MMA Thread - Page 131 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

all in all i think tonight's SF card looks more entertaining than next weekend's ufc ppv.

wish it was being promoted a lil more, and had some decent commentators :/

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07-14-2012 , 05:03 PM

#3252

Toerazor

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 1,954

Yeh this is gonna be a great card. More excited for this than I was for Franklin vs Silva PPV. Here are my bets for the card:

$5.00 Tim Kennedy +255* vs Luke Rockhold
$40.00 Nate Marquardt -130* vs Tyron Woodley
$20.00 Lorenz Larkin -120* vs Robbie Lawler
$15.00 Ryan Couture -170* vs Joe Duarte
$5.00 Keith Jardine +180* vs Roger Gracie

Last edited by Toerazor; 07-14-2012 at 05:09 PM.

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07-14-2012 , 06:32 PM

#3253

pokeriguess

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 81

Rockhold should win easily tonight, he is likely the future of the division along with Weidman. Jardine I think actually has a good chance to beat Gracie, at +170 I think he is the smart money. Gracie is a good opponent for him and he doesn't have KO power and may have trouble getting the fight to the matt. Jardine's chin is shot but that doesn't come into play in this fight. I also like Marquart.

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07-14-2012 , 07:13 PM

#3254

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,255

I have 2.2u Marquardt, 0.8 Couture, 1.2 on High, 1u on Lawler and a partial parlay combining the four of them with Rockhold

Jardine/Gracie is too hard to predict for me

Also added a unit and a half on Struve at +236 vs Miocic.

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07-14-2012 , 07:42 PM

#3255

Chris M

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 580

Marquardt all the way down to -105.

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07-14-2012 , 07:54 PM

#3256

Onlydo2days

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Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 19,486

Went to UFC 55 at Mohegan sun in late 05, this is like right as the product was taking off.

Arlovski was HW champ then and KO'd Buentello in about 12 seconds. Gotta be the fastest main event KO by far.

Also that random cop dude who fought Kimbo in some basement was on the card, got his ass kicked by some no namer.

As far as Marquardt, I always liked him in UFC but I've never seen Woodley fight tbh as I don't really watch SF anymore so gonna tail you guys on Nate...

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07-14-2012 , 08:00 PM

#3257

SwoopAE

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Woodley is basically a more one dimensional Fitch without as high quality wins as Fitch.

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07-14-2012 , 08:02 PM

#3258

Onlydo2days

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Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

Woodley is basically a more one dimensional Fitch without as high quality wins as Fitch.

Wow, sounds like Nate just needs to not get taken down and he should be fine. Hopefully he doesn't get LnP'd on.

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07-14-2012 , 08:15 PM

#3259

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,255

Quote:

Originally Posted by Onlydo2days

Wow, sounds like Nate just needs to not get taken down and he should be fine. Hopefully he doesn't get LnP'd on.

Pretty much needs to stuff takedowns and he wins, or else he gets LNP'd

His best win is LNPing Paul Daley fwiw and while Daley's decent he doesn't have the best TDD

If Marquardt is the same caliber fighter he was in the UFC he should win. Main worry is the layoff.

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07-14-2012 , 09:12 PM

#3260

Nonfiction

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 12,498

marquart down to -102 on 5 dimes. Wasn't going to bet but can't resist odds that good, threw 2u on there

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07-14-2012 , 09:24 PM

#3261

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,255

Think Ryan Couture got that 29-28 in the end. He has potential but he's very green right now and not the best cardio for LW

2-0 now assuming judges score it right, gogo Lawler and Marquardt

Edit: wow thats 2 split decisions when one guy won pretty clearly, idk how a judge scored it for duarte or wilcox although duarte/couture was at least close

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07-14-2012 , 09:33 PM

#3262

PiercE

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 518

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

agreed, wtf are these guys looking @ ?

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07-14-2012 , 09:38 PM

#3263

ChrisV

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 40,336

WTF is wrong with Healy here, he doesn't look right at all.

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07-14-2012 , 09:49 PM

#3264

ChrisV

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 40,336

HAHA that was savagely rigged. I had money on Healy.

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07-14-2012 , 09:50 PM

#3265

SwoopAE

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30-27 wat

didnt see all of the fight but the way the commentators were talking hirota clearly won r1 at least and r2 was close

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07-14-2012 , 09:50 PM

#3266

'kljhg

banned

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 3,398

what a scam had hirota +430

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07-14-2012 , 09:52 PM

#3267

ChrisV

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 40,336

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

30-27 wat

didnt see all of the fight but the way the commentators were talking hirota clearly won r1 at least and r2 was close

I saw it all. Hirota won R1 easily, R2 was close, R3 Healy. When they said "Unanimous decision" I thought I was dead for sure.

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07-14-2012 , 09:58 PM

#3268

SwoopAE

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Took the under 1.5 as a decent dog for Gracie-Jardine - neither have good chins and Gracie can sub him too. I wouldn't like it at evens but at +180 its worth a sweat, one of them can get the finish in 7:30 a decent amount imo

As long as one of Marquardt and Lawler wins ill be up for the card

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07-14-2012 , 10:08 PM

#3269

'kljhg

banned

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 3,398

sarah kaufman is balding pretty early

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07-14-2012 , 10:26 PM

#3270

SwoopAE

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Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,255

ok so lawlers terrible, and scared of larkins power

oops

fluke ko r3 one time?

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07-14-2012 , 10:39 PM

#3271

'kljhg

banned

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 3,398

jardine +185? i like his beard

lets go

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07-14-2012 , 10:48 PM

#3272

Provolone

journeyman

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 278

that would be really unlucky if gracie by sub doesn't come through and he spends the whole fight on top.
I got some on marquadt

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07-14-2012 , 10:49 PM

#3273

SwoopAE

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Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,255

so close 30 more seconds and he had him

2:30 to go, quick takedown and mount gogo

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07-14-2012 , 10:55 PM

#3274

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,255

Ah well it was a fun sweat.

10-8 Gracie in r2, 20-17 now

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07-14-2012 , 10:56 PM

#3275

Provolone

journeyman

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 278

hate to see Jardine go out like this. massacre.

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