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LOL Row Coach...  peak is still here. LOL Row Coach...  peak is still here.

04-26-2015 , 05:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
WCS is sour heavy crude and is now about $47/barrel
WTI is sweet light crude and is now about $60/barrel

Is that what you're talking about Jiggs?
Are you talking about break even cost of production for Canadian tar sands? Some existing projects are that low, now that their CAPEX has been finished. But new projects to maintain needed growth? No way.

How high break-even costs are challenging new oilsands projects
http://business.financialpost.com/ne..._lsa=8f10-ff73
Break-even oil prices for major new projects such as Suncor Energy Inc.’s Fort Hills, Canadian Natural Resources Ltd.’s Horizon expansion and Imperial Oil Ltd.’s Kearl Phase 2 are at US$90 or more per barrel, according to a study released Thursday by Citigroup Global Markets Inc.
04-26-2015 , 05:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
It does when you're trying to project production beyond 6 months, dip****.

Do you even understand how much "storage" exists? There is no actual "surplus" beyond what you can point to up until U.S. production begins its decline (i.e., later this year). That's the real blind spot for morons like you.
That's cute.

Quote:
EIA expects OPEC surplus crude oil production capacity, which is concentrated in Saudi Arabia, to increase to an annual average of 2.1 million bbl/d in 2015 and 2.6 million bbl/d in 2016, after averaging about 2.0 million bbl/d in 2014. Surplus capacity is typically an indication of market conditions, and surplus capacity below 2.5 million bbl/d is an indicator of a relatively tight market. However, the current and forecast levels of global inventory builds make the projected low surplus capacity level in 2015 less significant.
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/tight-market.asp

Just so your dumb ass doesn't play word games.
04-26-2015 , 05:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
LOL... If you could qualify what you feel I'm specifically "wrong" about, you would.

There's no "conspiracy" web sites here, troll. Unless you'd like to describe the USGS and EIA data that way. It's YOU who doesn't know what you're talking about, because you don't have the capacity to explain what's "wrong" about mine.
There's very little value in arguing with a zealot.

Regardless though, if you insist, let's start with the OP of a thread you made on peak oil:

Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey in 2009
... because as I see it, the collapse of global markets is not due to shady banking practices, the mortgage bubble, insane federal spending, privatization run amok, or whatever partisan animosity one can think of... they are, ALL of them, merely functions of the root cause, a geological certainty that we can no longer refuse to acknowledge: Olduvai Theory, Malthusian catastrophe, Peak Oil... whatever you prefer to call it ... is on our doorstep.
lol

Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey in 2009
http://www.peakoil.org/

The coming oil shocks won't be so short lived. They represent the onset of a new, permanent condition. Once the decline gets under way, production will drop (conservatively) by 3% per year, every year. War, terrorism, extreme weather and other "above ground" geopolitical factors will likely push the effective decline rate past 10% per year, thus cutting the total supply by 50% in 7 years. Source
lol
04-26-2015 , 05:58 PM
How far away is 2016?
04-26-2015 , 05:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul D
Lol. And this is exactly why you are a conspiratard.
What does this even mean, crazy person? Are you actually disputing that alarming rates of U.S. fracking companies are facing bankruptcies? Do you even understand what's being discussed at this point, you circular logic savant?
04-26-2015 , 06:01 PM
Jiggs,

You don't even know what "padlocking" a well is for christs sake. There are numerous articles that have come out recently that detail wells waiting to be fracked when the price rises.
04-26-2015 , 06:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JimAfternoon
There's very little value in arguing with a zealot.

Regardless though, if you insist, let's start with the OP of a thread you made on peak oil:

lol

lol
See the part when it says "Once the decline gets under way?" On a global scale, that hasn't begun yet. I don't see how what I said in those passages was wrong yet because it describes a scenario that has been bought off a half dozen years by unsustainable cheap credit and unconventional crap-grade crude.

We'll see when U.S. production growth can no longer bail out floundering world flow rates how the global economy responds. Won't we?
04-26-2015 , 06:09 PM
Jiggs,

Ok, so if all new oil discoveries are at breakeven $70-$95/barrel (the range from your link), what happens, what's the response and what make you think you're right?
04-26-2015 , 06:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by samsonh
Jiggs,

You don't even know what "padlocking" a well is for christs sake.
LOL.... You must think it's an easy process to ramp production right back up where it left off.

Yeah, I can tell already I undoubtedly know a lot more than you about it. Your projection here is rather transparent. You've been learning as you go along on this topic for quite some time now.

Quote:
Originally Posted by samsonh
There are numerous articles that have come out recently that detail wells waiting to be fracked when the price rises.
Cite them. Are they by the industry themselves, begging for continued investment dollars? Even if so, are they claiming an amount "waiting" that will offset shuttered wells?

Getting unconventional production to this level has required an astronomical level of capital, false promise, and red tape. You can't just start it right back up again when the curtain rises on your flawed model.

You're talking about turning a super tanker, not a Formula 1 race car. The investment dollars will not be there, guaranteed. They've wised up.

