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Immigration and refugees Immigration and refugees

06-05-2017 , 01:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jalfrezi
Read Post 565
Read it.
May by things are different elsewhere, but in my country less than one in seven refugees ever get a job.
I am not denying things are tough for those guys, but pretending it is an economic benefit to move people from the stone age to the modern world is just silly.
06-05-2017 , 01:44 AM
You don't know what the Stone Age was.

Why are you posting opinions when you have zero knowledge or understanding of the subject?
06-05-2017 , 01:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jalfrezi
You don't know what the Stone Age was.

Why are you posting opinions when you have zero knowledge or understanding of the subject?
I have plenty of knowledge, it is the "all will be happy and sunshine" brigade that lacks it.
06-05-2017 , 01:49 AM
Are you a Scandinavian or an Eastern European?
06-05-2017 , 01:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jalfrezi
Are you a Scandinavian or an Eastern European?
Which would make you happier?
06-05-2017 , 04:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by skalf
Read it.
May by things are different elsewhere, but in my country less than one in seven refugees ever get a job.
I am not denying things are tough for those guys, but pretending it is an economic benefit to move people from the stone age to the modern world is just silly.
Quote:
Originally Posted by skalf
I have plenty of knowledge, it is the "all will be happy and sunshine" brigade that lacks it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by skalf
Which would make you happier?
Skalf, can you provide something more substantial if you wish to continue down this path.

For examples, which country? and some credible cite about unemployment rates.
06-05-2017 , 10:10 AM
Yeah, uh, does 'remember that time wil linked to heritage' actually top 'remember that time wil linked to breitbart'? I'm gonna need a judges ruling.

Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
Here's some really shocking numbers.





06-05-2017 , 10:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AppleCrumble
Random point but the phrase 'marriage reduces poverty' doesn't have tilt me.

I mean, agree completely with the general point that a culture emphasising stability and steadiness in your career and finances before getting married and having kids is going to be hugely beneficial in terms of alleviating poverty, but the wording of it is just way off.

Still, I suppose we shouldn't really be surprised at the stats.

Stupid n****rs breeding like rabbits right!?!
06-05-2017 , 10:16 AM
Ok yeah this place is officially actually definitely pv8.8 now.
06-05-2017 , 03:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ive
Stupid n****rs breeding like rabbits right!?!
5ive fist-pumps as he uses the N word again.

Been a while, eh dude.
06-05-2017 , 03:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jalfrezi
Watching you try to rip a narrative apart (lol) would be akin to watching a barely sentient somnambulant sheep taking it out on a patch of grass, you courageous keyboard neo-Nazi, you.

From the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries, an organisation that even a disingenuous extremist such as yourself will struggle to portray as 'Commie':
Why are you lying? Just opened the pdf and the name of the report is literally.

THE IMPACT OF POSSIBLE
MIGRATION SCENARIOS
AFTER ‘BREXIT’ ON THE STATE
PENSION SYSTEM


What does this have to do with asylum immigration? Your article has no relevance to what I posted earlier.

I already know that all immigration is not harmful.

Did you even read the report? I will take a glance and see what it actually says.
06-05-2017 , 03:57 PM
Clearly the report advocates immigration with a higher income potential to close the gap between natives and immigrants. There is nothing in this report disproving my earlier posts. The type of immigration we have had in Sweden over the last 3 decades has come at an enormous cost to the welfare system.

Here is an excerpt of what it actually says.

Australia has a very restrictive immigration policy.

Quote:
In particular, we assume that
policy changes mean that new immigrants to the UK have the same level of income relative to the
resident population as currently observed for immigrants to Australia. This implies a considerable
increase in the incomes earned by immigrants to the UK over that currently observed; the plausibility
of this assumption is discussed below. Apart from immigrants under 25, all other immigrant age
groups to Australia have a higher relative income than recent immigrants to the UK (comparing
tables 1 and 2) although their incomes on average are still below the income of natives. The
distribution of recent immigrants’ income to Australia is reported in table 2 below.

