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09-03-2016 , 12:17 PM
Nailed it, 30-27 and 29-28x2. I feel like even though i'm probably 'better' at scoring fights than most MMA judges I can tell how they will score it on average better than I used to

Bit of relief to get the lone 30-27 to make a small profit for the fight instead of a moderate loss
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09-03-2016 , 12:18 PM
'Maybe Barboza I want this fight'

Unless he gets the takedown within a minute that would go VERY poorly for Khabilov. I guess he can fight Barboza if Barboza loses his next fight but he doesn't deserve a top 15 opponent really with how he's looked lately.
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09-03-2016 , 12:20 PM
Lol calling out barboza
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09-03-2016 , 12:22 PM
Askham KO r1 10/1
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09-03-2016 , 12:24 PM
Ok, I was leaning Askham because he's at least been ok in the UFC but i'm going to trust Jim has done his homework and go with Hermansson.

0.25u Hermansson at -110 will do for my sweat for this fight.

Pure tail, have never seen him fight. Hermansson's beaten a few cans but two or three of his wins are over guys with decent records and Vemola is similar tier

A split decision with Jotko isn't bad for Askham and is the reason I was leaning that way originally as Jotko's been on a nice run since but Askham lacks any decent wins too and I have no real read.

Vamoo Sweden today since I have Gustafsson as well.
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09-03-2016 , 12:29 PM
Remembered that it's inexperienced HWs and figure i'll tail the HW fight doesn't go distance for a half unit at -195 too and 0.33u Lapilus -155 and 0.33u Wallhead -140. Was leaning Lapilus plus thought he looked confident and quite good at weigh in and just tailing Jim on Wallhead

Wish i'd caught Dalby before he steamed but no play on that fight yet got something on all the others now
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09-03-2016 , 12:37 PM
Close r1, too close to call for me. Clear r2 for Hermansson despite the good heel hook attempt at the end from Askham he got lit up standing. Hermansson should be able to win it landing the better shots standing and in the clinch from here.

Somewhat annoyed I didn't take over 5.5 decisions for the card as well as I quite liked that line at small plus odds but of course sweating decisions is also no fun
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09-03-2016 , 12:43 PM
Good third round, if Hermansson had seperated a few times when Askham was rocked he could have probably got the finish but he gets the win anyway either 29-28 or 30-27 either seems fine. r3 not quite a 10-8 because even though Hermansson lit him up a few times it was still somewhat competitive and he was never dropped

<3 Jim, great pick there

He said middle of the division, give him someone like Camozzi and see if he's ready for the middle I guess.
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09-03-2016 , 12:45 PM
Askham looked gassed after round 1
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09-03-2016 , 12:48 PM
Time for our first finish of the card... and I don't really mind who it is.

Gl lower tier heavyweights, please knock each other out quickly instead of gassing out and staring at each other.
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09-03-2016 , 12:58 PM
Khabilov squeaked his fight out. I was sweating that one. Barboza would kill him. Hermansson looked great as expected. Almost got that round 3 finish but at least the decision hit.
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09-03-2016 , 01:03 PM
Wow Danho has some awful habits

If these guys would seperate... at this stage I think Danho might walk into a knee or head kick or Danho might land a bit punch otherwise we might be heading to a decision

Neither guy seems very good but Danho has gassing faster

If Colombo just keeps throwing knees to the head and body eventually he'll get the TKO, Colombo was maybe a minute from getting the TKO there, both guys are gassed, Danho is just more gassed

I guess it's still 19-18 Danho though with r1 due to the point deduction though
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09-03-2016 , 01:08 PM
Imagine either of these guys vs Werdum or Cain. Crazy.
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09-03-2016 , 01:09 PM
Lol dandho - is he even alive? He moves like a zombie
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09-03-2016 , 01:10 PM
It's like Danho bet on himself to get knocked out by a knee to the head and is trying his best but Colombo is too gassed to actually seperate and throw it with a proper windup

Imagine them vs Werdum? Hell, imagine either of them against Roy Nelson. Even slow, fat out of shape Nelson would have KO'd both of them several times

Annoying that it's going to be a draw and Danho doesn't get the loss he desperately deserves

Both of these guys will not win a fight in the UFC ever. Maybe Grabowski but we haven't really seen enough of him. They might beat Ruan Potts if he hasn't been cut too.

Also wow that Bader is in to -178. I mean yes, he's chinny and a wrestler with basic boxing but that should be enough against Latifi and I like Latifi. If it comes in much more I may have to add some Bader straight up and just put a small hedge on Latifi wins in r1 or Latifi KO

Both HWs from that fight should be fed to a mid tier guy who is coming off a loss then cut when they lose.

Last edited by SwoopAE; 09-03-2016 at 01:17 PM.
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09-03-2016 , 01:14 PM
I'd like to see either of these guys get smashed out of the park vs a top contender just for the sake of it
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09-03-2016 , 01:25 PM
The draw was warranted in the heavyweight bout.
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09-03-2016 , 01:28 PM
If there was livebetting i'd be smashing Lapilus now, Issa has no hope on the feet and the TDD is too good.

10-9 Lapilus, either Issa has a chin or Lapilus has pillow fists but he's still going to get the TKO if this continues with Issa blocking punches with his chin. Def on the right side on Lapilus at -155
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09-03-2016 , 01:33 PM
That would have been hilarious potato fight IQ if Lapilus got guillotined there

Hint, when he can't take you down and you're outlanding him 15-1 on the feet or so, don't sit in a black belt's guard for no reason
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09-03-2016 , 01:43 PM
It's a shame Macedo is fighting at WBW I would be excited to bet on her at WSW, but I think AES is just going to make her look small and ineffective. First big bet of the card.
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09-03-2016 , 01:48 PM
Took Evan-Smith here for 3u n by TKO, KO for .2u

I really liked the fights starting right when I woke up today. Kinda felt like football on Sunday's. Bust out the herb and enjoy the fights. I've gotten to the point last couple years where MMA is my fav sport to watch, even over football. Is mma your guys favorite sport, sport to watch?
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09-03-2016 , 01:49 PM
Wow Gustafsson in to -555 and Bader -170 those lines have to be value surely. Happy with my spots on both fights though
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09-03-2016 , 01:53 PM
Did not know Macedo's striking was this good she's got a lot of potential at 115 could easily be top 10 within a year or two

10-9 AES, she still won the round with the ground control and I hope that size is enough to get it done, it still should be
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09-03-2016 , 01:53 PM
This Macedo chick looks good especially considering her age
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09-03-2016 , 01:58 PM
Macedo actually seems slightly more skilled than AES, it's just a case of a 135er fighting a 115er

I'm going to be hammering Macedo in her 115 debut if it's against a mid level girl but I think I definitely made the right call on AES.
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