NBA 2015-16 Betting Discussion - Page 37 - Sports Betting

Thoughts on taking Spurs ML at -330? Seems like the risk of the Spurs losing isn't that high considering they're playing the Heat (just lost to the Clippers, 23rd in power ranking, Spurs with the best point differential, etc.)

is -330 too low?

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02-09-2016 , 04:00 PM

#902

Sm00th

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 155

Quote:

Originally Posted by Balerion1

-330 is a lot of juice

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02-09-2016 , 04:02 PM

#903

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sm00th

-330 is a lot of juice

Analysis at its finest.

Quote

02-09-2016 , 04:09 PM

#904

Balerion1

adept

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 1,056

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sm00th

-330 is a lot of juice

I know, the juice is pretty high.

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02-09-2016 , 04:11 PM

#905

Balerion1

adept

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 1,056

Anyone like this bet though? You know, just to pad the BR a bit.

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02-09-2016 , 06:20 PM

#906

chriswt

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 224

spurs -7.0 (-107)
wizards -1.0 (-110)
celtics -4.0 (-105)
jazz +2.0 (-105), over 186.5 (-110)
warriors -14.0 (+100), under 230.5 (-110)

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02-09-2016 , 06:32 PM

#907

Wh1teNorth

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 626

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sm00th

Thanks for the plays! Going to follow for a while. Any experience with 5dimes?

Never had an account on 5dimes, I've heard issues with their cash out policies taking weeks and weeks to be processed among other things.

I'm only using two books at the moment which are Bet365 & Sports Interaction.

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02-09-2016 , 06:36 PM

#908

Wh1teNorth

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 626

Quote:

Originally Posted by Balerion1

Why not take them at an alternate spread for lower juice? If they win the game which I'm around 95% they will, it'll be by 5 or more with the amount of fouls that will take place in the end of the game.

You can have -4.5 @ 365 for -175 or -5.5 for -140.

All plays are far more profitable than simply taking them ML @ a rediculous -330 line.

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02-09-2016 , 07:30 PM

#909

just_mo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

Spurs/Heat u196

All the lines look fair today.

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02-09-2016 , 07:33 PM

#910

Balerion1

adept

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 1,056

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wh1teNorth

For sure, will look into this.

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02-09-2016 , 07:50 PM

#911

cotesc

centurion

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 187

YTD: 48-40 +10.86 U

MIL +151
WAS -1.5 -109
HOU + 13.5 -105
HOU U 230 -108
GS

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02-10-2016 , 01:07 AM

#912

cotesc

centurion

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 187

SO, an all defensive second half for the gs game? lol

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02-10-2016 , 01:08 AM

#913

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

Quote:

Originally Posted by grumpy64

37-35-33.52
Wash+1.5-115 3.48 units

37-35-33.52
Wash+1.5-115 3.48 units
Hou+7.5 2h 3 units

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02-10-2016 , 02:25 AM

#914

CRMartin11

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2015 Posts: 250

I should have bet the farm when I was getting Houston +17.5

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02-10-2016 , 06:21 AM

#915

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

Quote:

Originally Posted by grumpy64

37-35-33.52
Wash+1.5-115 3.48 units
Hou+7.5 2h 3 units

1-1+.18
36-34-34.34

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02-10-2016 , 11:10 AM

#916

Wh1teNorth

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 626

Quote:

Originally Posted by CRMartin11

I should have bet the farm when I was getting Houston +17.5

+1. Houston played far above what anyone thought they would have, shame they didn't have enough juice left in the 4th to make the game really interesting. Golden State is so deep with their established bench players that its difficult for any team to compete.

They posted a -5.5 line after it was tied 93-93 going into the fourth. Hope some of you grabbed that!

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02-10-2016 , 11:42 AM

#917

Balerion1

adept

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 1,056

Seeing dubs/suns o/u at 220.5 rn. Is this likely due to both teams not pushing too hard since this is the last game before the all-star?

Thunder/Suns game easily went over 220 a few days back. Suns can put up at least 100 on the dubs, no?

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02-10-2016 , 12:21 PM

#918

Wh1teNorth

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 626

Quote:

Originally Posted by Balerion1

I wouldn't touch the O/U this game, strictly because there are so many factors that can/would affect this. Chances are Kerr is going to rest Draymond, Klay and Steph but in what quarter? Whose the say if they crush the first half he pulls all the starters and puts in Livington, Speights, Barboza for the rest of the game.

If I was to lean on anything for this game it would be the Under.

Quote

02-10-2016 , 01:19 PM

#919

just_mo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

Suns +17
Bulls +3.5 2u
Nets +4.5
Rox +5.5

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02-10-2016 , 01:48 PM

#920

DrDanimal

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 1,502

Sac ML -180

Quote

02-10-2016 , 02:10 PM

#921

Wh1teNorth

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 626

Spurs -7.5 2u
Hawks -3.5 1u
Raptors -6 2u

Game that's interesting to me is Clippers @ Celtics. May post a lean later tonight if I find a good spot.

Chicago not having Jimmy Butler for an extended period of time only makes things worse in Chicago.

Quote

02-10-2016 , 02:28 PM

#922

Balerion1

adept

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 1,056

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wh1teNorth

I wouldn't touch the O/U this game, strictly because there are so many factors that can/would affect this. Chances are Kerr is going to rest Draymond, Klay and Steph but in what quarter? Whose the say if they crush the first half he pulls all the starters and puts in Livington, Speights, Barboza for the rest of the game.

If I was to lean on anything for this game it would be the Under.

Which is why I'm leaning towards just leaving this game alone. I don't ever feel comfortable at taking dubs under w/e t the o/u is. Put up 233 last night, redonk

Quote

02-10-2016 , 02:55 PM

#923

chriswt

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 224

4-3, +.71 yesterday

spurs -8.0 (-105)
pacers over 200.0 (-107)
2_clippers +1.5 (-104)
hawks -3.0 (-110)
cavs over 209.0 (-105)
raptors -6.0 (-102)
jazz over 195.5 (-110)
warriors -16.5 (-105), 1Q warriors -5.5 (-110), 1H over 112.5 (-110)

Quote

02-10-2016 , 03:29 PM

#924

Wh1teNorth

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 626

Quote:

Originally Posted by Balerion1

Which is why I'm leaning towards just leaving this game alone. I don't ever feel comfortable at taking dubs under w/e t the o/u is. Put up 233 last night, redonk

May be the best option to be honest, find a better spot.

Quote

02-10-2016 , 03:37 PM

#925

Balerion1

adept

Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 1,056

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wh1teNorth

May be the best option to be honest, find a better spot.

Yea, in general I'm not good at handicapping NBA around all-star game and closer to the season ending. It's hard to gauge a team's commitment.

But this one seems like a leave it alone spot.

On a side note, hope Kerr doesn't suffer another set back.

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