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2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion 2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion

05-16-2013 , 04:44 PM
frg- nice hit if you bet the mets

I ended up taking the Cards on the RL and am extremely mad at myself for not realizing 2 starters were not in the lineup for them.
Niese threw really well and I'm not sure it would have made a difference but I hate not using info I should have.
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-16-2013 , 05:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FRGCardinal
I normally wouldn't say anything, but I'm disturbed at the number of people I've seen on the Cardinals for today's game. Be warned that Wainwright has not fared well against the Mets; 1-3 over the past three years, and their current lineup has a .910 OPS against him over that time frame. The Cardinals are one of the worst teams in the majors vs. lefties this year, and Niese has never had 3 consecutive starts where he surrendered 5 or more earned runs (7 and 8 in his last two, respectively). The Cards may very well finish off the 4 game sweep, but -228 is way too much to lay in this spot.
Spot on. Too bad I didn't listen.
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-16-2013 , 06:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FoxwoodsComeUp
Btw FRG, have u gotten the chance to play any Fixed O8 tourneys recently?
If by 'recently,' you mean in the last 2 years, then, no, I haven't. Not a lot of O8 tournaments to be had around here. I do well to make it out to a cash game once in a great while.
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-16-2013 , 06:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by borg23
frg- nice hit if you bet the mets
I did, and now my only regret was not having the nerve to hit it again when the line moved even higher. But in the end, I kept my bet size the same as I didn't see a Mets win as a lock; just a hell of a lot more likely than the line suggested.
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-16-2013 , 09:24 PM
lol i hope no one saw the mets as a lock

good call, though, ive been having some ****ty luck betting the astros and marlins lately so i laid off the mets today even though they obviously had value at +210 or whatever.
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-16-2013 , 09:59 PM
I took the Mets at +195 today!

Also got Nationals -1.5 tonight at +105

i think im 2-1 thus far
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-16-2013 , 10:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jclutch33
Rockies -103
Mets +1.5 -105
Marlins +1.5 -120
Mariners over 3.5 -120
Angels -134
Mariners +152
Padres +128
Tigers -106
Reds/Marlins under 7 -120
Sick beat. My condolences. I hope you clicked 'action' for your Mariners pick at least....

Last edited by FRGCardinal; 05-16-2013 at 11:04 PM. Reason: realized the Mariner bet may be void, too.
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-17-2013 , 01:21 AM
so much value on the cubs +132 tomorrow imo

anyone else playing this?

also on phillies -112, dodgers +132, padres +132, athletics +116
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-17-2013 , 02:06 AM
Like Cubs too.. And Phills..

Booked;

Phillies 1.15-->1
Dodgers 1-->1.29
Rays 1-->1
Tigers 1-->1.15

YTD: -6.29

Parlay coming for some reason my site is not letting me put it in will include Cubs and Yankees.
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-17-2013 , 08:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kp1984
6-2 +4.2

106-100 +6.09

Cardinals -1.5 -110 L
Brewers +136 L
Marlins +142 L
Mariners +152 W
1-3 -1.58

107-103 +4.51

Reds +104
Nationals -140
Yankees -144
Orioles -113
White Sox +105
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-17-2013 , 09:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Duke0424
so much value on the cubs +132 tomorrow imo

anyone else playing this?

also on phillies -112, dodgers +132, padres +132, athletics +116
Matt Harvey can DEAL! I am staying away from this game. Jackson also has flashes of brilliance and neither of these teams hit consistently.

anyways. after nationals -1.5 last night im 3-1

today we got:
nats -1.5 (+110)
BOS ML (-155)
DBacks ML (-160)

good luck fellas
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-17-2013 , 11:05 AM
Is it just me, or are the lines posted at night always inflated? I've been tracking these for six weeks, and it seems like 75% of the dogs shrink between 10PM and 10AM.

For example, I bet LAD +140, TOR +155, MIN +155, and CHC +138 last night. The lines are now all "scalpable" in that the favorites are less than last night's dog prices (-137, -149, -145, and -136 respectively). Obviously, this doesn't happen to every dog, but it seems to happen a lot. I'm often betting a bunch of dogs for 2-3u at night, then coming back on the favorite the next day (at an amount that depends on which side I actually like). Is this just typical of baseball lines?
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-17-2013 , 12:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by losthawks
32-17-2, +6.80u
35-20-2, +6.36u

Rangers 5in -125
Dodgers 5in +0.5 -130

Diamondbacks -160
Pirates -200
Rangers -115
Nationals -136
Dodgers +130
Yankees -150
Orioles -115
Twins +130

When Juan Pierre leads off the bottom of the 1st with a home run.. the over is hitting. I don't care if the number is 7, and it's 2-1 in the bottom of the 9th, and there's 1 out, and Aroldis Chapman is on the hill, and he's facing a guy with 57 career ABs... THE OVER IS HITTING!!!

