HORSE RACING THREAD - Page 156 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

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Page 156 of 492

First

56 106 136 146 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 166 176 206 256 356

Last

07-09-2011 , 07:41 PM

#3876

Kevroc

Chubby Chaser

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 20,366

CHARLES TOWN RACE TWO

$2 WIN 7

$2 PLACE 7

$1 exbox 1-4-7-8

$16

ytd (-3,509)

Last edited by Kevroc; 07-09-2011 at 07:42 PM. Reason: im just smallballin CT tonight and posting for giggles

Quote

07-09-2011 , 07:51 PM

#3877

corndogg99

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 148

Sweet - I like the fact his price drifted up just a little late so that was nice

$10.20 to win yay

Quote

07-09-2011 , 07:55 PM

#3878

Kevroc

Chubby Chaser

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 20,366

Quote:

Originally Posted by corndogg99

Sweet - I like the fact his price drifted up just a little late so that was nice

$10.20 to win yay

nice one corndogg!

My #7 went off at 14:1 and ran 3rd.. got first and third in exbox.. yuck

Quote

07-09-2011 , 07:55 PM

#3879

M.Honcho

adept

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 862

Quote:

Originally Posted by corndogg99

Hollywood Gold Cup -

I'm betting #7 First Dude.

Not betting a lot or anything, but I think he'll get a good trip, and I hope he can find a spot at the top of the stretch and beat Twirling Candy to the wire.

$20 to Win

Nice one CD!...I've been bs'ing back and forth with Kev,and told him i thought the #4 and #7 looked awesome in the paddock.

I hit the exacta $19.80 with a 47/1,4,6,7,and lost $200 on TC to win.

Quote

07-09-2011 , 08:14 PM

#3880

Kevroc

Chubby Chaser

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 20,366

CHARLES TOWN RACE THREE

$2 WIN/PLACE 1-2-4-7

$1 EX 11/1-2-4-7

$1 EX 1-2-4-7/11

$24

ytd (-3,533)

Last edited by Kevroc; 07-09-2011 at 08:18 PM. Reason: value tossing the 6 and 10

Quote

07-09-2011 , 08:20 PM

#3881

Kevroc

Chubby Chaser

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 20,366

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kevroc

CHARLES TOWN RACE THREE

$2 WIN/PLACE 1-2-4-7

$1 EX 11/1-2-4-7

$1 EX 1-2-4-7/11

$24

ytd (-3,533)

yuck.. i made bets like this because i didnt like the low odds 6 and 10.. the 6 nosed my 2

$2 place on #2 pays $5.60

ytd (-3,528)

Quote

07-09-2011 , 08:43 PM

#3882

Kevroc

Chubby Chaser

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 20,366

CHARLES TOWN RACE FOUR

$2 WIN 5-7

$2 PLACE 5

$1 EX 7/2-4-5-8-9

$1 EX 2-4-5-8-9/7

$16

ytd (-3,544)

Quote

07-09-2011 , 08:54 PM

#3883

Kevroc

Chubby Chaser

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 20,366

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kevroc

CHARLES TOWN RACE FOUR

$2 WIN 5-7

$2 PLACE 5

$1 EX 7/2-4-5-8-9

$1 EX 2-4-5-8-9/7

$16

ytd (-3,544)

My 7 didnt run a lick.. the 5 got second at 14:1 after being fanned wide by loose horse

$2 place on #5 pays $11.60

ytd (-3,533)

Quote

07-09-2011 , 09:14 PM

#3884

Kevroc

Chubby Chaser

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 20,366

CHARLES TOWN RACE FIVE

$2 WIN 1-8

$2 PLACE 8

$1 EXBOX 1-2-4-8

$18

ytd (-3,551)

Quote

07-09-2011 , 09:24 PM

#3885

Kevroc

Chubby Chaser

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 20,366

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kevroc

CHARLES TOWN RACE FIVE

$2 WIN 1-8

$2 PLACE 8

$1 EXBOX 1-2-4-8

$18

ytd (-3,551)

My 8 was 35:1 popped and stopped.. my 4 ran third at 9:1 missing a decent exacta

$2 win on #1 pays $9.00

$1 exacta on 1-2 pays $9.50

call it a wash

ytd (-3,534)

Quote

07-09-2011 , 09:26 PM

#3886

Kevroc

Chubby Chaser

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 20,366

CHARLES TOWN .50 late pick four

6) 7
7) 4-5-7-10
8) 2-3-5-8
9) 8-10

$16

ytd (-3,550)

Quote

07-10-2011 , 12:49 AM

#3887

corndogg99

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 148

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kevroc

nice one corndogg!

My #7 went off at 14:1 and ran 3rd.. got first and third in exbox.. yuck

Quote:

Originally Posted by M.Honcho

Nice one CD!...I've been bs'ing back and forth with Kev,and told him i thought the #4 and #7 looked awesome in the paddock.

