I went 4-0 on my NFL bets so I'm just going to assume vegas got killed this week.
(colt -2.5, chiefs -4, tease cowboys+bills and cowboys+rams)

right on spread, wrong on total. felt like everyone was playing that game half-drunk last night.

Want to back Texans on spread. Head telling me that colts pass rush and o line will be to good for Watson to overcome? Probably going not bet game. Want back Watson as he is a little wizard if he not getting chased every down like ravens did. Maybe ravans are just that good??.

Okay my nonsensical line of the week rant:

I don't understand this Raiders line at all. Jets are a bottom 5 team. The Raiders maybe not great, but they're at least pretty good. And this isn't just from my armchair QB "eye test" or going by record comparisons. The DVOA rankings have Oakland 11th and the jets 28th.

https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teameff/2019

If this were a neutral field game I would have the Raiders be be around 8.5 point favorites. MINIMUM 7. Now jets are at home so they get the 3. So please explain to me how its Raiders -3 +100 !? Not only is it way low, theyre beggining you to take the raiders with the +100. I can even get -2.5 -110 at the westgate. Totally insane to me.

Alright rant over, feel free to rip me to shreds, 2 units on Oakland, maybe more to come.

Gone big bet (for me) on Texans -3.5 this is why am bad at betting my head says colts should probably be fav o/r. I do this all the time I go against what I think is the most likely outcome? Maybe I think I can outsmart my rational part of my brain?

When colts win I will get my smart arse brain saying I told you so.

Im on the over tonight. i feel like this is a game where both teams reach the 20's. 46.5 isnt too hard to hit

But I also did bet Indy +6 last week on a look ahead line, only because I figured they'd win last week, texans lose, and the line would adjust down which it did. Tempted to take texans ML and go for a middle

agreed, and even to reiterate your point, I bet the raiders on a look ahead line last week, got them at -3.5. Actually would have been better off waiting, maybe the Jets actually looked good enough to get some respect.

Last Week - 3-5
YTD - 47-55-1

Week 12

over 37 bills broncos
Bills -3.5
under 38 steelers bengals
Bengals +6.5
over 51 Bucs Falcons
Bucs +3.5
Lions -3.5
Packers +3

Buf -3.5
Chi -6
No -10
Tam +3.5

YTD 20-18-1

Week 12

Raiders -3

Pats -5.5

Jags +3.5

ATL -3.5

SF -3

Philly ML

Bears -6

18-25 YTD

Jets Jets Jets. Jets r the mortal lock of the week

Your welcome to those who followed my jets play. I know I’m new here but I’ll keep posting. I’ve been on a roll this year.

You’re 18-25 and giving pics? God I’m fading the rest of your plays



QUOTE=Snipes;55620440]Week 12
Raiders -3

Pats -5.5

Jags +3.5

ATL -3.5

SF -3

Philly ML

Bears -6

18-25 YTD[/QUOTE]

LOL wow that list if you actually faded it about to be 0-5 with Cowboys/Pats a flip atm and SF to come

heart says baltimore tonight but brain says its the NFL so expect LOLs

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eiRGRvE_Wqg

[/QUOTE]


Theres a reason Snipes is like 300k in debt.

Same. Likely not betting

Ravens -3.5

YTD 22-20-1

Why making fun of Snipes? Anyone can have a bad day/week. If you're better, post some picks let's see how you doing.

With the new strategy of 2 pt try when down 8 becoming commonplace, I like BAL -7.5 tonight +190.

So did that Dallas, late, meaningless, HORRIBLE field goal crush anyone as bad as me? I had Dal +7.5 (-130 and -140) for a bunch which was super +EV. Then bought back some pats -5.5 at -105. I had the full 6 and 7 middled and it actually looked like it might hit, 13-6 late in the game. Dallas had 4th down ON THE 11 AND DOWN BY 7 POINTS and of course Jason Garrett sends out the FG unit

Bills +7 do it , do it right here

Really struggling to figure out how Dallas is a 7 point favorite over a good Bills team. They’ve lost to every 500 team they’ve played and have 2 wins outside of the division against Miami and Detroit. Their best win is a very mediocre Philly team.

Meanwhile the Bulls are 8-3, have won 3 out of 4. Defense looks very legit. Josh Allen is like a white Lamar Jackson. John Brown and Cole Beasley are solid. They have two good RBs. I would have never guessed Dallas would be such large favorites. I expect this game to be competitive and I could absolutely see the Bills winning.

Thinking of taking the under for all 3 games.
Bears/Lions should be a snorefest.
Bills spread/ml looks good
I want NO, but it will be tight.