Quote:
Originally Posted by Luckbox Inc
You issue is that you're approaching this discussion like it's some sort of logic puzzle to be solved. Where if only I laid out all my arguments properly you'd understand and since I'm not you're winning this discussion or something. But none of this is too hard. It's hard for me to not consider you disingenuous here-- like you've literally said whatever happens in the future I can't be right because I haven't said enough, and I don't really have much of an interest in engaging with that.
Mostly my aim here now in this thread is to see that either most of you, or perhaps me myself are extremely embarrassed by future news or the lack thereof. I'd say right now I'm winning though.
Im just going to keep calling you disingenuous about this. There's no deep logic in why you need to actually commit to a position in order to be right or wrong. There's no deep puzzle as to why "something" is not a real prediction. It doesn't take a much epistemology just to be able to state a belief.
The thing about conspiracy theories is that it
does take a lot of work to break them down, that's why I've gone over stuff in detail, but for you to say something meaningful would just need you to say something like "I think after next month's report we'll see an atypical rise in defence spending" just for an example.
I blurted out three clear predictions I had that could easily show me to be wrong. Didn't have to do a logic puzzle. Didn't really have to think about it. You on the other hand are pretending I'm asking for something really complicated when it's actually the bear minimum required for anyone to be able to say you could be shown to be right.