I hit the exacta $19.80 with a 47/1,4,6,7,and lost $200 on TC to win.

Thanks guys - nice little Baffert double there huh?

Quote

07-10-2011 , 09:09 PM

#3888

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,582

Quote:

Originally Posted by NajdorfDefense

Going with Setsuko and Mission Approved in Hollywood and Man O'War today.

Grrrr....I was gonna pick Cape Blanco and switched at last minute. Every time I do this I lose. EVERY FREAKIN TIME. Makes me twice the idiot.

Quote

07-11-2011 , 04:21 PM

#3889

M.Honcho

adept

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 862

Quote:

Originally Posted by NajdorfDefense

Grrrr....I was gonna pick Cape Blanco and switched at last minute. Every time I do this I lose. EVERY FREAKIN TIME. Makes me twice the idiot.

Im sorry Nadj,i found this post of yours funny as hell. I like that its 30+ hours later and your still pist.......Now i TRY not to learn the same lesson twice,it does happen time to time,but when i KNOW its MY mistake i can be tough on myself like you are.

IMO,the most successful cappers all have 1 thing in common,and that is they are honest with themselfs.

Last edited by M.Honcho; 07-11-2011 at 04:31 PM.

Quote

07-12-2011 , 12:36 PM

#3890

ShipItHertoDub

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 507

Quote:

Originally Posted by mathfreak

Hey all.

I am a complete novice to horseracing /betting. However I received some advice and it seems to be working. However It just cannot be this simple. Can I get some advice from the experts please?

I was told to lay the favorite on the horses. If you lose, you take the amount you lost and any commission from the betting exchange and use this to lay the favorite in the next race. If you win the bet you simply stake your choosen amount. (sounds like a martingale to me)

I tested this today with no cash, just following odds and results and I made a profit of 163.80.

It is my thinking that as long as you onyl ever lay the favorite, and ensure that you liability for laying the bets dont exceed X amount (depending on what your limit is)and depending on odds on the exchange. you should be able to turn a profit as favorites dont always win.

Today I had two losers on my horses (but won a couple with big liability). discounting the big liability bets I would have still turned a profit.

It cant be as simple as "as long a you can always cover liabilty, you will eventaully turn a profit".

how would one go about calculating the risk of ruin etc on this??

Nay comments welcome

The deciding factor will be what price you managed to lay every favourite at....
MrA could lay every favourite and lose and MrB could lose every favourite and win.

Quote

07-12-2011 , 06:02 PM

#3891

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,582

Quote:

Originally Posted by M.Honcho

The sad/funny thing is when I logged back into my acc't I fully expected a winning ticket to appear, was very confused WTF??? and then 'o shi I forgot I changed horses @$###$%@%$#$%#@$#$#%#$'

Quote

07-13-2011 , 04:28 PM

#3892

AlwaysTwinNSpired

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 1,236

woodbine pick4 tonight.. all 4 legs have 7 horse fields. To whoevers out there playin today, post your ticket... Use a $30 budget and lets see if any1 of us can hit it.. yes, im bored today....GL

Quote

07-13-2011 , 06:05 PM

#3893

AlwaysTwinNSpired

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 1,236

****** 2nd leg is 8 horse field due to the entry & 3rd leg is a 6 horse field. Jus to clarify.

Quote

07-13-2011 , 06:33 PM

#3894

N9NE

banned

Join Date: May 2011 Posts: 82

Quote:

Originally Posted by AlwaysTwinNSpired

****** 2nd leg is 8 horse field due to the entry & 3rd leg is a 6 horse field. Jus to clarify.

I believe 1st leg only 5 runners but heres my tix for SNG. GL.

R4 3,4
R5 1
R6 4,5,6
R7 2,4

Quote

07-13-2011 , 06:36 PM

#3895

N9NE

banned

Join Date: May 2011 Posts: 82

Shall we discuss throw aways for tomorrows P6@Hollywood?

Quote

07-13-2011 , 06:42 PM

#3896

AlwaysTwinNSpired

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 1,236

Woodbine pick4, starts in race4.

$1P4
4,7 with 1,2,6 with 4 with 1,3,5,6

$1P4
7 with 1 with 1,4 with 1,3,6

Total of $30

Quote

07-13-2011 , 06:51 PM

#3897

AlwaysTwinNSpired

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 1,236

Quote:

Originally Posted by N9NE

I believe 1st leg only 5 runners but heres my tix for SNG. GL.

R4 3,4
R5 1
R6 4,5,6
R7 2,4

Correct, i didnt have scratches yet

. Our tix r compl opposites. Lol. GL

Quote

07-13-2011 , 07:11 PM

#3898

TheWalk

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 1,599

give me an extra $6 for this, I need the help:

R 4: 5,7
R 5: 4,6
R 6: 1,2,6
R 7: 3,5,7

only thing I kind of regret is leaving off the 2 in R5, but the 4 in that race is my favorite pick of the pk4. gl all.