Quote:
Originally Posted by M.Honcho
Only reason i can think of for this is the Synthetic surface at SA.
Great find! 20-1 is good value on Summer Bird, for sure. Mostly, I just don't think Sea the Stars is going to win the classic, and I'm looking for value: "the greatest horse that ever lived (this year) is almost always a European 3yo." They get 8 lbs. from elders in Europe, here they get 4. What are Euro shippers in the BC Classic overall? 2 for 40+?
On to Summer Bird... On one hand, trainer Tim Ice has made standard posturing on Summer Bird. SB started his training at Santa Anita on the synthetic when he was a 2YO: "He's already trained four months (over the Santa Anita Pro-Ride) and he has solid works over it,” Ice said. “I think we could put him on anything and he'd run."
I would send it in on Summer Bird in the Classic at this price, but, on the other hand, Ice remains tough to read at the same time:
From DRF
This year's Breeders' Cup Classic is being run over Santa Anita's synthetic surface and not on conventional dirt. Summer Bird didn't train that well at Santa Anita when he was there with John Sadler before being transferred to Ice prior to his first career race.
After jockey Kent Desormeaux jogged Summer Bird once around the Oklahoma turf course, Ice came to the realization that the grass is not necessarily greener for his 3-year-old colt.
"I didn't like the way he looked over the turf," Ice said later back at the stakes barn. "He just didn't look comfortable. It could have all been due to the fact it was his first time over it, but it didn't look like the same horse that he looked like going over the dirt. Other than that, everything else is fine."
...
Ice isn't totally ruling out giving Summer Bird another try on a different turf course. He said he would most likely still pre-enter Summer Bird in the Breeders' Cup Turf "just to keep an option open. Maybe the first time he could've been unsure of it."