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Bitcoins - digital currency Bitcoins - digital currency

07-18-2019 , 12:13 AM
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Originally Posted by jbouton
So you bought a bitcoin for 5k. The coinbase price is 1k. but the rest of the world is 11k. And doug poker needs 100k worth of bitcoin to play a bitcoin register tournament and hes not leaving the US. What (price) do you sell him your single bitcoin for?
Apart from poker, speculation, drug dealing, and other gray market and nefarious activities, what actual use-case will create natural demand for Bitcoin in the US?

What will incentive Americans to engage in the the equivalent of a street corner drug deal to acquire Bitcoin en masse? Demand for poker chips is unfortunately insignificant.
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07-18-2019 , 12:20 AM
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Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
Why not crypto-centric banks for the on and off ramps? Litecoin Foundation has a 10% stake in a German bank. Not sure where that ends up but seems to be a trend to watch.
They will suffer the same fate as Bitfinex. Apparently, only a handful of US banks process international wires to/from the US then route the payments domestically. Any accounts caught engaging in cryptocurrency related activities will be shut down, and in the case of prohibition, the money seized and forfeited to legal authorities.
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07-18-2019 , 12:26 AM
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Originally Posted by Zenzor
what actual use-case will create natural demand for Bitcoin in the US?
Seems naive to think this way. The internet of money doesn’t care where imaginary boundaries lie.

Chinese using Bitcoin to escape capital controls to then buy real estate in San Francisco and Vancouver is a more natural use case then buying a cup of coffee at your local Starbucks.
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07-18-2019 , 01:07 AM
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Originally Posted by case3
You can't really believe this kind of stuff ^

I just don't get your posts, 0 awareness of anything in the world + crypto religion, yet not at all bitter moon boi. A new species.
Is this fake? Curious your opinion. I assumed real.

https://youtu.be/whrORgwyLE4
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07-18-2019 , 01:18 AM
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Originally Posted by Zenzor
Apart from poker, speculation, drug dealing, and other gray market and nefarious activities, what actual use-case will create natural demand for Bitcoin in the US?

What will incentive Americans to engage in the the equivalent of a street corner drug deal to acquire Bitcoin en masse? Demand for poker chips is unfortunately insignificant.
drugs and gambling are two of the biggest markets in the world and they're only going to grow
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07-18-2019 , 02:03 AM
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Originally Posted by housenuts
Not a chance. Recently college kids were asked if they'd rather $1 or 1 BTC and the majority preferred to take $1

note: video was edited so no idea what real results were
]

I specified "that know what it is" to avoid some pedant saying "If you asked 1000 people about BTC, 950 would say "what's that?"", because that's exactly what I'd probably say.

For the purpose of the hypothetical, we had to agree the the people were trading bitcoin, so I would assume they're not the college kids in the video.
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07-18-2019 , 03:36 AM
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Originally Posted by TomCollins, 04-01-2013, 07:13 PM
11 million coins in existence, but so many of them hoarded by "to the moon" dreamers that there might as well be only 5 million. But keep in mind that the value will be much more due to slower velocity. The fact that no one is selling or spending them is actually making them worth *more*. I think that alone is putting it closer to $10-20 in fundamental value. But you have to account for future growth. Say Bitcoin eventually has a $1B economy in 20 years. I don't think that's a terribly crazy position. That's worth $375M today with 5% interest. So that puts you at something like $19/coin present value today (assuming that scenario works out). There are bigger scenarios that could work out (and certainly bust scenarios). And that is still assuming a normal velocity for coins where we aren't accounting for a lot of store of value uses (which drastically reduces velocity which increases value of coins being circulated).

You are also neglecting foreign markets where the risks you mention here are significantly better than the alternatives.

That being said, I think this price eventually drops down significantly once the "it's going sky high" mentality fades away. But depending on the irrationality of those holding, they might keep riding this for quite some time. As the price does keep going up, it does make it more likely to stabilize the price. Once there is some price stability, then you'll start seeing more of it actually being used.
Tom Collins knew whats up.
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07-18-2019 , 04:05 AM
My usecase is holding my wealth in a fixed supply currency and expecting others to prefer a fixed supply over an inflated supply over a longer period of time.

Spending isn't the only usecase. I use it for the above reason.
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07-18-2019 , 08:20 AM
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Originally Posted by CoolTimer
My usecase is holding my wealth in a fixed supply currency and expecting others to prefer a fixed supply over an inflated supply over a longer period of time.

