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LOL Row Coach...  peak is still here. LOL Row Coach...  peak is still here.

04-26-2015 , 12:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JimAfternoon
Lol Jiggs. You have no idea what the hell you're talking about.

You're just parroting things you read on conspiracy theory websites. You've been wrong about everything so far and you will continue to be proven wrong going forward.

Even though you're constantly shifting goalposts and making this all up as you go along, there's enough here already for us to point back at in the future and laugh.

So thanks for that.
LOL... If you could qualify what you feel I'm specifically "wrong" about, you would.

There's no "conspiracy" web sites here, troll. Unless you'd like to describe the USGS and EIA data that way. It's YOU who doesn't know what you're talking about, because you don't have the capacity to explain what's "wrong" about mine.
04-26-2015 , 12:31 PM
JIIIIGGGGGGGSSSSSS I DIDN'T EVEN READ YOUR STUPID ****
04-26-2015 , 12:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
Your net result doesn't necessarily follow from your premise.

In fact we've seen cycles of price changes and in general growth/prosperity has increased.
I started out with "suppose" as the whole thing is more speculative about a possibility than trying to say I've proven something.

Oil prices peaked in July 2008 at $147/barrel. That could be the first "peak oil" start of economic cycles caused by oil prices. (1973 too, but that was more artificial) I would think the jury is still out on really whether or not growth/prosperity has increased. But, it could be that the boom/bust marriage of oil prices and the economy doesn't tend all the way back to zero. It could just be a serious damper on prosperity. Oil is huge, but it's not everything.
04-26-2015 , 12:47 PM
except the high oil price was caused by the roaring economy, and the drop was caused by the drop in the economy, not the other way around.
04-26-2015 , 12:54 PM
People that think our dependency on oil could be a hamper on growth don't strike me as crazy. Depending on how you define it it's almost certainly true.
04-26-2015 , 01:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
Ethanol is an energy sink. Please don't factor that in your renewables equation, because it's meaningless, long term.
It's funny that both peak oil proponents and oil companies would be on the same side against ethanol.

The economics of ethanol vary quite a bit based on local conditions. Ethanol is an energy sink? It's more of an energy storage medium. A lot like gasoline. It takes 4-7.5 kwh of electricity to refine a gallon of gasoline. That's enough to drive an average electric car 16-30 miles just on the energy to refine a gallon of gas, not including getting and transporting the oil. Oil refineries are the largest industrial consumers of power in California.

The total picture is quite complicated. There are varying local conditions and there are also many byproducts in ethanol and gasoline production to consider. In fact, ethanol is available itself as a byproduct of the animal feed industry.

http://www.wired.com/2011/06/five-et...yths-busted-2/

The source of energy to produce ethanol (or gasoline) is of course relevant to how sustainable/unsustainable it is.
04-26-2015 , 03:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
JIIIIGGGGGGGSSSSSS I DIDN'T EVEN READ YOUR STUPID ****
then you should probably STFU about what they're saying, so you can stop embarrassing yourself.

When you're the absolute worst, you can only improve. Pro tip: One building block strategy might be to either read what's being conveyed, or stop lying about what others are saying.
04-26-2015 , 03:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
except the high oil price was caused by the roaring economy, and the drop was caused by the drop in the economy, not the other way around.
LOL... demonstrably wrong.
04-26-2015 , 03:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
then you should probably STFU about what they're saying, so you can stop embarrassing yourself.

When you're the absolute worst, you can only improve. Pro tip: One building block strategy might be to either read what's being conveyed, or stop lying about what others are saying.
ignoring stupid ****s proven wrong is a point in my favor, not a point against
04-26-2015 , 03:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
ignoring stupid ****s proven wrong is a point in my favor, not a point against
Cool story. Prove it wrong first and you might have that point.

Meanwhile, you've been wrong at nearly every turn.... Including your most recent assessment that a "roaring economy" is what brought elevated oil prices. LOL
04-26-2015 , 03:13 PM
It's been proven, you're just unable to admit it. It's why you're a peak oiler and a troofer.
04-26-2015 , 03:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
It's been proven, you're just unable to admit it. It's why you're a peak oiler and a troofer.
LOL... No, it actually hasn't. Only your straw man version of my argument has been "proven wrong."