What is your take on the article assuming that you have read it jalfrezi?

Last edited by Marn; 06-05-2017 at 04:21 PM. Reason: edit, was a bit fast there
06-05-2017 , 04:18 PM
Another quote from the report:
Quote:

These results shows that the reduction in migration, not surprisingly, causes a reduction both in all
(simulated) sources of government revenue, and in benefit expenditure with the exception of
expenditure on pensions where the effect is not statistically significant.
It is absolutely obvious that less immigration causes a reduction in government revenue, but that is a completely meaningless measure of the wealth of a country. BNP per capita is all that matters really, increased BNP is a direct consequence of having more people and thus a larger economy.

Just to make things clear, I can fully understand that Brexit may have negative economic consequences partly due to losing highly qualified work force due to international companies relocating.
06-05-2017 , 04:38 PM
Does anyone know of a UK study similar to that Danish one I posted? Now that would actually be interesting to read!
06-05-2017 , 04:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
Sounds like mumbo jumbo to me.

Your chart doesn't contradict what I said. Read the note at the bottom: "Prior to 1968, black denotes all non-whites".

In fact, the authors of that article write:

Quote:
The racial makeup of single-mother families has not changed very much over time. In 1970, 31 percent of single-mother families were black, 68 percent were white, and 1 percent were “other race.” In 2013, the figures were 30 percent black, 62 percent white, and 8 percent “other.”

http://educationnext.org/was-moynihan-right/
Which is to my point. The trends are not race-specific, and black Americans having a higher rate is not something that was caused by the civil rights movement. You asked what happened to the rate after 1965.

Also, you seem to interpret the data as if the causal connection between unmarried births and poor outcomes goes one way, i.e. that children born to unmarried parents do worse. But that is not the end of the story. Both of these statements are true:

1) Children born to unmarried parents have worse outcomes
2) Individuals with low SES are more likely to have children outside of marriage.

There is a feedback loop between these two, and (2) is as important as (1). You can find research on this presented at one of the links I provided.

Re: (1)

Quote:
Children born to unmarried mothers are more likely to grow up in a single-parent household, experience instable living arrangements, live in poverty, and have socio-emotional problems. (list of citations)
Re: (2)

Quote:
Women who give birth outside of marriage tend to be more disadvantaged than their married counterparts, both before and after the birth. Unmarried mothers generally have lower incomes, lower education levels, and are more likely to be dependent on welfare assistance compared with married mothers. (list of citations)
Hence my comment that the racial difference probably collapses to socio-economic stratification between blacks and whites, i.e. that blacks are far more likely to be poor and to lack various social capital. Why is that? Historical racism plays an enormous role, as do other factors. Because you ignore the role of (2) in favor of (1), without ever seeming to ask why the gap exists in the first place, you miss the most obvious conclusions as far as social policy.
06-05-2017 , 05:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Marn
Why are you lying? Just opened the pdf and the name of the report is literally.

THE IMPACT OF POSSIBLE
MIGRATION SCENARIOS
AFTER ‘BREXIT’ ON THE STATE
PENSION SYSTEM


What does this have to do with asylum immigration? Your article has no relevance to what I posted earlier.

I already know that all immigration is not harmful.

Did you even read the report? I will take a glance and see what it actually says.
Jeez.

You've been arguing all thread about how immigration, particularly Muslim immigration, is bad for the host society and for the economy.

I pointed out that immigration is necessary to be able to pay state pensions to a growing ageing population.

You disputed this and asked for a citation, falsely calling me a coward and somehow not getting a time out for it (lol @ the cheztapo).

I posted a link to a report and the published summary that supports the link between immigration and pensions.