I wish all my over games were 10 innings...
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-17-2013 , 07:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gotadui
Matt Harvey can DEAL! I am staying away from this game. Jackson also has flashes of brilliance and neither of these teams hit consistently.

anyways. after nationals -1.5 last night im 3-1

today we got:
nats -1.5 (+110)
BOS ML (-155)
DBacks ML (-160)

good luck fellas
Also through in Giants ML

Good luck again guys
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-18-2013 , 08:02 AM
Mariners vs Indians - Under 8.5 @ 2.05
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-18-2013 , 09:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kp1984
1-3 -1.58

107-103 +4.51

Reds +104 L
Nationals -140 W
Yankees -144 W
Orioles -113 L
White Sox +105 W
3-2 +0.92

110-105 +5.43

Cubs -136
Nationals -132
Blue Jays +105
White Sox +116
Rangers +110
Royals +119
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-18-2013 , 12:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by K.O.S.
Is it just me, or are the lines posted at night always inflated? I've been tracking these for six weeks, and it seems like 75% of the dogs shrink between 10PM and 10AM.

For example, I bet LAD +140, TOR +155, MIN +155, and CHC +138 last night. The lines are now all "scalpable" in that the favorites are less than last night's dog prices (-137, -149, -145, and -136 respectively). Obviously, this doesn't happen to every dog, but it seems to happen a lot. I'm often betting a bunch of dogs for 2-3u at night, then coming back on the favorite the next day (at an amount that depends on which side I actually like). Is this just typical of baseball lines?
Yes it is. First of all the overnight lines have a 20c spread and second of all, most people bet favorites. I only bet overnights when I'm on a favorite.
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-18-2013 , 12:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by losthawks
35-20-2, +6.36u
40-25-2, +4.66u

Brewers-Cards o8 -105
Tigers-Rangers o9.5 -115

Indians -160
Diamondbacks -150
Braves -163
Cardinals -175

Want to play LAD-ATL o7.5 -110, but there's a thunderstorm forecast for Atlanta tonight, and bad weather can be bad for overs.
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-18-2013 , 03:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mattew88
Mariners vs Indians - Under 8.5 @ 2.05
White Sox vs Angels - Under 8.5 @ 2.01
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-19-2013 , 12:46 AM
Wow Brewers +119 @ Cardinals

Lohse vs. some randy named John Gast

wtf is this line?
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-19-2013 , 03:47 AM
Frankly should be way better than that. Cards are a great bet tomorrow.

Hardly any posted Arizona-Miami lines.
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-19-2013 , 04:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by losthawks
Frankly should be way better than that. Cards are a great bet tomorrow.

Hardly any posted Arizona-Miami lines.
Why
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-19-2013 , 05:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mattew88
Mariners vs Indians - Under 8.5 @ 2.05
White Sox vs Angels - Under 8.5 @ 2.01

Mariners vs Indians - Under 8.5 @ 2.05 4-5 L
White Sox vs Angels - Under 8.5 @ 2.01 9-12 L


0-2, -2.00u

YTD
Sides: 11-25. -10.07u
Totals: 17-17, +0.00u
Overall: 28-42, -10.07u
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-19-2013 , 08:38 AM
YTD: -2.94

Brewers [Lohse] vs CARDINALS [Gast] 1-->1.17
Nationals [Haren] vs PADRES [Cashner] 1-->1.06
ROCKIES [Nicasio] vs Giants [Zito] 1.2-->1
ROCKIES RL [Nicasio] vs Giants [Zito] .5-->.7
YANKEES [Sabathia] vs Blue Jays [Dickey] 1.3-->1
Red Sox [Lackey] vs TWINS [Hernandez] 1.16-->1

6 Team Parlay .20-->11.06
Brewers +117
Nationals +106
ROCKIES RL +150
YANKEES -130
Red Sox -116
PIRATES -189
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote
05-19-2013 , 08:50 AM
Astros vs Pirates - Under 8.5 @ 2.01
2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion Quote

      
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