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Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread)

03-01-2022 , 01:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RecreationalPlayer
I like all three of these guys, think they are good for poker and have good ethics and morals.

But I don't think any business run or managed by a poker player has ever ended well. Maybe there are a few, but there are 100s of failures - Full tilt, Run it once, Epic, etc.
Pokerstars doesn't really count either, he was a business man who played a bit of poker and that's the difference.

Would love them to prove me wrong though.
I hear the state of texas is looking to shut down card rooms. If true, the 3 amigos, may have invested in something about to go belly up.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-01-2022 , 01:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by andy g
I hear the state of texas is looking to shut down card rooms. If true, the 3 amigos, may have invested in something about to go belly up.
They should be more concerned about the negative backlash on customer satisfaction and loyalty that could result in response to the controversial rake issue.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-01-2022 , 02:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by andy g
I hear the state of texas is looking to shut down card rooms. If true, the 3 amigos, may have invested in something about to go belly up.
Who did you get that info from? Ken Paxton?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Reggie Steer
They should be more concerned about the negative backlash on customer satisfaction and loyalty that could result in response to the controversial rake issue.
What rake issue are you referring to?
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-01-2022 , 02:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dream Crusher
Who did you get that info from? Ken Paxton?



What rake issue are you referring to?
https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/2...event-1803722/
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-01-2022 , 02:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bakshi
Definitely. I love Omaha but might not play anymore because I see too much team play.
IMO the biggest problem with Omaha is that a colluding team can raise and reraise with any four cards and have much more EV than they would have in nlh because in Omaha the preflop edges are much smaller than NLH. So if you are playing against a team you are playing your four cards against their eight cards, or twelve cards, or however many of them are a gang at the table sharing profits later.
This is silly. Go ahead and get a friend and try this terrible collusion method. You'll both get crushed over time.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-01-2022 , 02:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Reggie Steer
Thanks for the link. Look like the tournament is hugely popular and just some tournament nerds on 2plus2 are upset about it. Perhaps those geeks should stop playing the tournament and force Doug's hand to lower the fee.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-01-2022 , 02:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carnivore
This is silly. Go ahead and get a friend and try this terrible collusion method. You'll both get crushed over time.
I'm highly skeptical of that. The team players can create a much bigger pot when their equity is highest. They can also use this to deny equity to opponents. Other players have to be worried about them but they don't have to be afraid of one another since they are splitting the money.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-01-2022 , 09:27 PM
People who have to collude to win in live plo probably aren’t smart enough to do it correctly
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-01-2022 , 10:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by andy g
I hear the state of texas is looking to shut down card rooms. If true, the 3 amigos, may have invested in something about to go belly up.
Think Paxton is too concerned about fighting democrats on culture war stuff to care about poker rooms. The entire Republican state agenda is focused on CRT, trans rights, abortion, forcing kids to say the pledge of allegiance. Basic culture war stuff that will get the base riled up. Very little time to go after poker rooms when your agenda is so full.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-01-2022 , 10:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dream Crusher
Thanks for the link. Look like the tournament is hugely popular and just some tournament nerds on 2plus2 are upset about it. Perhaps those geeks should stop playing the tournament and force Doug's hand to lower the fee.
lol yes this - people will always find something to moan about, poker players more than most.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-02-2022 , 07:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by smoothcriminal99
People who have to collude to win in live plo probably aren’t smart enough to do it correctly

This.

I suppose you could signal to someone when you have a nut flush blocker, but other than that, there really isn't much people can be doing at live games that are typically 8-9 handed. As long as people aren't speaking to each during hands in a language I don't understand, I've never feared collusion in a live game. Players that are dealt strong hands aren't folding them, and some silly reraising each other preflop strategy would mostly just ramp up the colluders variance, and probably be -ev.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-03-2022 , 09:33 AM
ew texas
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-17-2022 , 01:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pocket_zeros
Quote from the story:

"You get social skills just by sitting at the table with other people and communicating,”

And here's the proof:

There's a guy where I play who acts like this who will antagonize somebody saying don't talk to me for five minutes while the other guy is silent then when the other guy finally says something floor is inevitably called over he acts innocent saying I told him to stop talking to me and he said something.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-17-2022 , 04:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by donkatruck
There's a guy where I play who acts like this who will antagonize somebody saying don't talk to me for five minutes while the other guy is silent then when the other guy finally says something floor is inevitably called over he acts innocent saying I told him to stop talking to me and he said something.
So you think Asian guy in the wrong?
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-17-2022 , 05:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fakekidpoker
So you think Asian guy in the wrong?

Asian guy is not in the wrong for about the first 10 seconds. After that he's 100% into wrong and getting wronger. His wrongness is like x^3-2 where y>0.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-18-2022 , 12:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pocket_zeros
Quote from the story:

"You get social skills just by sitting at the table with other people and communicating,”

And here's the proof:

LMAOOOOO ben is such a ****ing pos, LMAOOO I would legit try to tilt him on purpose. thats so weak for him to spaz out like that
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-18-2022 , 10:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fakekidpoker
So you think Asian guy in the wrong?
Who doesn't?
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-24-2022 , 06:38 PM
Ben was very salty and bitter the whole time. I would have just quit
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-24-2022 , 06:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Carnivore
This.