Do the work, link your claims, or return to the sidelines. Rest assured I have unending links that say quite the opposite yours allegedly do.
04-26-2015 , 06:20 PM
The only good thing about this thread is the title. It's kind of funny to see it pop up with new posts from time to time.
04-26-2015 , 06:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
Jiggs,

Ok, so if all new oil discoveries are at breakeven $70-$95/barrel (the range from your link), what happens, what's the response and what make you think you're right?
Right about what aspect? The response to what?

If you're still talking about Canadian sands production, I don't see it's "growth" as essential to the equation at all. After years of high prices and devastating effects on the environment, tar sands is still floundering around at some 3M barrels per day. Big deal.

Shale is where the cornies rest their "plenty of oil" argument. No one seriously claims tar sands can get up much higher.
04-26-2015 , 06:26 PM
So what is the breakeven point for shale oil? source?

What happens when all oil has that breakeven point? why?
04-26-2015 , 06:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
What does this even mean, crazy person? Are you actually disputing that alarming rates of U.S. fracking companies are facing bankruptcies? Do you even understand what's being discussed at this point, you circular logic savant?
Yes, you are completely crazy when you see codewords.

Who gives a **** if fracking companies are filing bankruptcy when it is already shown production is increasing from 2015 to 2016?

Go read some more of your tea leaves and look into your crystal ball.
04-26-2015 , 06:39 PM
It's incredibly easy to ramp up drilling again when prices come back up. Jesus.

Energy companies are still having no problem raising money in the credit markets and/or finding buyers for new stock issuance.

I'd like to see a cite for the claim that '40% of US oil operators are bankrupt and 80% are insolvent'.
04-26-2015 , 07:10 PM
Jiggs let it go. Get out of ur basement. Go enjoy life. Have no fear. The apocalypse is not coming.
04-26-2015 , 07:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JimAfternoon
It's incredibly easy to ramp up drilling again when prices come back up. Jesus.
Oh, bull... sh**... What kind of drilling are you talking about? Shale from fracking? ... Is this where you vaguely allude to conventional plays and hope I don't notice? Cite your claim. Make sure you support your case that it's "incredibly easy" to ramp up unconventional, debt-riddled drilling.

Considering the bankruptcy process, and how investors are waking up to the con job people like you are promoting.. can't wait.

Quote:
Originally Posted by JimAfternoon
Energy companies are still having no problem raising money in the credit markets and/or finding buyers for new stock issuance.
"It is so because I say it is so. I don't need to link my claim!!!"

Hopefully you can utilize some 2015 sources.

Quote:
Originally Posted by JimAfternoon
I'd like to see a cite for the claim that '40% of US oil operators are bankrupt.
"Are bankrupt"... I smell a straw man coming on again.

Read what I wrote again. Slower this time.
04-26-2015 , 07:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by vajennasguy
Jiggs let it go. Get out of ur basement. Go enjoy life. Have no fear. The apocalypse is not coming.
LOL ... But then, I don't describe any "apocalypse." That would be you trolls, extrapolating my message as you deflect from the diagnosis.

Less projecting. More hard data. Thanks.
04-26-2015 , 07:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
LOL ... But then, I don't describe any "apocalypse." That would be you trolls, extrapolating my message as you deflect from the diagnosis.

Less projecting. More hard data. Thanks.
I don't think projecting means what u think it means
04-26-2015 , 07:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
LOL ... But then, I don't describe any "apocalypse." That would be you trolls, extrapolating my message as you deflect from the diagnosis.



Less projecting. More hard data. Thanks.

You actually did, in deleted posts that led to your permabanning. I wish I had the presence of mind to save screenshots, it was quite a meltdown
04-26-2015 , 07:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by vajennasguy
I don't think projecting means what u think it means
Sure it does. The basement... The fear... The constant allusion to Mad Max world. Allegations that are all you seem to ever have to offer. Telling.
04-26-2015 , 07:57 PM
I'm not following. Can u elaborate?
04-26-2015 , 07:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
You actually did, in deleted posts that led to your permabanning. I wish I had the presence of mind to save screenshots, it was quite a meltdown
Yeah, the reason for my removal from the "safe" forum has been covered, including the PM that did it. It had absolutely nothing to do with your re-writing of forum history, liar.
04-26-2015 , 08:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
Yeah, the reason for my removal from the "safe" forum has been covered, including the PM that did it. It had absolutely nothing to do with your re-writing of forum history, liar.

I don't know about all that, but you did write a bunch of posts babbling about how industrial civilization was destined to fall into a postindustrial Stone Age in the next thirty years. The posts were also filled with name calling and you were banned shortly after. You can deny it if you like but we both know it's true.
04-26-2015 , 08:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JiggsCasey
Sure it does. The basement... The fear... The constant allusion to Mad Max world. Allegations that are all you seem to ever have to offer. Telling.
What are the odds on a Waterworld?
04-26-2015 , 08:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
I don't know about all that, but you did write a bunch of posts babbling about how industrial civilization was destined to fall into a postindustrial Stone Age in the next thirty years. The posts were also filled with name calling and you were banned shortly after. You can deny it if you like but we both know it's true.
What I said - liar - was the ramifications of peak oil are anyone guess, but would range from a very painful and prolonged recession all the way to global war. And while the posts may have been filled with name-calling, it was trolls like you who initiated it. We both know it's true.

      
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