I hate tv poker because I can never tell what the stack sizes or blinds are. Must be about 2k/4k with 300k effective stacks? The 3b call is 24k with 240k behind, at the marginal end of the range where we call with a speculative hand for implied odds.
97s is a pretty good hand if you think you have a good read on your opponent. It makes strong hands that are hard to see. Also, Matusow will have position. Most of us undervalue position significantly.
Play at this level requires a LOT of deception and misdirection. It's easy to say that it's a horrible call in a $10 sng, but when Raymer's sitting across the table from you, ABC poker isn't going to get you as far.
Yikes, though, calling a 3b with a gapper? I'm not at that level
. Same with calling that bet with 2nd pair. Nice read, actually.
To answer your question "when is it right to call that", I assume you mean with 2nd pair on the flop. You have to think it's very likely your opponent is bluffing or semibluffing. With a low, connected, twotone flop, Matusow is thinking Raymer probably missed. He figures there's a decent chance Raymer is cbetting two high cards or betting a draw. This is more likely because Raymer's bet is much bigger than the pot -- not the sort of bet you make when you want a call.
But this is thinking way too much for low-stakes poker that you are likely playing. Calling big bets with 2nd pair will get you in a lot of trouble, unless you have an opponent who will make aggressive moves, and you have a good read on them. For example, you need to decide whether
this guy would overbet shove TT/AT/T9/JJ here. That's what Matusow is thinking about, and he decided Raymer wouldn't play those this way, but would shove a draw.
Last edited by gedanken; 07-15-2009 at 12:08 AM.