2013 Major League Baseball - MLB Picks and Discussion - Page 21 - Sports Betting

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05-16-2013 , 04:44 PM

#501

borg23

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2012 Posts: 16,609

frg- nice hit if you bet the mets

I ended up taking the Cards on the RL and am extremely mad at myself for not realizing 2 starters were not in the lineup for them.
Niese threw really well and I'm not sure it would have made a difference but I hate not using info I should have.

Quote

05-16-2013 , 05:35 PM

#502

kp1984

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 1,505

Quote:

Originally Posted by FRGCardinal

I normally wouldn't say anything, but I'm disturbed at the number of people I've seen on the Cardinals for today's game. Be warned that Wainwright has not fared well against the Mets; 1-3 over the past three years, and their current lineup has a .910 OPS against him over that time frame. The Cardinals are one of the worst teams in the majors vs. lefties this year, and Niese has never had 3 consecutive starts where he surrendered 5 or more earned runs (7 and 8 in his last two, respectively). The Cards may very well finish off the 4 game sweep, but -228 is way too much to lay in this spot.

Spot on. Too bad I didn't listen.

Quote

05-16-2013 , 06:53 PM

#503

FRGCardinal

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 2,310

Quote:

Originally Posted by FoxwoodsComeUp

Btw FRG, have u gotten the chance to play any Fixed O8 tourneys recently?

If by 'recently,' you mean in the last 2 years, then, no, I haven't. Not a lot of O8 tournaments to be had around here. I do well to make it out to a cash game once in a great while.

Quote

05-16-2013 , 06:57 PM

#504

FRGCardinal

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 2,310

Quote:

Originally Posted by borg23

frg- nice hit if you bet the mets

I did, and now my only regret was not having the nerve to hit it again when the line moved even higher. But in the end, I kept my bet size the same as I didn't see a Mets win as a lock; just a hell of a lot more likely than the line suggested.

Quote

05-16-2013 , 09:24 PM

#505

Duke0424

self-banned

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 13,362

lol i hope no one saw the mets as a lock

good call, though, ive been having some ****ty luck betting the astros and marlins lately so i laid off the mets today even though they obviously had value at +210 or whatever.

Quote

05-16-2013 , 09:59 PM

#506

gotadui

adept

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 1,097

I took the Mets at +195 today!

Also got Nationals -1.5 tonight at +105

i think im 2-1 thus far

Quote

05-16-2013 , 10:56 PM

#507

FRGCardinal

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 2,310

Quote:

Originally Posted by jclutch33

Rockies -103
Mets +1.5 -105
Marlins +1.5 -120
Mariners over 3.5 -120
Angels -134
Mariners +152
Padres +128
Tigers -106
Reds/Marlins under 7 -120

Sick beat. My condolences. I hope you clicked 'action' for your Mariners pick at least....

Last edited by FRGCardinal; 05-16-2013 at 11:04 PM. Reason: realized the Mariner bet may be void, too.

Quote

05-17-2013 , 01:21 AM

#508

Duke0424

self-banned

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 13,362

so much value on the cubs +132 tomorrow imo

anyone else playing this?

also on phillies -112, dodgers +132, padres +132, athletics +116

Quote

05-17-2013 , 02:06 AM

#509

RunHotSports

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 1,899

Like Cubs too.. And Phills..

Booked;

Phillies 1.15-->1
Dodgers 1-->1.29
Rays 1-->1
Tigers 1-->1.15

YTD: -6.29

Parlay coming for some reason my site is not letting me put it in will include Cubs and Yankees.

Quote

05-17-2013 , 08:54 AM

#510

kp1984

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 1,505

Quote:

Originally Posted by kp1984

6-2 +4.2

106-100 +6.09

Cardinals -1.5 -110 L
Brewers +136 L
Marlins +142 L
Mariners +152 W

1-3 -1.58

107-103 +4.51

Reds +104
Nationals -140
Yankees -144
Orioles -113
White Sox +105

Quote

05-17-2013 , 09:20 AM

#511

gotadui

adept

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 1,097

Quote:

Originally Posted by Duke0424

so much value on the cubs +132 tomorrow imo

anyone else playing this?

also on phillies -112, dodgers +132, padres +132, athletics +116

Matt Harvey can DEAL! I am staying away from this game. Jackson also has flashes of brilliance and neither of these teams hit consistently.

anyways. after nationals -1.5 last night im 3-1

today we got:
nats -1.5 (+110)
BOS ML (-155)
DBacks ML (-160)

good luck fellas

Quote

05-17-2013 , 11:05 AM

#512

K.O.S.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 20,798

Is it just me, or are the lines posted at night always inflated? I've been tracking these for six weeks, and it seems like 75% of the dogs shrink between 10PM and 10AM.