I suppose you could signal to someone when you have a nut flush blocker, but other than that, there really isn't much people can be doing at live games that are typically 8-9 handed. As long as people aren't speaking to each during hands in a language I don't understand, I've never feared collusion in a live game. Players that are dealt strong hands aren't folding them, and some silly reraising each other preflop strategy would mostly just ramp up the colluders variance, and probably be -ev.
Have to strongly disagree. Once I quit a game - my best game by far - for this very reason. Two people colluding in omaha by raising and re-raising each other to squeeze others out or get it three ways is a difficult strategy to counter...even if you wait for the best hand preflop, you will be a dog and together they will have an equity advantage, when playing 5c even moreso. In multiway all-ins they will also have a sizeable equity advantage over the field since no one is pushing a very large edge with 4+ opponents, except for the colluders who usually will (again) DOUBLE their equity unless they have the misfortune of overlapping cards. So yes, people colluding through their bets preflop do have a large edge.

ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
[/table]
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
xxxx25.96% 149,36512,909
xxxx26.11% 150,23012,912
5%47.93% 284,2666,652
[/URL]

When colluders wait for top `15% hands it gets even worse for the non-colluder waiting for a premium:

ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
[/table]
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
15%29.72% 171,03514,677
15%29.81% 171,61814,644
5%40.47% 233,98417,732
"[/URL]

Last edited by DumbosTrunk; 03-24-2022 at 07:16 PM.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-24-2022 , 10:04 PM
So, the top 5% hand is still getting it's money in a good +ev way, while the colluders are -ev?

Seems like they'd be better off just playing good poker with their top 15% hands.

Your logic here is just fail. In the 2 examples, they have a combined equity of 52% and 59.5%. In both examples, they've put in 66.6% of the chips. So their strategy is losing them money in these scenarios. Nothing to worry about at all.

I mean, it would be annoying to play with these colluders, and I could understand not wanting to. But there is nothing about what they are doing that is benefitting them financially. They are both playing badly in this example.

Last edited by Carnivore; 03-24-2022 at 10:12 PM.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-24-2022 , 10:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by smoothcriminal99
People who have to collude to win in live plo probably aren’t smart enough to do it correctly
I've changed my mind... People who collude to win in live plo probably just win because people are terrible.

The people who cry about colluders definitely aren't smart enough to beat live plo though.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-24-2022 , 10:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DumbosTrunk
Have to strongly disagree. Once I quit a game - my best game by far - for this very reason. Two people colluding in omaha by raising and re-raising each other to squeeze others out or get it three ways is a difficult strategy to counter...even if you wait for the best hand preflop, you will be a dog and together they will have an equity advantage, when playing 5c even moreso. In multiway all-ins they will also have a sizeable equity advantage over the field since no one is pushing a very large edge with 4+ opponents, except for the colluders who usually will (again) DOUBLE their equity unless they have the misfortune of overlapping cards. So yes, people colluding through their bets preflop do have a large edge.

ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
[/table]
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
xxxx25.96% 149,36512,909
xxxx26.11% 150,23012,912
5%47.93% 284,2666,652
[/URL]

When colluders wait for top `15% hands it gets even worse for the non-colluder waiting for a premium:

ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
[/table]
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
15%29.72% 171,03514,677
15%29.81% 171,61814,644
5%40.47% 233,98417,732
"[/URL]
So the colluders are shoveling there money with less than 66% combined equity. The other player can just call down and profit? Still haven’t seen a convincing explanation for what a collusion strategy would look like for PLO bomb pots. Beyond the usual one of communicating nut flush blockers. But that can be done in regular PLO too, by players who have folded pre flop.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-24-2022 , 10:58 PM
I'll make a statement but I'm not going to go into the theory of explaining it thoroughly cause it's exhausting.

In situations where equities run close together (double board/plo preflop etc) collusion is less valuable and requires a lot more coordination then spots where equities are far apart (nlhe preflop/rivers in any game/monotone boards and paired boards).

Reason is simple the dead money counts for less because the colluders retain all the equity anyways so they can force players to not realize or have to put more money in to decide (worse pot odds) in these situations and is more dangerous. The only difference is it's easier to differentiate when a player continuously squeezes people in NLHE or spots where his hand doesn't make sense vs just gambling like crazy with another gambler in plo/bomb pots which is almost always the case in live plo.

I've lost a lot of money to players who were almost definitely colluding in nlhe where 1 player had a set and another player squeezed me out for him OTF. There's been very few situations where players attempting to collude in plo didnt help my equity and are too dumb to realize what their doing is -EV/easy to combat and they were monotone boards almost always so looked incredibly fishy.

Last edited by smoothcriminal99; 03-24-2022 at 11:04 PM.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-25-2022 , 12:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChaosInEquilibrium
So the colluders are shoveling there money with less than 66% combined equity. The other player can just call down and profit? Still haven’t seen a convincing explanation for what a collusion strategy would look like for PLO bomb pots. Beyond the usual one of communicating nut flush blockers. But that can be done in regular PLO too, by players who have folded pre flop.
All my examples assume all in preflop scenarios, which the colluders can manipulate at will. Sorry if that wasn’t clear. Combined they clearly have an equity advantage and a sizeable one at that, for plo standards at least.

Last edited by DumbosTrunk; 03-25-2022 at 12:24 AM.
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote
03-25-2022 , 12:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DumbosTrunk
All my examples assume all in preflop scenarios, which the colluders can manipulate at will. Sorry if that wasn’t clear. Combined they clearly have an equity advantage and a sizeable one at that, for plo standards at least.
do u understand pot odds at all?
Neeme, Owen and Polk buy stakes in "The Lodge" poker room, Austin TX (Lodge containment thread) Quote

      
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