Tell me, deep thinker: If U.S. production is the only thing that has maintained global production growth for 5 years now, and yet U.S. rig count is suddenly down 50% since last summer, what do you think that means for global production rates in the next 12 months?
04-26-2015 , 03:41 PM
http://www.indexmundi.com/energy.asp...aph=production

http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_crd_...c_mbblpd_a.htm

The US accounted for about 1/2 the growth from 2009-2013.
04-26-2015 , 03:45 PM
You can't just look at production. The Gulf states still basically have a spigot they can turn on and off.

Like we used to have. This was in Signal Hill - next to (actually an enclave) Long Beach - Los Angeles in 1923.

04-26-2015 , 03:58 PM
Quote:
As in last month's STEO, global production continues to exceed demand, resulting in inventory builds
http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo/report/global_oil.cfm

LOLJiggs
04-26-2015 , 05:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul D
LOLPaul. Still having trouble admitting there's a striking difference between conventional and unconventional production, huh Capt. Butthurt?
04-26-2015 , 05:30 PM
Production slows down in the face of surpluses. Which makes your above statement about production lolzy.

ps the Only butthurt person itt is you. You fling around ad hominems against anyone who disagrees with you. Again you are nothing more than a troll and a dumb ass for not knowing wtf they're talking about to begin with.
04-26-2015 , 05:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
which one of your links is supposed to show that claim?

I suppose I should have said North America accounts for almost all production growth since 2005, adding actually more disgusting tar sands from Canada. Same basic equation: They're both - bitumen and kerogen - unsustainable unconventional crude from source rock that require prices much higher than the public can afford.

Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
You can't just look at production. The Gulf states still basically have a spigot they can turn on and off.
Saudi can ramp it up perhaps 1-1.5 million barrels, for a short while, using very risky water injection methods. Not the Gulf States as a whole. Such a decision only moves them toward their own domestic peak faster, however. Still, North American unconventional production is around 7M per day, all of it in great jeopardy with prices this low. Saudi won't be able to offset that, let alone all the rest of the conventional declines all over the world.

Iran could cushion the blow, provided they allow Western industry meddling immediately. And that's unlikely.
04-26-2015 , 05:40 PM
WCS is sour heavy crude and is now about $47/barrel
WTI is sweet light crude and is now about $60/barrel

Is that what you're talking about Jiggs?
04-26-2015 , 05:41 PM
You are seriously stupid Jiggs. It doesn't matter how much production ability Saudis or Gulf states have when there is a surplus. lol.
04-26-2015 , 05:43 PM
Huge fundamental changes in the economy obviously would have to happen if there were no oil.

Would huge fundamental changes be required if the only oil came from more expensive tar sands and deep fracking wells and such? I hope so, otherwise the planet is pretty ****ed.
04-26-2015 , 05:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul D
Production slows down in the face of surpluses. Which makes your above statement about production lolzy.
Where "slows down" is cornucopian code speech for bankruptcy and the padlocking of wells. Yeah, that must be it. They're doing "so well" that they're willfully "slowing down" by not paying back their loans. Cool story, bro.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul D
ps the Only butthurt person itt is you.
No, again, you. You act like an infantile jackass at every turn, and you don't understand the dynamic at play. All you have in your weaksauce arsenal is "econ 101, bro."

Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul D
You fling around ad hominems against anyone who disagrees with you.
More like I return ad hominems in a language that only arrogant jaggovs like you understand.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul D
Again you are nothing more than a troll and a dumb ass for not knowing wtf they're talking about to begin with.
Projection at it's finest.

Tell us again how "economics 101" moves us seamlessly to some magical alternative you can't seem to identify.
04-26-2015 , 05:47 PM
Jiggz confirmed mad
04-26-2015 , 05:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul D
You are seriously stupid Jiggs. It doesn't matter how much production ability Saudis or Gulf states have when there is a surplus. lol.
It does when you're trying to project production beyond 6 months, dip****.

Do you even understand how much "storage" exists? There is no actual "surplus" beyond what you can point to up until U.S. production begins its decline (i.e., later this year). That's the real blind spot for morons like you.
04-26-2015 , 05:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
Where "slows down" is cornucopian code speech for bankruptcy and the padlocking of wells. Yeah, that must be it. They're doing "so well" that they're willfully "slowing down" by not paying back their loans. Cool story, bro.
Lol. And this is exactly why you are a conspiratard.

      
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