For example, I bet LAD +140, TOR +155, MIN +155, and CHC +138 last night. The lines are now all "scalpable" in that the favorites are less than last night's dog prices (-137, -149, -145, and -136 respectively). Obviously, this doesn't happen to every dog, but it seems to happen a lot. I'm often betting a bunch of dogs for 2-3u at night, then coming back on the favorite the next day (at an amount that depends on which side I actually like). Is this just typical of baseball lines?

Quote

05-17-2013 , 12:39 PM

#513

losthawks

grinder

Join Date: Feb 2012 Posts: 627

Quote:

Originally Posted by losthawks

32-17-2, +6.80u

35-20-2, +6.36u

Rangers 5in -125
Dodgers 5in +0.5 -130

Diamondbacks -160
Pirates -200
Rangers -115
Nationals -136
Dodgers +130
Yankees -150
Orioles -115
Twins +130

When Juan Pierre leads off the bottom of the 1st with a home run.. the over is hitting. I don't care if the number is 7, and it's 2-1 in the bottom of the 9th, and there's 1 out, and Aroldis Chapman is on the hill, and he's facing a guy with 57 career ABs... THE OVER IS HITTING!!!

I wish all my over games were 10 innings...

Quote

05-17-2013 , 07:48 PM

#514

gotadui

adept

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 1,097

Quote:

Originally Posted by gotadui

Also through in Giants ML

Good luck again guys

Quote

05-18-2013 , 08:02 AM

#515

mattew88

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2012 Posts: 4,008

Mariners vs Indians - Under 8.5 @ 2.05

Quote

05-18-2013 , 09:33 AM

#516

kp1984

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 1,505

Quote:

Originally Posted by kp1984

1-3 -1.58

107-103 +4.51

Reds +104 L
Nationals -140 W
Yankees -144 W
Orioles -113 L
White Sox +105 W

3-2 +0.92

110-105 +5.43

Cubs -136
Nationals -132
Blue Jays +105
White Sox +116
Rangers +110
Royals +119

Quote

05-18-2013 , 12:35 PM

#517

JEB262

banned

Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 563

Quote:

Originally Posted by K.O.S.

Yes it is. First of all the overnight lines have a 20c spread and second of all, most people bet favorites. I only bet overnights when I'm on a favorite.

Quote

05-18-2013 , 12:52 PM

#518

losthawks

grinder

Join Date: Feb 2012 Posts: 627

Quote:

Originally Posted by losthawks

35-20-2, +6.36u

40-25-2, +4.66u

Brewers-Cards o8 -105
Tigers-Rangers o9.5 -115

Indians -160
Diamondbacks -150
Braves -163
Cardinals -175

Want to play LAD-ATL o7.5 -110, but there's a thunderstorm forecast for Atlanta tonight, and bad weather can be bad for overs.

Quote

05-18-2013 , 03:05 PM

#519

mattew88

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2012 Posts: 4,008

Quote:

Originally Posted by mattew88

Mariners vs Indians - Under 8.5 @ 2.05

White Sox vs Angels - Under 8.5 @ 2.01

Quote

05-19-2013 , 12:46 AM

#520

Duke0424

self-banned

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 13,362

Wow Brewers +119 @ Cardinals

Lohse vs. some randy named John Gast

wtf is this line?

Quote

05-19-2013 , 03:47 AM

#521

losthawks

grinder

Join Date: Feb 2012 Posts: 627

Frankly should be way better than that. Cards are a great bet tomorrow.

Hardly any posted Arizona-Miami lines.

Quote

05-19-2013 , 04:16 AM

#522

Duke0424

self-banned

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 13,362

Quote:

Originally Posted by losthawks

Frankly should be way better than that. Cards are a great bet tomorrow.

Hardly any posted Arizona-Miami lines.

Why

Quote

05-19-2013 , 05:30 AM

#523

mattew88

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2012 Posts: 4,008

Quote:

Originally Posted by mattew88

Mariners vs Indians - Under 8.5 @ 2.05
White Sox vs Angels - Under 8.5 @ 2.01

Mariners vs Indians - Under 8.5 @ 2.05 4-5 L
White Sox vs Angels - Under 8.5 @ 2.01 9-12 L

0-2, -2.00u

YTD
Sides: 11-25. -10.07u
Totals: 17-17, +0.00u
Overall: 28-42, -10.07u

Quote

05-19-2013 , 08:38 AM

#524

RunHotSports

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 1,899

YTD: -2.94

Brewers [Lohse] vs CARDINALS [Gast] 1-->1.17
Nationals [Haren] vs PADRES [Cashner] 1-->1.06
ROCKIES [Nicasio] vs Giants [Zito] 1.2-->1
ROCKIES RL [Nicasio] vs Giants [Zito] .5-->.7
YANKEES [Sabathia] vs Blue Jays [Dickey] 1.3-->1
Red Sox [Lackey] vs TWINS [Hernandez] 1.16-->1

6 Team Parlay .20-->11.06
Brewers +117
Nationals +106
ROCKIES RL +150
YANKEES -130
Red Sox -116
PIRATES -189