Quote:
Originally Posted by TheGodson
I would go 80/15/5 for Bitcoin/Ethereum/Other as a portfolio based on nothing other than my intuition.
I think one of the great things Ethereum has going for them is that Tether, USDC, and WBTC are all dependent on the platform. Ethereum acts less like a currency currently and more like a gatekeeper. That being said, I have very little Ethereum (less than 1%), because I’m more bullish on Bitcoin right now. A lot of people seem to be transferring large parts of their BTC over to ETH and I think Bitcoin will boom shortly after.
I made this post last night before Bitcoin started going up, but 2+2 refreshed my page and I lost everything. I didn’t feel like typing it out again at the time.
Case3 does have a point about it being negative sum, but the negative sum is only because of the demand. You could argue the cost of not having the double spend problem is worth the energy being expended. There is also the argument that it could push for cleaner energy in the future, but I’m not convinced this later argument is a good one.
Overall pretty reasonable and fairly similar to my points of view. I wanted to buy more ETH when the BTC/ETH pair dipped, but... well, at this point I'm just bagholding the BTC I have at this point. ETH too expensive.
I don't think the BTC/ETH ratio matters too much overall as long as the vast majority of core exposure is there, both will do quite well. I'm more bullish on ETH but I view BTC as more of a sure win. Bottom line is that owning either is just crushing normalized returns in the stock market, private equity, business, whatever. How far one needs to push the envelope to maximize off of already insane returns is somewhat debatable/subjective.
A problem with Case3's argument is that while he's obviously correct, it is negative sum, it's that he asserts that this is a bad thing which is fundamentally not true. Poker is a negative sum game and yet here we all are on this forum for a variety of what I'd argue are quite positive reasons. So many things on the planet are negative sum in terms of winners and losers and yet that's not bad. Cryptocurrency has led to an ongoing spur in FinTech development, democratization of money, competition against corruption in governments and so much more. Focusing only on the fact that miners get paid out and whatever else is completely missing the point.
Most of these arguments also just never even come close to holding water relative to the fiat equation either. Okay, so BTC has all these costs. Well what about the USD? Does it just come for free? Obviously not. There's insane costs associated with it's production and distribution, meaning that the USD is also negative sum. Is that a bad thing? Definitely not.