In addition to what I posted, the summary also states

Quote:
The report considers a number of other policy levers that the Government could use to offset such long term impacts. Some of the changes that could be used to offset the £8bn cost in 2057 include:
  • Raise the State Pension Age by one year, or;
  • Lower the amount of state pension for new pensioners by 3.5%, which equates to approximately £300 less per person per year, or
  • Increase the rate of National Insurance Contributions by nearly 1.5%

Now you say "Oh I was only talking about asylum seekers".

lolMarn
06-05-2017 , 05:19 PM
The very graph you tried to have removed showed that western immigrants have roughly the same income as natives and given their age demographics they are a positive for the economy. So stop misrepresenting what I said.

Also that report you posted in no way whatsoever support claims that 'pensioners will starving' without mass immigration. Just stop lying jalfrezi, you are not very good at it.

You look like a total idiot posting this report as support for your whacky ideas. Now where did you really read the pensioners stuff? You obviously didn't read this report before posting it.

I don't see that summary you quoted in the report.


The vast majority of our immigration is asylum immigration and their families from underdeveloped countries. That kind of immigration is costly and harmful on many levels.
06-05-2017 , 05:34 PM
I think we are in agreement that en elderly population distribution means a greater burden of taxes on the working population.

Are we also in agreement that immigrants who costs more than they contribute has have no net positive effect on the welfare of pensioners, rather the opposite?

I told you I had the graph saved on my computer, how much time did you give me to come up with the online source before reporting my post?
06-05-2017 , 05:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Marn
Are we also in agreement that immigrants who costs more than they contribute has have no net positive effect on the welfare of pensioners, rather the opposite?
Over what time frame?
Be aware that I consider the gross contribution to their host country, which includes their offspring.

Last edited by jalfrezi; 06-05-2017 at 05:43 PM.
06-05-2017 , 05:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jalfrezi
Over what time frame?
Be aware that I consider the gross contribution to their host country, which includes their offspring.
Their entire lifetime. Second generation employment numbers are better, but it is too early to say how they will fare in the long term. Anyhow, so we need immigrants so they can have offspring?
06-05-2017 , 05:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Marn
Their entire lifetime.
Conveniently ignoring contributions made by their children, eh?
06-05-2017 , 06:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Marn
Their entire lifetime. Second generation employment numbers are better, but it is too early to say how they will fare in the long term. Anyhow, so we need immigrants so they can have offspring?
Ugh

Nations don't take in asylum seekers to turn a profit on them during their lifetime. It's a sick and shallow way of looking at the world, and exposes your real thoughts on the subject and your abject lack of humanity. I hope most Swedes are better human beings.
06-05-2017 , 11:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BroadwaySushy
5ive fist-pumps as he uses the N word again.

Been a while, eh dude.
Yeah, even the translators need some vacation time.
06-06-2017 , 02:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by well named
Your chart doesn't contradict what I said. Read the note at the bottom: "Prior to 1968, black denotes all non-whites".

In fact, the authors of that article write:



Which is to my point. The trends are not race-specific, and black Americans having a higher rate is not something that was caused by the civil rights movement. You asked what happened to the rate after 1965.

Also, you seem to interpret the data as if the causal connection between unmarried births and poor outcomes goes one way, i.e. that children born to unmarried parents do worse. But that is not the end of the story. Both of these statements are true:

1) Children born to unmarried parents have worse outcomes
2) Individuals with low SES are more likely to have children outside of marriage.

There is a feedback loop between these two, and (2) is as important as (1). You can find research on this presented at one of the links I provided.

Re: (1)



Re: (2)



Hence my comment that the racial difference probably collapses to socio-economic stratification between blacks and whites, i.e. that blacks are far more likely to be poor and to lack various social capital. Why is that? Historical racism plays an enormous role, as do other factors. Because you ignore the role of (2) in favor of (1), without ever seeming to ask why the gap exists in the first place, you miss the most obvious conclusions as far as social policy.
And that all adds up to mumbo jumbo.

Make whatever excuses you wish. Either work your way out of poverty or don't. I really don't care. And so doesnt the rest of humanity.
06-06-2017 , 08:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wil318466
And that all adds up to mumbo jumbo.
You keep getting dunked on by people with an education.

      
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