MMA Thread - Page 214 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Yeah thats cool, dont worry about sending ahead of time then.

Story/Fitch/Herman all booked for $100 each (to win 100/100/200 respectively), and i'll pass on the main, 8.5 is a bit too much imo. If you want the 7.5 let me know and i'll consider it booked, but not going to book 8.5.

K sound good, will do it for 8min.. Not 7.5 though.. If not all good and gl

Quote

10-13-2012 , 09:37 PM

#5327

SwoopAE

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Lot of money on Sicilia but im hoping thats TUF fan casual money

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10-13-2012 , 09:38 PM

#5328

ChrisV

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Ended up getting 1.909 on Tibau for my 0.5u, in official results will score it up at the price I gave in my picks post though, as I would have bet it at that if I wasn't scurred by Swoop's analysis.

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10-13-2012 , 09:38 PM

#5329

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by yoyobo

K sound good, will do it for 8min.. Not 7.5 though.. If not all good and gl

Ok why not, 8mins booked. GL!

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10-13-2012 , 09:39 PM

#5330

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by ChrisV

Ended up getting 1.909 on Tibau for my 0.5u, in official results will score it up at the price I gave in my picks post though, as I would have bet it at that if I wasn't scurred by Swoop's analysis.

Nice hold there. I thought Trinaldo was going to finish him in the second there, both subs looked really tight, give Tibau credit for fighting out though. In the end, I think Trinaldo +125 or so is probably the true line, Tibau wins usually if it goes to decision but Trinaldo will put him out or hurt him standing and get the sub a bunch too. I think the actual fight reflected the line or so.

Jason will win here unless Sicilia can put him out in one punch, if he does that should get me back to even or thereabouts for the event, if not ill be down a bunch. 6 inch reach plus technical striking gives me confidence though. Sicilia should be punchers chance only

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10-13-2012 , 09:40 PM

#5331

Yell Fire!

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 291

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

Added 2.2u on Rony Jason since the odds got a bit better.

Up to 6u myself, lets get this.

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10-13-2012 , 09:43 PM

#5332

Swiiftx

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Bad judging, never seen so much standing up.

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10-13-2012 , 09:44 PM

#5333

SwoopAE

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******ed standup again

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10-13-2012 , 09:45 PM

#5334

Swiiftx

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Hard to judge round, but Rony definitely did more dmg and was closer to finishing than Sicilia was.

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10-13-2012 , 09:45 PM

#5335

Yell Fire!

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 291

10-9 Jason, not loving the wild haymaker fest versus an opponent like Sicilia, but I guess time to sweat.

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10-13-2012 , 09:47 PM

#5336

SwoopAE

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10-9 jason imo for much more damage and dominating the standup, sicilia had brief ground control but almost got armbarred and didnt do any damage

probably not the best gameplan with the knee that led to the takedown when he can just pick sicilia apart standing, but he should win regardless

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10-13-2012 , 09:51 PM

#5337

Yell Fire!

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 291

BOOM

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10-13-2012 , 09:52 PM

#5338

Swiiftx

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Entertaining fight, pretty crazy. Sicilia has a wind up to every punch, he literally doesnt have a jab.

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10-13-2012 , 09:53 PM

#5339

SwoopAE

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Viscious hammerfists was right, no way I thought he's stop sicilia there but those were big hammerfists, catch the kick and boom. Impressive

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10-13-2012 , 09:55 PM

#5340

LasFuentes

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Heh, got both the o1.5 and Jason, glad to see he didn't finish earlier.

The early standups sure moved the Fitch line.

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10-13-2012 , 09:56 PM

#5341

SwoopAE

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Weird that Maia keeps shortening, he's holding at -119 now. Money coming in on Erick Silva like crazy and makes sense with Fitch's inactive guard and the early standups tonight

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10-13-2012 , 09:57 PM

#5342

Kirbynator

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was pretty funny at the end after they both landed and were staring at each other up close,

sicillia threw rock, jason threw paper, caught the kick, boom.

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10-13-2012 , 09:57 PM

#5343

wiper

still catching up

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 42,897

i don't normally read this thread, but if people are asking to bet fights getting much worse odds than they could if they bet literally anywhere else, i think i might have to start frequenting a bit more.

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10-13-2012 , 09:59 PM

#5344

LasFuentes

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Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,889

Quote:

Originally Posted by wiper

not like there's any risk involved with any of that.

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10-13-2012 , 10:00 PM

#5345

SwoopAE

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Added another 0.3u on Prado after the standups, plus have another unit on each of E. Silva and Maia and over 8mins for main event plus 2u on Nog in thread

@wiper the erick silva line has moved since i offered evens, but it's also a convenience i'm assuming since i'm laying the prices on stars as opposed to a sportsbook.

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10-13-2012 , 10:00 PM

#5346

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by LasFuentes

not like there's any risk involved with any of that.

that too, i don't expect to be getting freerolled here given he isn't a total random and there's obviously no risk for him given i'm well known in the poker community with ~50k action sold etc here but there's always the risk of that when i'm betting with people on the forum.

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10-13-2012 , 10:05 PM

#5347

GoDeViLs

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 3,464

Swoop-

Fwiw 50% of this guy's posts (250 out of 500) are in the last 6 days. I mean hes a member for 1.5 years but tons of posts in last 6 days. Be advised.

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10-13-2012 , 10:06 PM

#5348

leebert

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Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 247

Well undercard went pretty well for me. Camozzi binked. Tibau held on for the win. Sucks that I got screwed out of my parlay by a chinsey Madadi loss. I might have to rewatch that one again to see if I missed anything the first time.

Not adding any bets. Just hoping that my stream holds out, it's been fishy today and I don't have high hopes.

Good luck all. I'll be hanging in this thread all night.

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10-13-2012 , 10:07 PM

#5349

SwoopAE

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Quote:

Originally Posted by GoDeViLs

Swoop-

Fwiw 50% of this guy's posts (250 out of 500) are in the last 6 days. I mean hes a member for 1.5 years but tons of posts in last 6 days. Be advised.

ok one sec ill check out his story then