Spending isn't the only usecase. I use it for the above reason.
well put homie






keep holding that paper money! one day you guys can get someone to hold your bags....
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07-18-2019 , 08:36 AM
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Originally Posted by RT
Is Bitfinex a government?

None that I'm aware of. The order book determines the price, just like every other commodity in the world. If you remove buy orders, the sell orders will have to reduce price to sell. The opposite is true too, if Bitcoin was actually adopted and and there was a surge in demand and people wanting to buy, sellers could charge more.
What you have suggested previously is that a governments action and pressure on the domestic exchanges can and would put downward pressure on the domestic price. I am asking which government can do this and affect the price in every other nation? Or do you want to argue they will act in tandem?


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I feel like this is some trick from my MicroEcon professor checking to see if I recall basic economics from a decade ago.
You are conflating economic concepts such as market valuation and price. These are not at all necessarily the same things but often in economics we use assumptions to make simpler models and one such assumption is that the market valuation and price are the same thing.

When mount gox sky rocketed to 1k usd before going busto many people would have thought they were rich. But just because an exchange gives a price of 1k doesn't at all mean that you can sell your bitcoin on that exchange or anywhere for anywhere near that price.

If the US puts pressure on a US exchange such that the trading ceases do you really mean to argue that as the orders disappear on that exchange that the prices on foreign exchanges will drop accordingly as well as the street value?
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07-18-2019 , 08:46 AM
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Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
Why not crypto-centric banks for the on and off ramps? Litecoin Foundation has a 10% stake in a German bank. Not sure where that ends up but seems to be a trend to watch.
They are coming and it is what Hal Finney suggested would be the "ultimate fate" of bitcoin. He is one of the number one suspects for being Satoshi. It takes time, our governments make the process of change slow which is probably in one sense a good thing.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Zenzor
Apart from poker, speculation, drug dealing, and other gray market and nefarious activities, what actual use-case will create natural demand for Bitcoin in the US?

What will incentive Americans to engage in the the equivalent of a street corner drug deal to acquire Bitcoin en masse? Demand for poker chips is unfortunately insignificant.
Voskuils argument doesn't require any legal (aka white market) use cases. So you are basically asking for white market use cases to establish legitimacy which says nothing to the long term longevity of bitcoin (ie from his view).

Nonetheless as the market grows bitcoin can serve higher and higher value settlement. Eventually settlement among nations and at this point the cost (including speed) is dramatically lower than settlement using something like gold.

It is also irrevocable unlike a banking network and censorship resistant unlike an oil or gold shipment.

And this can be considered black or white market too depending on who's side you are on such as if Iran wants to settle with a country that US has sanctions against.

Quote:
Originally Posted by CoolTimer
My usecase is holding my wealth in a fixed supply currency and expecting others to prefer a fixed supply over an inflated supply over a longer period of time.

Spending isn't the only usecase. I use it for the above reason.
In the discussion of money use cases for bitcoin we are talking about non-savings/speculation use cases because people want to point out if no one is transacting with it then its "savings" usefulness is effectively that of a ponzi wave.
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07-18-2019 , 09:40 AM
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Originally Posted by jbouton
In the discussion of money use cases for bitcoin we are talking about non-savings/speculation use cases because people want to point out if no one is transacting with it then its "savings" usefulness is effectively that of a ponzi wave.
No, that's not how this works. I decide for myself when I value spending on something higher than hodl'ing. You can not separate these 2 forces at work.

At this point I value hodl'ing a lot higher than spending. There are situations where I spend my BTC because there's a lot of friction otherwise, that's where my current personal cutoff to spend is. Arguing BTC has no usecase because people's preference to spend should be different (read:now) is just ignorant.
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07-18-2019 , 09:52 AM
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Originally Posted by CoolTimer
No, that's not how this works. I decide for myself when I value spending on something higher than hodl'ing. You can not separate these 2 forces at work.

At this point I value hodl'ing a lot higher than spending. There are situations where I spend my BTC because there's a lot of friction otherwise, that's where my current personal cutoff to spend is. Arguing BTC has no usecase because people's preference to spend should be different (read:now) is just ignorant.
You've made a semantically based (counter argument). The topic is "what is bitcoin's NON-SAVING use case?". And you are answering: saving.

Last edited by jbouton; 07-18-2019 at 10:00 AM.
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07-18-2019 , 10:05 AM
Well, you can't separate the two, so that's an irrelevant argument to discuss in that case.

