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Originally Posted by Inso0
Biden is only up to 50.9% of the vote total, so not sure where you get 5% from.
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Nate Silver:
Extrapolating out from current vote totals, I project Biden winning the popular vote by 4.3 percentage points and getting 81.8 million votes to President Trump’s 74.9 million, with a turnout of around 160 million. This is significant because no candidate has ever received 70 million votes in an election — former President Barack Obama came the closest in 2008, with 69.5 million votes — let alone 80 million. That may also be a slightly conservative projection, given the blue shift we’ve seen so far and the fact that late-counted votes such as provisional ballots often lean Democratic. I’d probably bet on Biden’s popular vote margin winding up at closer to 5 points than to 4, and 6 points isn’t entirely out of the question either.
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Originally Posted by Inso0
You're also seemingly ignoring the fact that his opponent was Donald Trump, possibly the most actively hated man in American history. How much worse do you think future GOP candidates can get? Name one who could get the nomination and be more of a PR disaster than Trump.
I think Trump was not a very good general election candidate, which is part of the reason why in 2016 and this year he ran about 2 points behind the generic Republican House candidate. But he's pretty popular among Republican voters and not anywhere near as bad a campaigner as people here sometimes say. For instance, he's clearly the best politician currently active at controlling and dominating the media.
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Originally Posted by Inso0
If you want to bury your head in the sand and pretend like this was a great success for the democrats, I won't stop you. Biden won what could be argued as a squeaker, given the circumstances, and that should frighten you if you're on team Blue.
I don't think it was a great success for Democrats. I just don't start from a baseline expectation of total Democratic domination such that winning the Presidency and the House becomes a failure. My view is that the Republican Party is a formidable political enemy, that Trump winning in 2016 was not a fluke, and that Trump was favored to win back in December last year. So I'm pretty happy to celebrate this victory as a win for its own sake - we got rid of Trump as President. Oh well that we didn't run up the score as much as we hoped. Let's do better next time.