Well, here we go again.
The first meeting GBT had with the DOJ they likely knew the real figures seized. This news likely has little effect on how far along current deals are/will be regarding GBT.
And yet GBT are still in talks.
Additionally,
1) GBT has never indicated they would not be willing to put up the full 300 million. We do not know their ceiling.
2) This deal has never hinged solely on whether or not DOJ would pay back the players on GBT's behalf, nor did it hinge on the DOJ waving the fine. That was all speculation and never once confirmed by any outlet.
3) This case is unique given that the DOJ has already publicly framed poker players as a victim. As such, the DOJ is less inclined to be punitive in this spot, especially knowing that FTP is already insolvent and that the owners wont be gaining or profitting from this sale. Nothing looks better politically for the DOJ and those trying to build a career than declaring the former FTP dead and coming to the rescue of the players at the same time.
4) GBT have a history of buying bankrupt companies. This is their bread and butter and thus they can't be looked at as just some randoms with a lot of money to spend. They also have a connection with the ISPT, and any type of synergy they may be able to gain from having a full scale client tied in with that makes them desire FTP all the more.
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheDarkElf
Tons of people who post IIT think that anyone who expresses an opinion that is pessimist about the possibility of a FTP sale is:
- a shill for another site (or the AGCC or the DOJ);
- a (invariably not good) player who has very little money on the site;
- someone who is enjoying watching other people suffer.
It comes to no surprise to me there are tons of these people in the world.
What is really sad is how the 2+2 mods just let it go on endlessly.
honestly this is the truth 90% of the time.
Additionally, I would be willing to bet that there have been more pessimists in this thread (and also the pessimists have been far more vocal and visible as well) than optimists. I would probably say at the very least it's a 2:1 ratio, and perhaps more. So lets stop with this victim mentality.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jweez
This news doesn't change the actual situation in the slightest, rather just our perception of it.
I've been trying to develop an NVG theorem concerning news updates. I think this is going to be part of it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by yesright
If FTP told Tapie the same story they told the AGCC then it makes a huge difference.
To what end?
Why would FTP lie to GBT when they know they will be found out anyway?
Additionally, if they did mislead, GBT has already known about the real figures for weeks. They haven't walked away yet.
Quote:
As subject poker stated, a lot of the figure was years ago and has already been re-alocated by the DOJ.
If the number was 300 million it likely would be the same scenario.
Perception: Changed.
Reality: constant.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Diamond_Flush
Even if he believed what had been written, pretty sure the DOJ would have made it clear pretty early what the real picture looked like. And they are still talking, so its all good.
yup.
not much has changed on the negotiation front.
Last edited by SGT RJ; 10-20-2011 at 07:28 PM.