And for all the people who say Bitcoin has no use case, and also include hodl'ing as not being a use case my argument stands.
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07-18-2019 , 10:10 AM
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Originally Posted by CoolTimer
Well, you can't separate the two, so that's an irrelevant argument to discuss in that case.

And for all the people who say Bitcoin has no use case, and also include hodl'ing as not being a use case my argument stands.
Yes so you aren't engaging in the debate because many believe if something has no non monetary use case (here monetary can including hodling) and no transactional use case then it can't hold value.

This is why they accuse bitcoin of being a game of bag holding. If you say "hodling" is a monetary use case you are just using different definitions.

People want to understand what are the transactional use cases (assuming there are no non monetary use cases). If you can come up with some then they will not be so convinced its a ponzi.

So you are convinced hodling means its not a ponzi, but then you are not using others "priors" when you are debating them so you aren't really in the same discussion. Thats all.
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07-18-2019 , 10:12 AM
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Originally Posted by RT
]

I specified "that know what it is" to avoid some pedant saying "If you asked 1000 people about BTC, 950 would say "what's that?"", because that's exactly what I'd probably say.
bah i didnt note that and failed here ;p

Last edited by jbouton; 07-18-2019 at 10:29 AM.
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07-18-2019 , 10:15 AM
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Originally Posted by Jsmith27
keep holding that paper money! one day you guys can get someone to hold your bags....
Less than 0.001% of my wealth is in cash (paper) and lest than 0.25% in cash equivalents. How many people will I need to hold my bags in 20 years?
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07-18-2019 , 10:30 AM
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Originally Posted by jbouton
Yes so you aren't engaging in the debate because many believe if something has no non monetary use case (here monetary can including hodling) and no transactional use case then it can't hold value.
I am engaging in the debate by trying to make them see their own basic flaws when they refuse to accept storing value as a use case.
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07-18-2019 , 10:30 AM
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Originally Posted by Didace
Less than 0.001% of my wealth is in cash (paper) and lest than 0.25% in cash equivalents. How many people will I need to hold my bags in 20 years?
nice, good decision, what do you have your money in?
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07-18-2019 , 10:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jbouton
Yes so you aren't engaging in the debate because many believe if something has no non monetary use case (here monetary can including hodling) and no transactional use case then it can't hold value.

This is why they accuse bitcoin of being a game of bag holding. If you say "hodling" is a monetary use case you are just using different definitions.

People want to understand what are the transactional use cases (assuming there are no non monetary use cases). If you can come up with some then they will not be so convinced its a ponzi.

So you are convinced hodling means its not a ponzi, but then you are not using others "priors" when you are debating them so you aren't really in the same discussion. Thats all.
its better at sending money overseas than western union or any of those things like paypal. you cant just have your bitcoin accoutn shut off like paypal can do to you

you can use it just like money at plenty of stores, like overstock. so rather than holding USD that you know will go down, you can hold bitc and use it the same way, even if holding it, its gains value, sometimes you have to spend money on...
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07-18-2019 , 10:39 AM
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Originally Posted by Didace
Less than 0.001% of my wealth is in cash (paper) and lest than 0.25% in cash equivalents. How many people will I need to hold my bags in 20 years?
Why is that? You don't like the great attributes of The American Dollar!?!?
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07-18-2019 , 10:42 AM
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Originally Posted by CoolTimer
I am engaging in the debate by trying to make them see their own basic flaws when they refuse to accept storing value as a use case.
Right now, without other uses, in the long term there is no value to store. There is a chance that at some point in the future there will be a widespread, collective belief that bitcoin has inherent value (that is certainly not the case now) and it would become a store of value. The question is two fold - how widespread does the belief need to be and how long will it take to reach it (if it ever will). You seem to believe both questions are fait accompli. Others differ.
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07-18-2019 , 10:44 AM
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Originally Posted by CoolTimer
Why is that? You don't like the great attributes of The American Dollar!?!?
As a unit of account, short-term store of value, and method of exchange, it's great! Best in the world! I'm just not dumb enough to think that currency=paper.
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07-18-2019 , 10:48 AM
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Originally Posted by CoolTimer
I am engaging in the debate by trying to make them see their own basic flaws when they refuse to accept storing value as a use case.
U arent engaging them. If we assume bitcoin has no other usecase than hodling, no transactional use case otherwise, then u need a like minded hodler in order to cash out. That means there is only this speculative type of bag holding game that drives its value and u seem to agree.
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07-18-2019 , 10:54 AM
wtf just happened
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