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NBA 2015-16 Betting Discussion NBA 2015-16 Betting Discussion

02-18-2016 , 07:34 PM
I got clips +4.5
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02-18-2016 , 11:25 PM
Clips +3 (K Leonard is out)

the line is vacillating between +2 and +3 on bovada. i booked it at +3.
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02-19-2016 , 02:41 AM
Man the lines in this sport are unbelievably sharp. I built some model based on the ESPN real plus minus ratings. I actually didn't use it for the game line, I was using it to handicap quarter betting to see if some teams should be faded in a given quarter based on stars being out or backups really sucking, also the jump ball was included, etc. This was a waste of time as there was at most 1 game every two days where a given quarter differed by more than 1 point from the line you'd get just taking the expected spread for each quarter based on the game spread and you need like a half point difference to break even at -110.

What I couldn't believe was that game line as found by the sum of the four quarters never differed by more than a point, maybe 1.5 points from my rating unless I had the wrong rotation set up due to an injury. I mean I'm sure there are some serious basketball handicappers out there that think RPM is a joke and have their own thing that's better, but it shouldn't be so easy to replicate the closing line in any sport.
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02-19-2016 , 02:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Yvaris
yeah that was just nasty they literally shot lights out and play 0 defense the 1st 25 minutes of the game.... unreal....
Why did you think they were going to play defense?
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02-19-2016 , 07:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cotesc
Why did you think they were going to play defense?
You'd think the staff would be encouraged to tell the players to put on a show AND make it a decent game. Plus last year the total was like 240 and its only 40 min game. Guess when it seems too good than you missed something.

i like tonights char vs milwaukee 201 o and char ml
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02-19-2016 , 04:29 PM
Derrick o 19.5 @-120

He's gonna take a **** on Lowry the night after doing it to Irving. Free money
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02-19-2016 , 05:42 PM
Golden State -8.5 2u
Boston -1.5 1u
Raptors -6.5 1u
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02-19-2016 , 06:13 PM
Dubs -9
Raptors -6.5

Shouldn't the Raptors line be closer to 8 or 9?
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02-19-2016 , 06:21 PM
Taking bulls ML +250 and o200 for +568.

That's why mama named me Dirt instead of Nunnemaker.
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02-19-2016 , 07:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Balerion1
Dubs -9
Raptors -6.5

Shouldn't the Raptors line be closer to 8 or 9?
With Jimmy Butler still out of action absolutely it should be, unless Rose goes off for 40 points I can't see Chicago winning this game. I'm shocked that the GS/Portland line wasn't 10+ for GS.
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02-19-2016 , 08:35 PM
wizards UNDER 209.0
nets UNDER 200.0
hornets -1.0
grizzlies OVER 205.0
pelicans UNDER 206.0
[X2] raptors -6.5
nuggets +4.0
[X3] celtics -1.0
// OVER 195.0
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02-20-2016 , 02:49 PM
That last 2 seconds basket by BEN ****ING MCLAMORE......
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02-20-2016 , 06:30 PM
Anyone going big on gs -3.5?
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02-20-2016 , 08:17 PM
wolves -2.5 (x2)
warriors -3.5
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02-20-2016 , 09:34 PM
YTD : 54-43 +14.16

GS -4 -105


GS at 3.5 is a gimme if you got a decent price.
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02-21-2016 , 12:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cotesc
YTD : 54-43 +14.16

GS -4 -105


GS at 3.5 is a gimme if you got a decent price.
So much for that, can't believe the Clippers kept it that close until the end. I'm getting absolutely crushed last 2 days think I am a combined 1-9 for -10u.

Not a good start to the 2nd half of the season.
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02-21-2016 , 03:23 PM
0-3 thanks gsw

thunder -3.0
nuggets +3.0
pacers +1.0
grizzlies +8.0
lakers +7.0
blazers -3.0
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02-22-2016 , 04:00 PM
thinking of fading myself since post-all star break has been awful
cavs -8.5
pacers +2.5
raptors -3.5
warriors -6.0
wolves +5.0
NBA 2015-16 Betting Discussion Quote
02-22-2016 , 07:27 PM
YTD: 54-44 +13.11 U

PHX +15.5 -108
LAL
MIL U 209.5 -104
TOR -156
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02-22-2016 , 09:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wh1teNorth
So much for that, can't believe the Clippers kept it that close until the end. I'm getting absolutely crushed last 2 days think I am a combined 1-9 for -10u.

Not a good start to the 2nd half of the season.
Guys you really think the clippers can score with the warriors at this point? Goodness prigioni had to hit 2 3s late in that game for them to cover. I take the same bet again any day.
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02-23-2016 , 01:10 PM
Sixers +6
Kings +2
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02-23-2016 , 03:40 PM
orlando -5.5, over 207.0
(x2) pelicans +5.5
portland -11.0
jazz -4.5
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02-23-2016 , 08:17 PM
Rockets ML +160
POR o212
Kings +2.5

+880
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02-23-2016 , 08:28 PM
YTD: 56-45 +14.03 U

ORL -5.5 -102
U 208.5 -105
WAS -4.5 -110
U 217.5 -102
UTH -4.5 -106
U 204 -105
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02-24-2016 , 01:02 PM
Cavs -8
Spurs -7
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