Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
MMA Thread MMA Thread

12-08-2012 , 06:58 PM
UFC on Fox bets:
Rory itd 7u @ +181
Bendo via UD 4u @ +205
Rory/Penn itd 2.16u @ -113
Shogun/Gust itd 1u @ -130
Stephens/Yves decision 1u @ -105
Trujillo/LeVesseur itd 1u @ +110
Shogun 0.66u @ +180
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 07:05 PM
Ended up making two 0.2u bets on both in addition to my 0.5u parlay on Jorgsensen/Siver. Didn't play Trujillo/Levesseur

Rest of my card

0.7u Martinez (added 0.2u since the odds got a bit better)
2u Nijem
3.8u Bendo
2u Swick
0.5u Penn
0.5u Easton
0.5u Stephens
0.5u Gustaffson
0.05u (thought it was 0.1u but its not) parlay on Jorgsensen/Siver/Gus/Bendo/Swick/Nijem/Easton/Stephens

Edit: added 0.5u to win 2.74u on Nijem+Bendo+Swick parlay
Edit2: added 6x 0.5u bets (3u total) for 6x2 fight parlays with Nijem, Bendo, Swick, Easton as the four fighters. 3/4 is smallish profit and i'm expecting to get 3/4 there most of the time with 4/4 and 2/4 about the same amount.

Last edited by SwoopAE; 12-08-2012 at 07:13 PM.
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 07:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris M
UFC on Fox bets:
Rory itd 7u @ +181
Bendo via UD 4u @ +205
Rory/Penn itd 2.16u @ -113
Shogun/Gust itd 1u @ -130
Stephens/Yves decision 1u @ -105
Trujillo/LeVesseur itd 1u @ +110
Shogun 0.66u @ +180
GL, but I really, really, really hate the Rory ITD bet. Penn isn't getting finished in a 3 rounder unless he's hoplessly out of shape imo.
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 07:18 PM
Wow martinez has a chin. He can land a counter here though so the bet is live imo Cruickshank throwing some risky flashy things
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 07:21 PM
Excellent round. Ref's running in expecting to call an end to it and Martinez stays standing and starts swinging back and tagging Cruickshank at the end of the round.

10-9 Cruickshank, amazing round. Surely someone's getting finished here, even if not 2 more rounds of that will be FOTN
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 07:25 PM
Wow, what a fight, I don't even care that my bet lost to put me back close to even for the card. I missed the first three but i'd be surprised if this isn't FOTN so far even though they slowed down a bit in r2 - Cruickshank is either getting KOTN or FOTN for that
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 07:47 PM
10-9 Nijem, they dropped each other once each but Ramsey controlled most of the round and landed a bit more gnp and took his back twice etc.

Ramsey's chin is the only thing that will hold him back from becoming a top 15 fighter, if his chin can hold up he'll win this easily
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 07:47 PM
what a first round in the ramsey fight, great action.
how could u not love this sport?
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 07:53 PM
Close round, depends how you score sub attempts. Hopefully he doesn't lose the third round since if he does, split decision incoming
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:00 PM
Ended up with small bet on Penn also
Diaz 1U
Alex 1U
Penn .5U
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:00 PM
29-28 and 30-27 both acceptable scores, r2 was pretty much a flip.

I'm going to predict 30-27 30-27 29-28 Nijem from the judges

Edit: ok, 30-27 29-28 29-28, close enough.
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:04 PM
Any way to watch this on the computer from a USA IP address?
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:09 PM
vipbox.tv, check the ufc streams section - i assume itll work in the US it did when I was there a year and a half ago
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:15 PM
Well that was the polar opposite of the rest of the card, what a terrible round. I had Easton edging it until the last 30 seconds of cage leaning, i'm worried that swayed the judges, although Easton moved forward for more of the round. Idk, i'd score it 10-10 personally since nothing happened. Flip I guess. Easton looking a bit better overall hopefully he wins the other 2 rounds convincingly
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:23 PM
What a terrible round again. I don't know what Easton's deal is but he didn't come to fight the way he did against Menjivar

I'll call it 19-19 since both rounds are total flips - Easton landed slightly better in r1 but got pushed against the fence a bit, Assuncao landed slightly better in r2 but Easton was moving forward more.

This is dumb. Hopefully we get a better r3
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:23 PM
I think Assuncao had that second round tbh, very flippy and kind of meh fight though.
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:28 PM
I'll predict a SD for Assuncao but i wouldnt call anything a robbery.

Horribly biased commentary towards Assuncao too making it seem like he's winning by more than he is

If I have to score it, 29-28 Assuncao I guess with Easton winning r1. I could definitely make a case Easton won the first two. Assuncao won the third. Who knows. Stupid fight, both of them didn't want it.

Let's suck out one time Easton. Octagon control, Diaz style! lol

Edit: Think 30-27 is a bit excessive as I did lean Easton r1 if I had to score it for someone but correct result I guess. That hurts my parlay combo, it'll still profit if Bendo and Swick win but oh well.

Think i'm still up very marginally for the card. Horrible fight there though.

Adding 0.3u on Swick/Brown under 1.5 rounds at +135 - more of an action bet than +EV but I have a feeling Swick is going to win inside distance which is an option pinn doesn't have, so let's hope it's in the first half of the fight

Last edited by SwoopAE; 12-08-2012 at 08:34 PM.
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:30 PM
Definitely the third for Assuncao and he pretty clearly won the fight. Even though it wasn't very good entertainment and isn't going to win any FOTN awards, you can't deny it was a very smart fight by Assuncao.
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
Definitely the third for Assuncao and he pretty clearly won the fight. Even though it wasn't very good entertainment and isn't going to win any FOTN awards, you can't deny it was a very smart fight by Assuncao.
Ranking wise yeah but he's doomed to the prelims until he wins one impressively. No way in a million years i'd put him on a main card after that performance if i'm Dana White
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:44 PM
Wow.
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:45 PM
Whoa, didn't see that one coming.
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:47 PM
Love it! Back to back dogs winning.
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smallballs
Whoa, didn't see that one coming.
just tuned in 10 seconds in to the yves fight. glad i did.
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:48 PM
Glad I went small there

Added another half a unit on Swick. Swick and Bendo will make or break my night since my Penn and Gustaffson bets are smallish, Bendo winning is slight +, Swick winning is slight -, both winning is very +, both losing is very -

Also, Edwards/Guillard. Make it happen.
MMA Thread Quote
12-08-2012 , 08:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
Glad I went small there

Added another half a unit on Swick. Swick and Bendo will make or break my night since my Penn and Gustaffson bets are smallish, Bendo winning is slight +, Swick winning is slight -, both winning is very +, both losing is very -

Also, Edwards/Guillard. Make it happen.
Swick by KO @ 5/1 - seems like reasonable value, any thoughts?
MMA Thread Quote

      
m