2011 , 08:04 PM

#894

2AcesSuited

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 241

Houston will be popular, can the Jags wipe some pools again

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10-27-2011 , 03:38 PM

#895

DoubleR90

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 546

Man I'm torn between Houston and Tennessee this week. I kind of want to save Baltimore and SF for later in the season. Chis Johnson hasn't been performing thus far and I feel like with all the criticism he is getting that he has a good opportunity to punch out a good game at home against the Colts. With that being said I simply don't trust the Titans right now and after getting absolutely embarrassed last week by NO I feel like Indianapolis is going to come out swinging this week to get a W on the board....I guess all of that makes Houston a safer pick?

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10-27-2011 , 04:02 PM

#896

vexo

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 575

Quote:

Originally Posted by EdBratz66

May want to save San Fran for a tougher week down the road. When else would you take the giants or Tennessee?

Like week 11 with Arizona coming to San Fran

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10-27-2011 , 05:09 PM

#897

nyc999

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 18,676

I really like Houston this week.

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10-28-2011 , 06:12 PM

#898

DoubleR90

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 546

Quote:

Originally Posted by vexo

Like week 11 with Arizona coming to San Fran

or week 13 when the Rams come to SF

. Knock on wood for no upset because I got them locked in for that week for me lol

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10-29-2011 , 11:34 AM

#899

housenuts

1st Quartiled the 500

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 51,676

25 hours left to join $25 survivor league. $300 in prize pool so far. PM me.

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/15...k-8-a-1115587/

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10-30-2011 , 12:42 PM

#900

accobra_kid

$tat$ King

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 15,315

I'm going with NYG this week.

Teams used: HOU, DET, TEN, TB, NE, CIN, NO, NYG.

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